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Sport

Two girls with new allegations amongst 10 to file police complaints in opposition to Texans QB Deshaun Watson

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Ten women have now filed complaints with Houston police about Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson, according to Watson’s attorney, Rusty Hardin.

Hardin spoke with ESPN on Monday about the progress of the criminal and civil cases involving his client.

“There are 10 women that have made complaints to the [Houston] police,” Hardin said.

Eight of the women, according to Hardin, are among the 22 women who have alleged in lawsuits that Watson sexually assaulted them or engaged in sexually inappropriate behavior during massage sessions.

Two of the women who have filed complaints with Houston police, Hardin said, have not filed lawsuits against Watson.

“There are a couple of women who we don’t know anything about,” Hardin said.

Hardin acknowledged knowing the names of the 10 women who have filed criminal complaints, including the two who are not involved in civil litigation, but declined to provide those names to ESPN.

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Houston police would not comment when reached Monday on either the investigation or the number of women who have filed complaints.

Hardin said Watson and his legal team have fully cooperated with Houston police and with the Harris County District Attorney’s office.

“We’re dealing with both of them, providing them information,” Hardin said.

“We’re fully cooperating with the police. We’re fully cooperating with the district attorney’s office and, when the criminal investigation is over, we’ll fully cooperate with the NFL.”

Investigators with the NFL have yet to interview Watson, which is typical in an ongoing criminal matter, Hardin said.

“We’ve made it clear to the NFL that we’ll totally cooperate with them when they’re ready to visit with us. But they, out of deference to the criminal investigation, always try to wait until that’s completed before they try to talk to the accused person.”

In a statement released to ESPN on Monday, Houston attorney Tony Buzbee, who represents the 22 women suing Watson, said he and his legal team continue to handle “22 civil cases that make very serious and specific allegations.”

“As of today, almost half of these women have given sworn statements to the police, and almost half have spoken to the NFL’s investigative team. Both processes are very lengthy. We expect to provide further information to the NFL from all victims,” Buzbee said.

With respect to the pending lawsuits, Hardin said that while both sides have exchanged documents, they have yet to schedule depositions for the 22 women. Under an agreement between the legal teams, depositions for the plaintiffs will begin in September. Watson won’t be deposed until February of next year.

“It is really going the normal course of all civil litigation,” Hardin said of the depositions. “The dates haven’t been set as of yet, the exact dates as to who would go when. But they’ll start in September.”

If Watson were to reach a settlement with any or all of the women who are suing him, Hardin reiterated his desire to make any settlement public and said Watson would not sign any settlement that includes a confidentiality agreement.

“I do not want anybody to be saying that this guy paid off women to stay quiet and so, if there ever was a settlement of any kind, it would have to be public and therefore both sides, [Watson] and the women, would be able to say to the world at large whatever they wanted.”

Hardin acknowledged Monday that he is not involved in any way in the decision-making process with respect to Watson’s football future.

The Texans quarterback has been the subject of trade rumors for months, even before the off-the-field legal battles this offseason.

“Teams are ready to jump now if the Texans would trade with them, even while all this is pending,” Hardin said. “There’s no question that teams, numerous teams, are still interested. The ball is in the Texans’ court.”

“As far as Watson’s football career,” Buzbee told ESPN, “I’m not focused on whether Watson will play; I’m instead focused on the welfare of the women he had contact with and aggressively pursuing their cases in court.”

Categories
Entertainment

Kanye West reportedly breaks Apple Music dwell streaming file for listening celebration “DONDA” with 3.Three million viewers

#Roommates, Kanye West is no stranger to breaking records and it appears he has just started a new one regarding his latest “DONDA” listening party in Atlanta. According to insider sources, Kanye West is said to have broken Apple Music’s live streaming record for its listening party with over three million views!

For those lucky enough to attend Kanye West’s “DONDA” listening party at the Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta, you know he managed to fill the 72,000-seat venue in a matter of hours, but according to @TMZ_TV this wasn’t the only hardship record he earned that night. Insider sources reportedly say that Kanye’s audience reached a whopping 3.3 million viewers with just one view – the previous record holder, the Verzuz battle between Jeezy and Gucci Mane, which reached 1.8 million views late last year , practically tripled.

What makes this number even more impressive is that the 3.3 million are for viewing only, as the “DONDA” listening party could only be streamed live, so no reruns were allowed. In addition, Kanye’s live streaming numbers are said to have been much larger than they are if repeated views of his listening party were allowed.

Meanwhile, on August 6th, two weeks after the first listening party, Kanye will finally release his new album “DONDA”, which will then be available for streaming again on Apple Music and fans.

Would you like tea right in your text inbox? Call us at 917-722-8057 or click here to join!

Categories
Science

When the solar dies, the earth’s magnetosphere not gives safety

The earth’s magnetic field is an underrated wonder of nature. It protects our atmosphere, offers some of the most breathtaking scenery when it creates northern lights, and allows people to navigate from one end of the world to the other. Unfortunately, however, it will not save us from the death of the sun. At least that’s the result of some new research by Dr. Dimitri Veras from the University of Warwick and Dr. Aline Vidotto from Trinity College Dublin.

The expected life cycle of the sun is pretty well described by scientists. After its current main sequence phase is over, it will run out of the hydrogen fuel source that powers the nuclear fusion in its core. Without the thrust of fusion, the sun contracts itself and then heats up. This extra heat will push their outer atmosphere many times their current size, and possibly even engulf the earth, but will definitely consume Venus and Mercury.

UT video about the final state of the sun.

During its red giant phase, the sun also generates a strong, fluctuating solar wind. Normally, our magnetic field is able to prevent the particles of the solar wind from removing the earth’s atmosphere. However, due to the increased amount of particles that the red giant is constantly bombing, the magnetic field has little chance of protecting its atmosphere. When removed, the likelihood of life on the planet will slowly decrease, although Earth is likely to move further away from the Sun due to the decreasing gravity associated with the star’s lower mass.

The habitable zone around the red giants is much farther away than the main sequence yellow stars – they protrude beyond Neptune’s orbit. The slow orbital path that Earth will take will not get us there in time before all life is boiled on the planet’s surface. So we can be sure that a dying sun could likely kill us in more ways than one.

UT video on how to ward off the destructive phase of the red giant in the sun’s life cycle.

After its red giant phase, however, a white dwarf appears, which is much more stable and does not emit any solar wind at all. But for life to survive to this point, its planet’s magnetic sphere must be about 100 times as strong as that of Jupiter, and it must be able to move quickly between the habitable zones of three different types of stars.

These are at least the necessary properties of a planet based on the models of Drs. Veras and Vidotto. They performed simulations for the winds of 11 different stars with different masses. Any planet that resembles Earth’s place in the solar system and with its current magnetic field is a lost cause.

UT video discussing how we can possibly survive when the sun dies – with astronaut Mike Massimino.

Fortunately, all of this will happen in billions of years, giving humanity plenty of time to devise a technological defense strategy. However, for now, this model has an impact on the number of exoplanets other astronomers are preoccupied with.

Some have already been found near white dwarfs, including a few Jupiter-sized ones in the habitable zone of these ultra-stable stars. While the agony required to create a white dwarf would likely have eliminated any previously evolved life, white dwarfs are stable for billions of years themselves, giving life plenty of time to evolve again in a much friendlier environment.

Artistic performance of a spectacular solar flare.
Credit – Casey Reed / NASA

Right now, our own solar system is also a relatively friendly environment, despite the occasional outburst that could paralyze humanity’s entire electrical grid. Until that happens, our magnetic field will give us enough time to study other white dwarfs and watch their exoplanets for tell-tale signs of their sun after life.

Learn more:
RAS – Planetary Shields will buckle under the star winds of their dying stars
RAS Monthly Notices – Planetary magnetospheric evolution around post-main sequence stars
LiveScience – No life will survive the death of the sun – but new life could be born after that, new research suggests
California News Times – No life will survive the death of the sun – but new life could be born after that, new research suggests

Mission statement:
Artistic illustration of ejecta from the sun being blocked by the earth’s magnetosphere.
Credit – MSFC / NASA

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Categories
Health

Swedish researchers are paying folks $23 to have their Covid shot

A man walks into a Covid-19 vaccination center in Stockholm, Sweden, on May 6, 2021.

Wei Xuechao | Xinhua | Getty Images

LONDON — Swedish scientists are attempting to find out if cash incentives could motivate people to get vaccinated against Covid-19.

Researchers at Lund University in Sweden have begun a study that will test various ways of encouraging vaccine uptake, with 8,200 unvaccinated people under the age of 60 taking part.

Covid-19 vaccine rollouts are at different stages across Swedish regions, but many are now offering the vaccine to all adults over the age of 18. According to Sweden’s Public Health Agency, vaccinations for 16 and 17-year-olds are likely to be rolled out from August.

The country controversially eschewed lockdown measures at the beginning of the pandemic, but later imposed some rules like mask-wearing as its population was hit by a winter spike in coronavirus cases.

In the Lund University trial, participants were randomly allocated one of four motivation techniques. The first group was given information about the vaccines available to them — in Sweden, those are the Pfizer-BioNTech, Janssen and Moderna vaccines for under-60s. The second cohort was asked to formulate an argument that they believed would convince someone else to take the vaccine, while the third was asked to make a list of loved ones they would want to protect with the vaccine. Finally, a fourth technique of paying people to get vaccinated was used on some of the study’s participants. 

A number of participants were also used as a control group and were not subjected to any specific motivation methods — however, they were “encouraged” to get vaccinated.

The research started at the beginning of this year, with scientists expecting provisional results in September. Participants’ “intention to vaccinate” — whether they want to get vaccinated within the first month of the vaccine becoming available to them — and official data that shows whether they actually are vaccinated will be used to measure the success of the study’s four motivational techniques.

Armando Meier, an economist who is co-author of the study, told CNBC via telephone on Monday that people’s stated intentions did not necessarily match their actions. In a survey of the participants at the beginning of the study, 80% said they would get the vaccine within a month of it being offered to them. However, Meier said that the actual take up rate showed the number of people who had actually accepted the shot was much lower.

Currently, 39% of Sweden’s population is fully vaccinated, while 22% of the population has had one dose of a vaccine, according to Our World in Data.

“We don’t see particularly high vaccine hesitancy in Sweden when compared to other [countries], but we know that vaccination rates are plateauing, particularly among younger people,” Meier said. “I wouldn’t say that the Swedes are particularly vaccine hesitant or particularly pro-vaccine, but we definitely have a high willingness to get vaccinated.”

Meier added that it was difficult to predict which of the study’s methods might be most effective in boosting vaccination rates.

“Many governments clearly believe that targeting people’s prosociality by telling them, ‘the vaccine doesn’t only protect you, it also protects others,’ is an effective strategy, because that’s what a lot of the messaging is about,” he told CNBC. “At the same time, we also see that a lot of countries emphasize information, so they think as long as they inform people that vaccines are safe and effective, that will do the trick — based on previous research in social sciences, it’s not so clear whether that’s actually all that compelling.”

When it came to the financial reward, Meier conceded that the study gave a “rather a small incentive.” Participants in the study who were given a monetary reward for being vaccinated received 200 Swedish krona ($23) for getting their vaccine, which was paid in the form of a gift card that could be used in most online stores.

“This is really supposed to [motivate] people that basically already want to get vaccinated, but they somehow don’t find the time or just think it’s too much of a hassle,” Meier said. “It gives them a little bit of extra motivation to actually get vaccinated. And I think a lot of economists would think that these incentives work best.”

Strategies across Europe

Elsewhere in Europe, governments are using alternative methods to boost vaccine uptake.

French lawmakers have approved rules that will require people to show proof of vaccination or a recent negative Covid-19 test to enter facilities such as museums and cinemas from August. Meanwhile, French healthcare workers are required to get vaccinated by Sept. 15 or face suspension.

The day after President Emmanuel Macron announced that these measures would be coming into force, 1.3 million people in France made vaccination appointments.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s top advisor, Helge Braun, told German media on Sunday that unvaccinated individuals could not expect the same liberties as those who were fully vaccinated. However, the issue has reportedly divided German lawmakers.

Just 49% of the German population has been fully vaccinated against Covid-19, according to Our World in Data. In France, that drops to 44%, the data shows.

In England, it will be mandatory for nursing home employees to be vaccinated from October.

Categories
Sport

Lakers Commerce Rumors: Crew Discusses Attainable Buddy Hield, Kyle Kuzma Commerce With Kings

The Lakers lost in the first round of the 2021 NBA playoffs and struggled towards the end of the season when LeBron James and Anthony Davis were both beaten up. The squad’s problems extend beyond the injured stars, however, and GM Rob Pelinka is trying to fix a large problem area this off-season.

Los Angeles only shot 34.9 percent from the arc last season, which was 23rd in the NBA with the Timberwolves. Hence, the Lakers are looking for an upgrade and may have one in mind.

As Shams Charania of The Athletic reports, the Lakers around James and Davis pursue a “player who provides playmaker and shot creation”. One option they discussed trading for is King’s Guard Buddy Hield, and a package to get him could include Kyle Kuzma.

The Lakers and Sacramento Kings have discussed a deal that will focus on security guard Buddy Hield, sources tell The Athletic. Lakers striker Kyle Kuzma would be involved in a potential package, according to sources. The Lakers have received interest in Kuzma from several teams, sources said.

MORE: Why LeBron James, Steph Curry, and others skipped the Olympics

Hield would certainly be an upgrade for the Lakers. He’s a 3 point shooter of 40.6 percent and made 39.1 percent of his shots last year while averaging 16.6 points and 3.6 assists per game. He might not have that many shots per game with the Lakers, but he would make a good spot-up shooter for the team around James and Davis.

As for Kuzma, his game has stagnated in recent years despite working with LeBron and AD. In his first two seasons, he averaged 17.3 points and 5.9 rebounds per game while shooting 45.3 percent. In two years with the Stars, he’s averaged just 12.8 points and 5.6 rebounds, while his shooting percentage has dropped to 43.9 percent.

Kuzma has just turned 26 and still has some perks, but the Lakers seem ready to leave him. In fact, the Lakers seem ready to deal with both him and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, as ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski recently pointed out on a podcast with Zach Lowe.

“Almost every team I speak to in the league has been offered a combination of Kuz and KCP,” said Wojnarowski. “Sometimes both of them, one of them, and she won’t get that back to become a point guard for Dennis [Schroder’s] Stature.”

Maybe this package won’t bring you quality point guard, but could it bring you a shooter like Hield? Perhaps, although Los Angeles may need to add design capital. At the same time, Hield has expressed displeasure with Sacramento at times in recent years, so the Kings may be interested in giving 28-year-old Hield a fresh start.

Categories
Science

Weekly Local weather and Vitality Information Roundup #464 – Watts Up With That?

The Week That Was: 2021-07-24 (July 24, 2021)
Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Policy Project

Quote of the Week: “It’s a beautiful thing, the destruction of words…Don’t you see that the whole aim of Newspeak is to narrow the range of thought? In the end we shall make thoughtcrime literally impossible, because there will be no words in which to express it.” –George Orwell, 1984 [H/t Anna Krylov]

Number of the Week: – About 1,200 cubic meters per second in 1804

THIS WEEK:

By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)

Floods and Droughts: The Ahr River is a relatively short river roughly 89 kilometers (55 mi) arising in the steep terrain of Rhine Land, Germany, which borders Luxembourg and Belgium. It forms the steep Ahr Valley running east, noted for producing red wines from vineyards terraced in the hillside. Before emptying into the Rhine River, the Ahr broadens out providing flatter land for growing fruits and vegetables. Like all steep river valleys, such as those in West Virginia, the Ahr Valley is subject to flash floods. The last catastrophic one was in 1910.

Beginning July 13, major flooding occurred in Germany and Belgium and to a lesser degree in Holland. According to reports, including The Sunday Times, officials in “Germany knew the floods were coming, but the warnings didn’t work. Weather scientists say a ‘monumental failure of the system’ is directly to blame for the death and devastation triggered by a month’s worth of rain that fell in two days this week.”

According to a July 23, 2021, post on the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS)

What information did EFAS provide in relation to the recent flood events affecting the Rhine and Meuse river basins?

On 9 and 10 July, flood forecasts by the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS) of the Copernicus Emergency Management Service indicated a high probability of flooding for the Rhine River basin, affecting Switzerland and Germany.

The following day, subsequent forecasts also indicated a high risk of flooding for the Meuse River basin, affecting Belgium. The magnitude of the floods forecasted for the Rhine River basin increased significantly in this period.

The first EFAS notifications for the Rhine River basin were sent to the relevant national authorities starting on 10 July. The first EFAS notifications for the Meuse River basin were sent to the relevant national authorities starting on 12 July. With the continuously updated forecasts, more than 25 notifications were sent for specific regions of the Rhine and Meuse River basins in the following days until 14 July.

After the flood, the climate change chorus immediately sprang into action, blaming carbon dioxide-caused climate change, without evidence. German officials parroted the same excuse, also claiming that EFAS covers only large rivers. The response from EFAS was:

“Does EFAS forecast floods only for large rivers?

“EFAS aims at predicting floods for large rivers and their tributaries but provides as well flash flood predictions for smaller scale rivers. In the case of the Meuse and Rhine river flood events both, predictions for the large-scale river sections of the Rhine and Meuse as well as the flash flood predictions for many of the small-scale tributaries of these river basins indicated a high probability of flooding or flash flooding, respectively.”

Why did officials ignore warnings from the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS)? One can only speculate, but it may be the same problem as to why New Orleans officials did not order evacuation of the city before hurricane Katrina caused flooding of the city through Lake Pontchartrain. They were afraid of a false positive – evacuating the city and not having a flood. The officials then blamed climate change and the Bush Administration for their failure.

We are seeing similar issues with the drought in the US western states. Four years ago, many western states experienced heavy rains. For example, water flowed over the emergency spillway Oroville Dam in California, even after the main spill was repaired and operating. The water caused flooding of communities downstream. The flooding was blamed on human-caused climate change. Now the drought is blamed on human-caused climate change. For government officials, it is far easier to blame climate change than to accept responsibility for failure to act when appropriate or to acting inappropriately.

These false claims give rise to the false belief that cutting carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions will prevent extreme weather events. The deception is twofold. First, there is no causal link between CO2 and extreme weather events. The second deception is that reducing CO2 would result in cooling, with a subsequent reduction of extreme weather events. In fact, extreme weather events are a characteristic of cooler climate.

See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy, Science, Policy, and Evidence, Changing Weather. Health, Energy, and Climate, and https://www.efas.eu/en/news/faq-efas-and-recent-flood-events

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Fractional Attribution of Risk (FAR): Cliff Mass has an easy-to-understand explanation why the new fad in Fractional Attribution of Risk (FAR) is largely useless, or worse, greatly misleading. His essay was motivated by the heat wave in the US Northwest and Canadian Southwest, but uses an analogy of flooding, which is appropriate for the flooding in Europe. After explaining the analogy, he states:

This situation is a good example of the golden rule of climate attribution:  the more unusual and extreme the event, the greater the proportion of the event is due to natural variability rather than global warming.

That is, climate change is slow and moderate: compare 50 years of slight warming with the 6 months of natural change between July and January. Therefore, fast changes must be due to natural variability. In discussing FAR, he writes:

“Unfortunately, there are serious flaws in their approach:  climate models fail to produce sufficient natural variability (they underplay the black swans) and their global climate models don’t have enough resolution to correctly simulate critical intense, local precipitation features (from mountain enhancement to thunderstorms).  On top of that, they generally use unrealistic greenhouse gas emissions in their models (too much, often using the RCP8.5 extreme emissions scenario). And there is more, but you get the message.   (I am weather/climate modeler, by the way, and know the model deficiencies intimately.)”

Currently, black swans apply to financial events. But they were important in the development of the scientific method. At one time philosophers in Europe asserted deductive logic could be used to uncover things about the natural world. The argument went along the lines: All swans are white; therefore, if it is a swan, it must be white.

In 1697, black swans were discovered in Australia. The discovery exposed the mistaken assumption, leading to the realization that the assumption must be thoroughly tested against all physical evidence and even if the assumption is not refuted deductions from it are only tentative.

As Mass states, the extreme emissions scenario of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change are unrealistic. The Representative Concentration Pathways 8.5 (RCP 8.5) results in a calculated CO2-caused warming of the earth’s surface of 8.5 watts per meter squared. According to calculations being used for the upcoming IPCC report, this would result in a surface warming of 2.5 to 4.9 degrees C (4.5 to 8.8 degrees F). There are thousands of “climate science” reports based on this unrealistic assumption.

Mass concludes his essay with a practical warning:

“Many of the climate attribution studies are resulting in headlines that are deceptive and result in people coming to incorrect conclusions about the relative roles of global warming and natural variability in current extreme weather.  Scary headlines and apocalyptic attribution studies needlessly provoke fear.  Furthermore, incorrect, and hyped information results in poor decision-making.  

“Here in Washington State, several politicians fixate on climate change as the cause of current environmental events, while neglecting key actions needed to ensure we are adapted to the current climate (such as restoring our forests, dealing with problematic power infrastructure, improving water quality).  And some media outlets (like a certain major newspaper in Seattle) are aiding such ineffective leaders by pushing an often uninformed and exaggerated climate-change narrative.

“There is little doubt that the Earth is warming and that human emissions are a contributing factor, but many of the extreme events being blamed on global warming are predominantly the result of natural or other causes (such as changes in land use).   If the Earth continues to warm, by the end of the century the impacts of global warming on extremes will increase substantially, something I have shown in my own research. 

“We need to worry about climate change and take steps in both mitigation (reduce greenhouse gas emissions) and adaptation.  But hype and exaggeration of its impacts only undermine the potential for effective action.” [Boldface emphasized in original] See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy and https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/3/2019/11/SROCC_FD_TS_Final.pdf

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Pogo Stick Power: For the past several weeks, TWTW reported on the changes in wind power generation as reported by the Bonneville Power Administration (BPA), which includes the Columbia River Gorge “where the wind always blows.” The total nameplate generation is 27,879 MW of which 79.5% is hydro and 10.5% (2930 MW) is wind.

This week was another exciting time for those who balance the load having to increase and decrease hydro power with changes in wind power. Midday on the 18th wind power was near zero, went up to 1000 MW for a brief time on the morning of the 19th, then back down to less than 200 MW at midday then up to about 2200 MW at midnight. It has fluctuated between 1000 and 2300 MW from the early morning of July 20 to shortly after midnight on July 21. Since then, it hit zero twice and has not been above 1500 MW (about 50% of nameplate capacity). A rough estimate is that wind has been erratically generating about 20% of nameplate capacity from July 22 to midnight July 24.

In Master Resource, Robert Bradley has a post based on Tom Bethell’s essay “The Electric Windmill.” In a the “Appropriate Community Technology Fair,” sponsored by the Federal Government in 1979, Bethell took a close look at the demonstration of a wind turbine. It was using electricity from the grid to operate, not generating electricity to the grid. Such is the nature of the “alternative energy” zealots in government.

Such actions prompt TWTW to state: The critical issue about wind power is not so much the cost of electricity to the consumer when wind is generating electricity; more importantly, it is the cost of electricity to the consumer when wind is not generating electricity. Why should the taxpayer subsidize expensive machines that raise the cost of reliable electricity when they undermine the financial viability of reliable generation? See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy, Funding Issues, Subsidies and Mandates Forever, and Energy Issues – US.

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The Zombie Reef: The UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) had planned to list Australia’s Great Barrier Reef as “in danger.” Then the “Annual Summary Report of Coral Reef Condition 2020/2021” by the Australian Institute of Marine Science (AIMS) came out. It stated:

“Over the 35 years of monitoring by AIMS, the reefs of the GBR have shown an ability to recover after disturbances.

“In 2021, widespread recovery was underway, largely due to increases in fast growing Acropora corals.

“Survey reefs experienced low levels of acute stressors over the past 12 months with no prolonged high temperatures or major cyclones. Numbers of outbreaks of crown-of-thorns starfish on survey reefs have generally decreased; however, there remain ongoing outbreaks on some reefs in the Southern GBR.”

The reef has the highest coral cover in 36 years of surveys. UNESCO backed down from the “in danger” classification but kept the “critical” classification. It is important that much of the AIMS research is done in the field, in the water, and not a fly-by which many other “experts” use. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy.

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Life Flourishing in Acidic Oceans? About 400 million years ago, carbon dioxide levels were very high, perhaps 7 to 10 times greater than they are today. In attempting to establish a relationship between a carbon-silicon cycle and temperatures, a study traces a carbon-silicon cycle over three billion years. What is particularly interesting about the study is the sudden profusion of life both on land and in the water that occurred about 400 million years ago.

This research indicates that the claim that increasing CO2 will harm marine life is highly questionable. See links under Changing Seas

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Holocene Cooling: A study of the tree line across most of Russia shows a cooling starting about 9000 years ago. The abstract states:

“Over most of Russia, forest advanced to or near the current arctic coastline between 9000 and 7000 yr. B.P. and retreated to its present position by between 4000 and 3000 yr. B.P. Forest establishment and retreat was roughly synchronous across most of northern Russia.”

This finding supports the research of H.H. Lamb and recent assertions by the International Commission on Stratigraphy of cooling starting about 8200 years ago. The finding that forests were at or near the coastline of the Arctic Ocean 9000 years ago prompts the question: How did the polar bears survive? The Arctic sea ice must have been largely melted. Of course, those who do not believe the exaggerations used by the Biden administration to declare a “climate crisis” have no such question. See links under Changing Climate and https://stratigraphy.org/ICSchart/ChronostratChart2021-05.pdf

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14th ICCC: The 14th International Conference on Climate Change presented by The Heartland Institute will be October 15 to 17, 2021, at Caesars Palace in Las Vegas. See https://climateconference.heartland.org/

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39th Annual Meeting of DDP: The Doctors for Disaster Preparedness will hold their 39th annual meeting “Renew, or ‘Reset’?” in Tucson on July 30 to August 1, 2021 at the Doubletree at Reid Park. Three SEPP directors will be giving presentations: Willie Soon, Sunspots: Hindcasting and Forecasting the Solar Cycle; David Legates, Bloom energy: the Theranos of Thermodynamics; and Howard Hayden, The Magic Trick of Climate Science. Register at http://www.ddponline.org/

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SEPP’S APRIL FOOLS AWARD

THE JACKSON

SEPP is conducting its annual vote for the recipient of the coveted trophy, The Jackson, a lump of coal. Readers are asked to nominate and vote for who they think is most deserving, following these criteria:

The voting will close on July 30. Please send your nominee and a brief reason why the person is qualified for the honor to Ken@SEPP.org. The awardee will be announced at the DDP meeting on July 31 or August 1. For a list of past recipients and their accomplishments in earning this honor see http://www.sepp.org/april-fools-award.cfm

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NO TWTW NEXT WEEK – Attending DDP meeting.

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Number of the Week: – About 1,200 cubic meters per second in 1804: Writing in No Tricks Zone, Fred Mueller discusses historic records along the Ahr River, where the recent floods in Germany were the worst. Using reconstructed flow rates of the river by local historians he estimates that:

“However, both [the recent flood and a 1910 flood] are far overshadowed by the disaster of 1804, whose water discharge, with a peak discharge of about 1,200 m3/s, was twice as massive as the 1910 event. Compared to the current flood, the factor is almost threefold.

From ice cores, the estimate CO2 level in 1800 is 283 ppmv (parts per million volume). In 2021, the maximum (May) estimate from Mauna Loa is 419. How does the 48% increase in CO2 work out in calculating the Fractional Attribution of Risk (FAR) for the 1804 event? See links under Changing Weather and https://www.sealevel.info/co2_and_ch4.html

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Science: Is the Sun Rising?

Long-period oscillations of the Sun discovered

By Staff Writers, Gottingen, Germany (SPX). Jul 21, 2021

https://www.spacedaily.com/reports/Long_period_oscillations_of_the_Sun_discovered_999.html

Link to paper Solar inertial modes: Observations, identification, and diagnostic promise

By Laurent Gizon, et al. Astronomy & Astrophysics, Forthcoming

https://www.aanda.org/component/article?access=doi&doi=10.1051/0004-6361/202141462

New sunspot catalogue to improve space weather predictions

Press Release: Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology (SKOLTECH), July 19, 2021

https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2021-07/sios-nsc071921.php

Link to paper: Hemispheric sunspot numbers 1874-2020

By A. M. Veronig, et al. Astronomy and Astrophysics, accepted June 2, 2021 (Forthcoming)

https://www.aanda.org/component/article?access=doi&doi=10.1051/0004-6361/202141195

Censorship

Big Bad Tech: When censorship goes corporate

Press Release, Global Warming Policy Forum, July 20, 2021

Link to report Big Bad Tech: When censorship goes corporate

By Donna Laframboise, GWPF, July 2021

https://www.thegwpf.com/content/uploads/2021/07/Laframboise-Big-Tech-Censorship.pdf?mc_cid=6a4e248157&mc_eid=385f70f4f2

“Large technology companies are now in the ascendant.”

[SEPP Comment: The financial rankings change depend on who does them, but the financial strength of these companies is supported in general. In the past, the heads of some of these companies would have been called “robber barons.”]

Challenging the Orthodoxy — NIPCC

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Physical Science

Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2013

Summary: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/documents/CCR/CCR-II/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts

Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), 2014

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts

Summary: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels

By Multiple Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change, April 2019

http://store.heartland.org/shop/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/

Download with no charge:

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Climate-Change-Reconsidered-II-Fossil-Fuels-FULL-Volume-with-covers.pdf

Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming

The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus

By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015

Home

Download with no charge:

https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming

Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate

S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008

http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf

Global Sea-Level Rise: An Evaluation of the Data

By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Policy Brief, May 20, 2019

Challenging the Orthodoxy

Miscommunication in Recent Climate Attribution Studies

By Cliff Mass, Weather Blog, July 21, 2021

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2021/07/miscommunication-of-recent-climate.html

Statement of Roger Pielke Jr

To Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, US Senate, July 20, 2021 [H/t Climate Etc.]

Unsettling the apple cart II: Koonin on climate

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, July 21, 2021

Further review of Steve Koonin’s book by Ross McKitrick

Link to report: Reflecting Sunlight: Recommendations for Solar Geoengineering Research and Research Governance

By Staff, National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine, 2021

https://www.nationalacademies.org/our-work/developing-a-research-agenda-and-research-governance-approaches-for-climate-intervention-strategies-that-reflect-sunlight-to-cool-earth

“The Electric Windmill” (Part II)

By Robert Bradley Jr, Master Resource, July 21, 2021

“Ed. note: This completes a two-part excerpt from Tom Bethell’s ‘inadvertent autobiography,’ The Electric Windmill (1988: pp. 105–06). Part I was yesterday.

Link to: Book Review: The Electric Windmill: An Inadvertent Autobiography by Tom Bethell

By David Stewart, Foundation for Economic Freedom, May 1, 1989

https://fee.org/articles/book-review-the-electric-windmill-an-inadvertent-autobiography-by-tom-bethell/

Germany’s “Katrina”: Officials Left Dams Full For Weeks Even With Heavy Rains In The Forecast

By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, July 18, 2021

The Weather Follies: Is Climate Change To Blame For Germany’s Flooding?

By Ross Clark, Climate Change Dispatch, July 19, 2021 [H/t Paul Homewood]

“If you want to try to blame last week’s floods on climate change, it is first necessary to argue that the models have been wrong all along – and that actually Germany will suffer greater summer precipitation.

“But then that might undermine climate models in general.”

What a recovery! Hottest ever year causes… coral reefs to grow

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, July 20, 2021

What climate disaster? The Great Barrier Reef has more coral growing on it than ever recorded

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, July 23, 2021

Link to report: Long-Term Monitoring Program

Annual Summary Report of Coral Reef Condition 2020/2021

Reef in recovery window after decade of disturbances

By Staff, Australian Institute of Marine Science (AIMS), 2021

https://www.aims.gov.au/reef-monitoring/gbr-condition-summary-2020-2021

Defending the Orthodoxy

Radical resetters show their math in new peer-reviewed study

By CFACT, Editorial, July 4, 2021 [H/t Paul Homewood]

Radical resetters show their math in new peer-reviewed study

Paper reproduced: Socio-economic conditions for satisfying human needs at low energy use: An international analysis of social provisioning

By Jefim Vogel, et al. Global Environmental Change, June 29, 2021

https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/global-environmental-change

From its website: “Global Environmental Change is a peer-reviewed international journal publishing high quality, theoretically and empirically rigorous articles, which advance knowledge about the human and policy dimensions of global environmental change. The journal interprets global environmental change to mean the outcome of processes that are manifest in localities, but with consequences at multiple spatial, temporal and socio-political scales.”

[SEPP Comment: Another “rigorous article” written by those with “advanced knowledge” about global environmental change without the foggiest notion of how greenhouse gases influence global temperatures.]

Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science

GAR [Global Assessment Report] Special Report on Drought 2021

By Staff, UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction, 2021 [H/t Climate Etc.]

file:///C:/Users/Owner/Downloads/GAR%20Special%20Report%20on%20Drought%202021.pdf

Comment from Climate Etc: “According to UNDRR report out on drought today, human-caused climate change is expected to have a discernable effect on drought, but that effect is not generally expected to be detectable today.]

Questioning the Orthodoxy

Pielke Jr. On Recent Climate Attribution Claims

By Roger Pielke Jr. Via WUWT, July 23, 2021

1970s-’80s ‘Physics’ Said Doubling CO2 Produced Just 0.2°C – 0.8°C Warming. Then ‘Physics’ Changed.

By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, July 22, 2021

Climate change: the West’s energy transition narrative ignores the reality in Asia

BP’s latest review of energy use has been presented as positive developments in carbon reduction. However, the facts remain that fossil fuels continue to provide most of the world’s energy needs and that developing Asia is driving demand

By Tilak K. Doshi, South China Morning Post, July 16, 2021

https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3141197/climate-change-wests-energy-transition-narrative-ignores-reality

Problems in the Orthodoxy

US urges China to help with climate; As EU fears populist pushback

By AFP Staff Writers, London (AFP), July 20, 2021

https://www.terradaily.com/reports/Kerry_urges_China_to_help_solve_climate_challenge_999.html

“The EU’s environment supremo Frans Timmermans defended his proposals and asked member states to remain open-minded.”

[SEPP Comment: Remain open-minded to plans by the closed-minded?]

Seeking a Common Ground

The Peril of Politicizing Science

By Anna I. Krylov, Journal of Physical Chemistry, Letters, June 10, 2021 [H/t Climate Etc.]

https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acs.jpclett.1c01475#

Science, Policy, and Evidence

‘Welt’ Commentary: Germany Flood Catastrophe Made Possible By “Inconceivable Ignorance”…”Unbelievable Scandal”

By P Gosselin, No Tricks Zone, July 20, 2021

“For too many years a crusty old bureaucracy focused on climate protection while ignoring protection from the whims of the weather. Their strategy, as unbelievable as it may sound, was to try to produce good weather by cutting CO2 emissions. It’s that stupid.”

Chinese Virus Retrospective: The Shame Of Our Public Health “Experts”

By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, July 22, 2021

https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/blog/2021-7-22-chinese-virus-retrospective

“The people 44 and under constitute the substantial majority of the population, and for them Covid-19 has either been no worse than, or not nearly as bad as, a regular bad flu season.  Why again were their lives turned inside out?”

[SEPP Comment: The COVID-19 experience illustrated the vanity of “experts” claiming to understand things they don’t.]

Ditching Plastic For Aluminum Is Worse For The Planet

By Will Coggin, Issues & Insights, July 21, 2021

Nevada Democrat introduces bill requiring feds to develop fire management plan

By Zack Budryk, The Hill, July 22, 2021

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/564361-nevada-democrat-introduces-bill-requiring-feds-to-develop-fire

[SEPP Comment: “Let it burn” is not working?]

Models v. Observations

Outsize Influence of Central American Orography on Global Climate

By Jane W. Baldwin, AGU Advances, June 9, 2021

https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020AV000343#.YMI6Ugjsb_U.twitter

From the plain language summary: “Climate models break the earth up into grid boxes to simulate atmosphere and ocean circulations. Since mountain peaks are smaller than these grid boxes, mountains in climate models, including the Sierra Madre, are shorter than in reality. The low bias in these mountains makes the simulation of climate in the tropical East Pacific different than that observed on earth. We show that these differences can be resolved by making mountains in climate models as high as in reality.”

[SEPP Comment: Given the way the Central American Mountains disturb atmospheric circulations; one can only speculate how much the closing of the Central American Seaway about 3 million years ago changed the ocean circulations. But those making claims of CO2 causing warming earlier than 3 million years ago ignore such details.]

Model Issues

Climate regulation changed with the proliferation of marine animals and terrestrial plants

Geoscientific study traces carbon-silicon cycle over three billion years on the basis of lithium isotope levels

Press Release, Johannes Gutenberg Universitaet Mainz, July 15, 2021 [H/t WUWT]

https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2021-07/jgum-crc071521.php

Link to paper: A lithium-isotope perspective on the evolution of carbon and silicon cycles

By Boriana Kalderon-Asael, et al. Nature, July 14, 2021

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03612-1

From abstract: “Using a mass-balance modelling approach, we propose that the observed trend in lithium-isotope values reflects a transition from Precambrian carbon and silicon cycles to those characteristic of the modern. We speculate that this transition was linked to a gradual shift to a biologically controlled marine silicon cycle and the evolutionary radiation of land plants,”

Measurement Issues — Surface

Fact-free

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, July 21, 2021

Fact-free

“So here we point not just to Muir’s work but, again, to the American Climate Reference Network designed to avoid the UHI problem by depending on rural stations, which shows slight cooling in the continental United States since 2005 (about 0.4°C). And as Ronald Barmby observes in his Sunlight on Climate Change (p. 141) ‘It seems odd that the only part of the world that is not warming is where the most advanced temperature recordings are being taken, and in the rest of the world where there are poor data, it is warming.’”

The HadCRUT4 Global Temperature Dataset Now Unveils A Cooling Trend For The Last 7.5 Years

By Kenneth Richard, No Tricks Zone, July 19, 2021

[SEPP Comment: Too short a time for any significant trend.]

Measurement Issues — Atmosphere

Global satellite data shows clouds will amplify global heating

By Staff Writers, London, UK (SPX), Jul 20, 2021

https://www.spacedaily.com/reports/Global_satellite_data_shows_clouds_will_amplify_global_heating_999.html

Link to paper: Observational evidence that cloud feedback amplifies global warming

By Paulo Ceppi and Peer Nowack, PNAS, July 27, 2021

https://www.pnas.org/content/118/30/e2026290118

From the abstract: “Using data from Earth observations and climate model simulations, we here develop a statistical learning analysis of how clouds respond to changes in the environment.”

[SEPP Comment: Model simulations are meaningless science if the models have not been validated using atmospheric data.  If warming amplification exists, why hasn’t the planet cooked before?]

Changing Weather

Current European flood-rich period exceptional compared with past 500 years

By Günter Blöschl, et al. Nature, July 22, 2021 [H/t Climate Etc.]

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2478-3

From the abstract: “We identified nine flood-rich periods and associated regions. Among the periods richest in floods are 1560–1580 (western and central Europe), 1760–1800 (most of Europe), 1840–1870 (western and southern Europe) and 1990–2016 (western and central Europe). In most parts of Europe, previous flood-rich periods occurred during cooler-than-usual phases, but the current flood-rich period has been much warmer. Flood seasonality is also more pronounced in the recent period.”

[SEPP Comment: Apparently the “exceptional” is that now floods are occurring during warmer seasons than previously.]

Long-term variability and trends in meteorological droughts in Western Europe (1851–2018)

By Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano, et al. International Journal of Climatology, June 22, 2020 [H/t Climate Etc.]

https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.6719

“Results reveal a general absence of statistically significant long-term trends in the study domain, with the exception of significant trends at some stations, generally covering short periods.”

Alarmists Scaremongering, Ignore Germany’s Long History Of Massive Flooding

CO2 scaremongering and the truth about German floods

By Fred F. Mueller, No Tricks Zone, July 23, 2021

A world protected by windmills? In 1717 Christmas Floods in Germany killed 14,000

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, July 19, 2021

Chinese army warns dam battered by storms could collapse

By AFP Staff Writers, Beijing (AFP), July 20, 2021

https://www.terradaily.com/reports/Chinese_army_warns_dam_battered_by_storms_could_collapse_999.html

The Untouchables

By Tony Heller, His Blog, July 21, 2021

The Untouchables

Link to: Review and Update of the 1995 Federal Wildland Fire Management Policy

By Staff, Departments of Interior, Agriculture, Energy, Defense, Commerce, EPA, FEMA, National Association of State Foresters, January 2001

https://web.archive.org/web/20201101021334/https://www.nifc.gov/PIO_bb/Policy/FederalWildlandFireManagementPolicy_2001.pdf

“Twenty-four states have been over 115F, and all occurred with CO2 below 350 PPM.”

[SEPP Comment: List of states, with highest temperatures and when the Wildland Fire Management Policy went to “let it burn.”]

What Controls the Movement of Wildfire Smoke? And a Perfect Forecast for the Next Week.

By Cliff Mass, Weather Blog, July 23, 2021

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2021/07/what-controls-movement-of-wildfire.html

Podcast

Fires on the West Coast Produce Smoke and Bad Air on the East Coast

By Cliff Mass, Weather Blog, July 20, 2021

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2021/07/fires-on-west-coast-produce-smoke-and.html

[SEPP Comment: Will East Coast power plants be fined for violating Clean Air regulations?]

Signs of a resurgence in La Nina and the potential implications on global temperatures and the upcoming winter season

By Meteorologist Paul Dorian, Peraton, Via WUWT, July 20, 2021

Changing Climate

Northern Russia Summers 2.5 to 7.0C Warmer 7000 Years Ago

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, July 21, 2021

Link to paper: Holocene Treeline History and Climate Change Across Northern Eurasia

By Glen M. MacDonald, et al. Quaternary Research, May 3, 2000

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0033589499921233

Evidence of RWP In Florida

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, July 22, 2021

Link to paper: Seasonal climate change across the Roman Warm Period/Vandal Minimum transition using isotope sclerochronology inarchaeological shells and otoliths, southwest Florida, USA

By Ting Wang, Donna Surge, & Karen Jo WalkerQuaternary International, November 19, 2012

https://www.academia.edu/19377134/Seasonal_climate_change_across_the_Roman_Warm_Period_Vandal_Minimum_transition_using_isotope_sclerochronology_in_archaeological_shells_and_otoliths_southwest_Florida_USA?email_work_card=view-paper

They are all going to die, although…

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, July 21, 2021

Changing Climate – Cultures & Civilizations

Long-term decrease in Asian monsoon rainfall and abrupt climate change events over the past 6,700 years

By Bao Yang, et al. PNAS, July 27, 2021

https://www.pnas.org/content/118/30/e2102007118

[SEPP Comment: When the Asian summer monsoon does not water the Mongolian grasslands, nomads make thing difficult for those living in northern China.]

Changing Seas

Climate regulation changed with the proliferation of marine animals and terrestrial plants

Geoscientific study traces carbon-silicon cycle over three billion years on the basis of lithium isotope levels

Press Release, Johannes Gutenberg Universitaet Mainz, July 15, 2021 [H/t WUWT]

https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2021-07/jgum-crc071521.php

Link to paper: A lithium-isotope perspective on the evolution of carbon and silicon cycles

By Boriana Kalderon-Asael, et al. Nature, July 14, 2021

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03612-1

Here comes the moon

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, July 21, 2021

Islands of Truth Emerging from the Murky Depths of “Sea Level Science”

By Jim Steele, WUWT, July 19, 2021

Changing Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice

Record Heat In Antarctica, Claims The Absurd Jonathan Amos

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, July 20, 2021

“I personally cannot get worked up about a rise of 0.4C in 41 years! And I certainly would not call 18.4C ‘heat’.”

[SEPP Comment: Homewood shows the history of “warming” at the Antarctic weather station with “record heat.”]

Western Hudson Bay polar bears: still some out on the sea ice, some causing trouble

By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, July 22, 2021

[SEPP Comment: Without the lockdown, prime tourist season for Churchill on the bay.]

Changing Earth

Hiawatha Crater: Bracketing the Age

By David Middleton, WUWT, July 23, 2021

Communicating Better to the Public – Use Yellow (Green) Journalism?

Here came the flood

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, July 21, 2021

Here came the flood

From Reuters: “‘The devastation of the floods, attributed by meteorologists to a climate-change driven shift in the jet stream that has brought inland water that once stayed at sea, could shake up an election that has until now seen little discussion of climate.’”

[SEPP Comment: Just like the drought in the Western US, the predictions come after the event, cherry-picking at it best!]

BBC & The Sunderbans

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, July 23, 2021

“The report highlights islands which are gradually disappearing under the sea. But this shows a total ignorance of how deltas form and evolve. Low lying islands and mud flats are forever shifting as they erode and grow back, caught between the forces of tides, storms, sedimentation and flooding. There is no reason why any island there should be permanent.

Henan Floods

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, July 21, 2021

[SEPP Comment: Ignoring the past!]

Guardian’s Latest Amazon Scare Story

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, July 21, 2021

Communicating Better to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Vague?

In Pennsylvania, Scientific and Economic Realities Unsettle Climate Change Morality Plays

By Kevin Mooney, Real Clear Energy, July 21, 2021

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2021/07/21/in_pennsylvania_scientific_and_economic_realities_unsettle_climate_change_morality_plays_786544.html

Press Release: Gov. Wolf 2021 Climate Impacts Report Projects Pennsylvania Will Be 5.9° F Warmer by Midcentury, Targets Areas to Reduce Risk

By Staff, Pennsylvania Climate Impacts Assessment 2021, May 05, 2021

Report by ICF, May 2021

http://www.depgreenport.state.pa.us/elibrary/GetDocument?docId=3667348&DocName=PENNSYLVANIA%20CLIMATE%20IMPACTS%20ASSESSMENT%202021.PDF%20%20%3cspan%20style%3D%22color:green%3b%22%3e%3c/span%3e%20%3cspan%20style%3D%22color:blue%3b%22%3e%28NEW%29%3c/span%3e%204/30/2023

[SEPP Comment: No exaggeration is too great if the purpose is “to save the planet.”]

Of words and deeds

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, July 21, 2021

[SEPP Comment: Waiting to see industrial wind without concrete and steel footings!]

Unsustainable Arctic shipping risks accelerating damage to the Arctic environment

By Staff Writers, London, UK (SPX), Jul 20, 2021

https://www.spacedaily.com/reports/Unsustainable_Arctic_shipping_risks_accelerating_damage_to_the_Arctic_environment_999.html

Link to paper: A techno-economic environmental cost model for Arctic shipping

By Lambert, Joseph, et al. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, September 2021

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0965856421001701?via%3Dihub

Communicating Better to the Public – Make things up.

The current drought is worldwide. Here’s how different places are fighting it

By Celina Tebor, Phys.Org, July 19, 2021 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

https://phys.org/news/2021-07-current-drought-worldwide.html

Link to: SPEI Global Drought Monitor, June 2021, Accessed July 20, 2021

https://spei.csic.es/map/maps.html#months=1#month=5#year=2021

[SEPP Comment: Except where it is raining, such as Canada, Europe, South and East Asia, etc.]

Climate ‘mysteries’ still puzzle scientists, despite progress

By Amélie Bottollier-Depois, Paris (AFP) July 23, 2021

https://www.terradaily.com/reports/Climate_mysteries_still_puzzle_scientists_despite_progress_999.html

“In almost real time, researchers can pinpoint the role of climate change in a given disaster, something they were unable to do at all until very recently.

“Now, so-called ‘attribution’ science means we can say how probable an extreme weather event would have been had the climate not been changing at all.

[SEPP Comment: Going deeper into fantasyland. Able to attribute after the fact, but unable to predict, even using probabilities.]

Communicating Better to the Public – Do a Poll?

Communicating About Climate Change: What’s Politics Got To Do With It?

By Charles Rotter, WUWT, July 21, 2021

Expanding the Orthodoxy

Yellen to lead investigation into climate change risk to financial system

By Caroline Vakil, The Hill, July 11, 2021

https://thehill.com/policy/finance/562432-yellen-to-lead-investigation-into-climate-change-risk-to-financial-system

“The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which is chaired by Treasury secretary and comprised of U.S. regulators from the Federal Reserve System, Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and others, will do an analysis as part of an executive order that the president signed regarding the financial risks related to climate, ‘outlining a whole-of-government process to assess climate risk to the U.S. financial system and federal government,’ Yellen said.”

[SEPP Comment: What is the financial risk of destructive government policy? Who pays for its failure?]

The Fallacy of Climate Financial Risk

By John Cochran, Project Syndicate, July 21, 2021 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]

https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/climate-financial-risk-fallacy-by-john-h-cochrane-2021-07

Democrats Lay Out Vision for Civilian Climate Corps

ByRachel Frazin, The Hill, July 20, 2021

https://thehill.com/policy/equilibrium-sustainability/563848-dozens-of-democrats-lay-out-vision-for-civilian-climate-corps

Link to letter: Dear Speaker Pelosi and Leader Schumer

By various Senators and Representatives, July 20, 2021

“The Civilian Climate Corps will invest in natural climate solutions…”

[SEPP Comment: What if nature is the problem?]

Questioning European Green

Four Flaws With the EU’s New Climate Plans

By Pieter Cleppe, Real Clear Energy, July 19, 2021

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2021/07/19/four_flaws_with_the_eus_new_climate_plans_786188.html

CCC Says We Must Spend £9000 To Stop Homes “Overheating” In Thirty Years Time!

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, July 22, 2021

Funding Issues

How to Leverage Regional Wind and Solar Power for the Entire U.S.

By Robert Hebner, Real Clear Energy, July 20, 2021

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2021/07/20/how_to_leverage_regional_wind_and_solar_power_for_the_entire_us_786341.html

“Finally, agencies must significantly fund research to drive down the cost of each option and ramp up clean energy technologies to scale.”

“At least 50% of the funding should go to universities as, by conducting the research, they are also educating the next generation of U.S. leaders.”

[SEPP Comment: How the” Director of the Center for Electromechanics at the University of Texas at Austin” hopes to cash in from the false fear of carbon dioxide.]

Other People’s Money — Gambling on Net Zero

By Andrew Stuttaford, National Review, Capital Matters, July 13, 2021

“Translation: Neither corporations nor those that, directly or indirectly, invest in them will be allowed to weigh climate risk for themselves. Nor will the decision of how much, if anything, they should spend on dealing with it be left to them alone.

“But they will be made to pick up the tab. Other people’s money, you see.”

Cap-and-Trade and Carbon Taxes

Why the EU’s Carbon Border Tax will Fail to Stop Carbon Leakage

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, July 20, 2021

Subsidies and Mandates Forever

Offshore Wind Subsidies Topped £4 Billion Last Year

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, July 22, 2021

EPA and other Regulators on the March

Granholm announces new building energy codes

By Zack Budryk, The Hill, July 21, 2021

https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/564134-granholm-announces-new-building-energy-codes

Link to report: Energy Savings Analysis: 2021 IECC for Residential Buildings

By V. Robert Salcido, et al, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, July 2021

[SEPP Comment: Has estimates of Social Cost of CO2 with 4 arbitrary values. Then, weighs costs based on CO2 “savings – benefits.” No estimates of actual monetary costs of implementation!]

Energy Issues – Non-US

Why We Can’t Afford To Turn Our Backs On Fossil Fuels

By Irina Slav, Oil Price.com, Jul 19, 2021

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Why-We-Cant-Afford-To-Turn-Our-Backs-On-Fossil-Fuels.html

National Grid to lose Great Britain electricity role to independent operator

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, July 20, 2021

“Government will therefore throw out the knowledge and skills built up over many years by electrical engineers who know what they are doing. In their place, we will probably end up with the sort of eco loons who infest the Committee on Climate Change.

“Heaven help us all!”

Energy Issues – Australia

Aussie Coal Miner Accused of Violating Climate Change Disclosure Rules

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, July 21, 2021

“New Hope Mining have done what we have all been waiting for – they have quietly challenged the entire renewables industry, by explicitly pointing out the falsehood of claims that renewables are a viable replacement for fossil fuel in an official company document.”

Energy Issues — US

Rick Perry Was Right…

By David Middleton, WUWT, July 21, 2021

“Rick Perry went on to become the best Secretary of Energy in the department’s 43 year history. For the first time since its establishment, the DOE focused on enabling the private sector to deliver reliable and affordable energy and established American Energy Dominance.”

Ohio Eviscerates Preferred Siting, Accelerated Permission for Wind/Solar Developers (communities win!)

By Sherri Lange, Master Resource, July 22, 2021

“Requires developers to submit decommissioning plans when applying to OPSB.” [Ohio Power Siting Board.]

Bonneville Power Administration

By Staff, BPA.Gov/transmission, Accessed July 17

BPA Balancing Authority Total Wind Generation, Near-Real-Time

https://transmission.bpa.gov/Business/Operations/Wind/twndbspt.aspx

BPA Balancing Authority Load and Total Wind, Hydro, Fossil/Biomass, and Nuclear Generation, Near-Real-Time

https://transmission.bpa.gov/Business/Operations/Wind/baltwg.aspx

Oil and Natural Gas – the Future or the Past?

US Crude Oil Exports: Record High in 2020, Despite Lockdown

By David Middleton, WUWT, July 22, 2021

State Report: PA Extracted More Natural Gas Than Ever During Pandemic

By Madison Goldberg, WSKG NPR, July 8, 2021

Link to: 2020 Oil and Gas Annual Report

By Staff, Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection, 2021

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Solar and Wind

Expanding the Supply Chain for Rare Earth Materials

By Lewis Black, Real Clear Energy, July 22, 2021

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2021/07/22/expanding_the_supply_chain_for_rare_earth_materials_786711.html

“While people around the world rely on these minerals in their everyday lives, China produces 80% of the U.S. rare earths, and has been doing so for quite some time.”

[SEPP Comment: The Chinese are economically benefiting from the fear in the US that carbon dioxide is causing dangerous global warming for which there is limited physical evidence.]

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Energy — Other

Hot Rocks Resurrected

By Donn Dears, Power For USA, July 20, 2021

[SEPP Comment: Perhaps New Zealand offers the best solution. Build your most populous city, Auckland, on a volcanic field and wait for the heat to come up.]

Making clean hydrogen is hard, but researchers just solved a major hurdle

Press Release, University of Texas at Austin, July 19, 2021 [H/t WUWT]

https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2021-07/uota-mch071921.php

Link to paper: Scalable, highly stable Si-based metal-insulator-semiconductor photoanodes for water oxidation fabricated using thin-film reactions and electrodeposition

By Soonil Lee, Li Ji, Alex C. De Palma & Edward T. Yu, Nature Communications, June 25, 2021

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24229-y

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Energy — Storage

The economic and reliability impacts of grid-scale storage in a high penetration renewable energy system

By Samuel C. Johnson, Advances in Applied Energy, Aug 25, 2021 [H/t Climate Etc.]

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666792421000445

“Compressed air energy storage systems generate the highest system value.”

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Vehicles

Take the electric motorway, then continue on the road to ruin

By Henry Getley, The Conservative Woman, July 18, 2021 [H/t Paul Homewood]

Mercedes-Benz going all-electric by 2025

By Celine Castronuovo, The Hill, July 22, 2021

https://thehill.com/policy/equilibrium-sustainability/564311-mercedes-benz-going-all-electric-by-2025

[SEPP Comment: Why should luxury carmakers get subsidies to change their products?]

Carbon Schemes

Chevron concedes CCS failures at Gorgon, seeks deal with WA [Western Australian] regulators

By Michael Mazengarb, Renew Economy, July 19, 2021

“Chevron is understood to have spent more than $3 billion building the carbon capture facility, but it took several years after the start of gas production for the Gorgon CCS project even to begin operation due to delays and technical difficulties.”

Carbon Capture: The Key Answer on Climate Change

By Dan Ervin, Real Clear Energy, July 18, 2021

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2021/07/18/carbon_capture_the_key_answer_on_climate_change_785998.html

“There is simply no credible way to address the climate challenge without becoming more practical about the way we generate electricity and the need for carbon capture. This shouldn’t be a secondary piece of the solution to reduce global emissions but rather right at the heart of the effort.”

A Tale of Two CCS Worlds

By David Middleton, WUWT, July 20, 2021

See link immediately above.

Smokestack Fighting: Carbon Capture Promises to Slash Emissions, and Greens Hate It

By Vince Bielski Real Clear Investigations July 21, 2021

https://www.realclearenergy.org/2021/07/21/smokestack_fighting_carbon_capture_promises_to_slash_emissions_and_greens_hate_it_786366.html

California Dreaming

Treadmill Decarbonization Doesn’t Help

By Adam Stein, The Breakthrough Institute, July 9, 2021 [H/t Climate Etc.]

https://thebreakthrough.org/blog/treadmill-decarbonization-doesnt-help

“Some proponents of renewables claim that closing nuclear power plants will get them out of the way of cheaper renewables, saving money for the ratepayers. That claim has not been realized. Just for the closure of Diablo Canyon, ratepayers will have to shoulder $437 million in the form of higher electricity prices to support the local economy, community support programs, and more than 1,300 lost jobs.”

Health, Energy, and Climate

Bjorn Lomborg: Climate change and deaths from extreme heat and cold

For now, global warming reduces more deaths than it causes, saving possibly 100,000 lives each year

By Bjorn Lomborg, Financial Post, July 20, 2021

https://financialpost.com/opinion/bjorn-lomborg-climate-change-and-deaths-from-extreme-heat-and-cold

2020 Drug Deaths Spiked 30%. And Pain Pills Had NOTHING To Do With It

New data have been published on drug overdose deaths in 2020. Although you won’t find it anywhere obvious, prescription opioid analgesics remain only a minor (and stable) contributor to the record 93,000 people who died from drug overdoses last year.

By Josh Bloom, ACSH, July 19, 2021

https://www.acsh.org/news/2021/07/19/2020-drug-deaths-spiked-30-and-pain-pills-had-nothing-do-it-15669

Other News that May Be of Interest

Bill Gates’s stranglehold on the MSM: Part 2 – Britain

By Karen Harradine, The Conservative Woman, July 16, 2021 [H/t Paul Homewood]

Journalism’s Gates keepers

By Tim Schwab, Columbia Journalism Review, Aug 21, 2020

https://www.cjr.org/criticism/gates-foundation-journalism-funding.php

“I recently examined nearly twenty thousand charitable grants the Gates Foundation had made through the end of June and found more than $250 million going toward journalism.”

Woke Language Is Changing the Meaning of Words

By John Stossel, The Daily Signal, July 21, 2021

For the First Time Ever, Scientists Witness Chimps Killing Gorillas

The surprising observation could yield new insights into early human evolution.

By George Dvorsky, Gizmodo, July 21, 2021 [H/t Climate Depot]

https://gizmodo.com/for-the-first-time-ever-scientists-witness-chimps-kill-1847330442

Link to paper: Lethal coalitionary attacks of chimpanzees (Pan troglodytes troglodytes) on gorillas (Gorilla gorilla gorilla) in the wild

By Lara M. Southern, Tobias Deschner & Simone Pika, Nature Scientific Reports, July 19, 2021

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-93829-x

From the abstract: “In both events, the chimpanzees significantly outnumbered the gorillas and victims were infant gorillas.”

BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE

Men worse for climate change than women (so if enough transition, will that stop the floods?)

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, July 23, 2021

Link to paper: Shifting expenditure on food, holidays, and furnishings could lower greenhouse gas emissions by almost 40%

By Annika Carlsson Kanyama, et al. Journal of Industrial Ecology, July 19, 2021

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jiec.13176

“Men cause all the bad things (except for this study which mostly written by women):”

Concha rips ‘woke’ leftists over MLB name-change: ‘New York Jets are toast’ because of global warming

The Jets — named for their former stadium’s proximity to La Guardia — could be next.

By Charles Creitz, Fox News, July

https://www.foxnews.com/media/concha-rips-woke-leftists-over-mlb-indians-name-change-new-york-jets-are-toast-bec

Facebook Flags the Name of a Gardening Tool When Used in a Gardening Group

By Bryan Preston, PJ Media, JUL 22, 2021

https://pjmedia.com/news-and-politics/bryan-preston/2021/07/22/facebook-flags-the-name-of-a-gardening-tool-when-used-in-a-gardening-group-n1463887?utm_source=pjmedia&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=nl_pm&newsletterad=&bcid=600713400c5e414103c69dc935baaf47&recip=4143601

Faster Than Predicted

John Kerry says global warming is happening faster than predicted.

By Tony Heller, His Blog, July 21, 2021

Faster Than Predicted

“He also says the Arctic will be ice-free [in the summer] by 2014. [In 2009]

It’s The Pigs Fault!

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of People Know That, July 20, 2021

“I’ve got an idea. Why don’t they just wipe out every animal on earth?”

Uniting Church: “The climate emergency has come about because of our sinfulness”

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, July 21, 2021

We just panel the Sahara and…

By John Robson, Climate Discussion Nexus, July 21, 2021

[SEPP Comment: Think of all those green jobs cleaning the panels after a sandstorm!]

ARTICLES

NO ARTICLES THIS WEEK: Recommend “The Peril of Politicizing Science” under Seeking a Common Ground

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Entertainment

Melissa Gorga reveals what’s in her seashore bag

We interviewed this celebrity because we think you will like her selections. Some of the products shown are from the celebrity’s own line of products or a brand they are paid for. E! has affiliate relationships, so we may receive a commission if you buy something through our links. Items are sold by the retailer, not by E !.

Don’t be the one to end your summer with vacation envy.

When the sun is shining bright and the temperatures are rising Melissa Gorga makes it a priority to spend some time on the Jersey Shore before the end of the season.

“The time we spend as a family in our waterfront home is very special,” the Real Housewives of New Jersey star told E! News. “We have our own little resort and as a family we always make great memories there.”

But for those who want to know what a fashionable mother of three is packing in her beach bag, don’t be surprised anymore! The Bravo Star opened it Envy by Melissa Gorga tote made of paloma straw in taupe as part of the Shop Girl Summer series by E !.

From her favorite bikini line shaving gel to those yummy That’s It Bars, Melissa has you and your crew covered this season with her suggestions below.

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Sport

‘Large constructive’ to function in first full preseason at membership

Christian Pulisic has said featuring in his first full preseason at Chelsea is a “big positive” ahead of the new campaign.

The 22-year-old joined Chelsea from Borussia Dortmund in 2019 but missed the start of the preseason training and only met up with his teammates later that summer.

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The United States men’s national team international also didn’t feature in the club’s preseason plans last season after picking up an injury in the 2020 FA Cup final loss to Arsenal.

However, Pulisic was part of the squad that travelled to the Republic of Ireland this year and said the preparation will help him start the new campaign in a positive manner.

“I think that’s going to be a big positive for me, so I’m looking forward to the start of the season,” he told the club’s official website.

Christian Pulisic impressed during Chelsea’s convincing preseason win over Peterborough United. Photo by Darren Walsh/Chelsea FC via Getty Images

“This year is my first real full preseason at Chelsea and it’s just given me a good chance to get my full fitness and for me to get 100% fit and ready to play 90 minutes once the season begins. Hitting the ground running at the start of the season is the goal, of course.”

Pulisic enjoyed a fine start to preseason after scoring in Chelsea’s emphatic 6-1 victory over Peterborough United last weekend.

Pulisic and Chelsea ended last season by winning the Champions League with a 1-0 win over Premier League champions Manchester City in May.

The forward became the first American male to win the trophy and said he is excited to be back training with his teammates this summer.

“It’s great to be back and see the guys again and getting ready for a new season,” Pulisic added. “In a way it is a bit surreal, it’s starting to feel like, just straight back to work, that kind of feeling, almost like it never happened.

“But it’s great to be back and see the guys again and be getting ready for a new season. It’s been really good so far. I think it’s been a good start, I’m starting to feel fit again and ready to go and I think the team’s looking good.

“We had the game against Peterborough as well, so we started really well by getting a win, and it was a very strong performance as well.”

Chelsea will begin their Premier League campaign with a trip to London rivals Arsenal on Aug. 1.

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Science

A gravitational wave observatory on the moon may “hear” 70% of the observable universe

Gravitational wave astronomy will revolutionize our understanding of the cosmos. In just a few years it has vastly improved our understanding of black holes, but it is still a scientific field in its youth. This means that there are still serious limitations to what can be observed.

Currently, all gravitational observatories are based on Earth. This makes the detectors easier to build and maintain, but it also means that the observatories are plagued by background noise. Observatories like LIGO and Virgo work by measuring the shift in distance between the mirrors when a gravitational wave passes through the observatory. This shift is extremely small. For mirrors that are 4 kilometers apart, the displacement is only a fraction of the width of a proton. The vibrations of a truck driving down a nearby road shift the mirrors much more. Therefore, LIGO and Virgo use black hole merging statistics and models to distinguish a real signal from a false one.

Theoretical observation area for GLOC. Photo credit: Jani, et al

Due to the terrestrial background noise, current observatories focus on the high-frequency gravitational waves (10-1000 Hz) that are generated by the merging of black holes. It was discussed building a space-based gravitational wave observatory like LISA that would observe low frequency gravitational waves such as those generated by early cosmic inflation. But many gravitational waves are in the middle range. In order to recognize this, a current study proposes the construction of a gravitational wave observatory on the moon.

The moon has long been a sought-after place for astronomers. Optical telescopes on the moon wouldn’t suffer from atmospheric blurring, and unlike space-based telescopes like Hubble and Webb, they wouldn’t be limited by the size of your launcher. Most of the ideas proposed were very hypothetical, but with a human return to the moon in view in the next decade, they become fewer. NASA is already investigating the construction of a radio telescope on the distant lunar surface. Building a lunar gravitational wave observatory would be significantly more difficult, but not impossible.

This current study proposes a Gravitational Wave Moon Observatory for Cosmology (GLOC). Rather than worrying about the construction of such an observatory, the study instead focuses on the sensitivity and observation limits of such an observatory. As you might expect, a lunar observatory would not suffer from the background vibrations that disrupt Earth observatories. As a result, it could have a baseline four times longer than LIGO. This would give it a range of gravitational wave frequencies as low as a tenth of a Hertz. This would allow him to observe everything from binary mergers of stellar mass to those of medium mass black holes.

But it could also observe the same kind of mergers as LIGO and Virgo at a much greater distance. Distances so far that the gravitational waves are strongly redshifted. If GLOC were built, it would be able to use distant fusion events to measure the rate of cosmic expansion over billions of years. This would perhaps be its greatest strength because it would allow us to measure the Hubble parameter over much of cosmic history. We would eventually learn whether cosmic expansion is part of the structure of spacetime or whether it varies in time and space.

Of course, the GLOC proposal is purely hypothetical at this point. It will be at least decades before we can build such an observatory. But this study shows that building such a telescope would be worthwhile.

Relation: Jani, Karan and Abraham Loeb. “Gravitational Wave Moon Observatory for Cosmology.” Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics 2021.06 (2021): 044.

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Health

Work flexibility “right here to remain” within the post-Covid world, says the director of three Fortune 500 firms

Companies are monitoring the spread of the Delta-Covid variant as they adjust return-to-office plans and give flexibility to employees, a board member of three Fortune 500 companies told CNBC on Friday.

“I believe hybrid offerings will continue to exist … Flexibility is here to stay, especially if you want to be competitive for talent,” said Shellye Archambeau, director of Verizon, Nordstrom and Roper Technologies. She is also the former CEO of MetricStream, which makes governance, risk management and compliance software.

Archambeau said companies’ concerns about the reopening are being driven by the highly transmissible Delta variant, which was first discovered in India. It is now the dominant strain of Covid in the United States, causing cases and deaths to rise again, especially in largely unvaccinated communities.

“Companies are watching the data very carefully,” said Archambeau. “What I see is that they are trying to be flexible by giving employees the option to return to work, but still watching the numbers and the evolution of the tariffs.”

Archambeau’s remarks come as big corporations try to figure out how to get back to the office safely.

Few companies require their employees to be fully vaccinated before returning to the office, Archambeau said. Instead, she said companies are strongly encouraging and trying to make it easier for employees to get vaccinated, even volunteering to return to the office, and encouraging the wearing of masks and physical distancing protocols for unvaccinated workers.

According to a survey conducted in April by Arizona State University with the support of the Rockefeller Foundation, more than 60% of companies in the US require their employees to have a vaccination certificate, while 44% require all employees to be vaccinated, and 31% encourage vaccinations .

Archambeau, a strategic advisor to the president of ASU, said peer pressure will soon play a bigger role in getting employees to get vaccinated.

Vaccinating children also allows more employees to return to the office so they can continue to attend school, participate in personal activities, and access childcare services.

“I think over time, companies are strongly encouraging their employees to get vaccinated,” said Archambeau. “The way they can work, the kind of roles they can play, is influenced over time, in my opinion, by whether or not they are vaccinated. … People will want to be vaccinated in order to actually do well in the company. “