2021 Fantasy Soccer QB Consistency Scores: Discover potential sleepers, busts within the quarterback leaderboard

Consistency is vital in head-to-head fantasy football leagues, but very few fantasy owners attempt to include it in their rankings or in decision-making on draft day. If you’ve been playing fantasy for a long time, you know how frustrating it can be for your quarterback to score over 30 one week and 10 the next. How many times have you been one of the top scoring teams in the league only to miss the playoffs by a game or two?

Many will call it “bad luck,” and that’s partly true. Key player injuries, bad weather, and tough matches are all variables that can negatively affect fantasy teams. There is only a limited amount you can do to control or combat them is one aspect of fantasy football that you have some control over – the consistency of your team.

The Tools section of BigGuyFantasySports.com has a “Clutch Report” which calculates the “Clutch Factor” (CF) that a player must exceed each week to earn a “Clutch Game”. The CF is based on the number of teams in your league and the scoring method. For example, in a 12-team PPR format, a running back would have to collect over 11 Fantasy Points each week to be eligible for a “clutch game”.

Quarterback | Run back | Wide-angle receiver | Narrow end | D / ST | Kicker | Highest 200

The more constant a player is, the more valuable he is to his fantasy team. You can find out how consistent a player is on my website (BigGuyFantasySports.com). The consistency rate of a player is known as the “clutch rating” (CR). A highly consistent fantasy player has a CR greater than 70 percent. The elite studs of the fantasy world will typically make up over 80-90 percent.

Quarterback | Run back | Wide-angle receiver | Narrow end | D / ST | Kicker | Highest 200

Every year I try to identify underrated players who may not rank high in the total fantasy score, but have been very consistent and critical to the success of a fantasy team. I also identify overrated players due to their lack of consistency. Here’s a sneak peek of my consistency-based leaderboards for QBs heading into the 2021 season.

Quarterback | Run back | Wide-angle receiver | Narrow end | D / ST | Kicker | total

2021 Fantasy QB consistency reviews, rankings

rank level Lower level player team
1 QB1 ON Patrick Mahomes KC
2 QB1 B. Josh Allen BUF
3 QB1 B. Kyler Murray ARI
4th QB1 B. Dak Prescott THE END
5 QB1 B. Aaron Rodgers GB
6th QB1 B. Lamar Jackson BALL
7th QB1 B. Justin Herbert LAC
8th QB1 B. Russell Wilson SEA
9 QB1 B. Tom Brady TB
10 QB1 B. Matthew Stafford LAR
11 QB1 B. Ryan Tannehill TEN
12th QB1 B. Joe Burrow GIN

A ranking from QB1A means that I expect this player to achieve a CR of 80 percent or more in 2021. Currently only Patrick Mahomes is classified at this level. The remaining 11 quarterbacks are all classified as QB1B. That means I expect them to exceed a CR of 70 percent or more. Josh Allen, Kyler Murray, Dak Prescott, and Aaron Rodgers all have the potential to exceed 80 percent in 2021, but I believe they will be closer to 75 percent this year. The key is where they fall in your design. If you can get any of these four after round 5, then go for it! If they leave before that, wait and grab one of the other seven quarterbacks.

Let’s take a look at some of these quarterbacks and see which of them are undervalued or overvalued based on their current ADPs.

Quarterback | Run back | Wide-angle receiver | Narrow end | D / ST | Every team

Underrated: Tom Brady, Buccaneers

Once again, the alien life form Brady doesn’t get as much love as it should from the fantasy world. All he achieved last season was seventh place in the total number of points and tenth place in Konstanz. Now take the injuries out and see his consistency when both Mike Evans and Chris Godwin were on the field together and he’s at 75 percent which would have put him third overall. He’s going on round 7 right now, so charge backs and receivers early and grab Brady on round 7 or 8 and get a QB that you don’t have to worry about.

Overrated: Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins

Tua didn’t exactly come on stage with fireworks and glitter last season. It was more like glitter and finger paint. The Dolphins ran Ryan Fitzpatrick and gave Tua reign for 2021. However, they also flirted with trading for Deshaun Watson and signed Jacoby Brissett in the off-season. So how long is the leash? The Dolphins signed Will Fuller V and drafted Jaylen Waddle so the receiving corps will improve, but I’m not overly optimistic on this. Many view Tua as a high-trend backup, but its consistency numbers suggest it will look more like the QB30.

Quarterback | Run back | Wide-angle receiver | Narrow end | D / ST

In summary, consistency should be an important part of your fantasy design prep every year. It’s great to draft players who are earning a ton of total points, but if they don’t do it consistently, you can still land under .500. You can’t win a championship if you can’t even make it through the postseason.

For more consistency reports from your draft prep, go to Amazon and get the award-winning Fantasy Football Consistency Guide 2021. You can also follow me on Twitter @bob_lung.

Don’t miss the Fantasy Football Expo 2021 on Sunday, August 15, 2021 in Canton, Ohio! Visit the Fantasy Football Expo for tickets!

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