Month: October 2023

The Allstate Playoff Predictor breaks down which teams have the best chance to make this season’s College Football Playoff.

10/23/2023

Week 9 of the college football season could give us the toughest test to date for two-time defending national champion Georgia, which heads to Jacksonville for its annual rivalry game with Florida. As always, the Allstate Playoff Predictor gives you a chance to look into the future and see the ramifications of this week’s games.

For the past nine years, the Allstate Playoff Predictor has been painting a week-to-week picture of which teams have a realistic chance to be one of the four in the College Football Playoff, and overall, it has been pretty accurate, if we do say so ourselves. All nine champions were given at least a 65% chance to make the CFP before their championship season even began.

Using that stat and the criteria below to set the table, we give you the chance to pick a team and decide how its season will pan out. According to your choices, the Allstate Playoff Predictor will determine how likely that team is to be one of the four CFP semifinalists.

Choose one team

These are the 14 teams with the highest percentage chance to make the CFP, ordered from most to least likely.

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7-1

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7-0

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How does {selected-team} finish the remainder of the regular season?

No team has ever made it to the playoff with more than one loss. Two-loss teams have an outside chance, but three or more losses all but exclude a team from the playoff, so that option isn’t on the table.

Wins Out
One Loss
Two Losses

Which {team-value} does {selected-team} lose to?

The three toughest opponents on the schedule are listed here with the percentage chance {selected-team} wins. Choose {team-count}.

@Wisconsin (88%)

@Rutgers (92%)

@Michigan (47%)

@Kansas (87%)

@Oklahoma State (88%)

TCU (89%)

@Pittsburgh (89%)

Miami (80%)

@Florida (83%)

@Penn State (50%)

@Maryland (86%)

Ohio State (53%)

Missouri (82%)

Ole Miss (69%)

@Tennessee (64%)

LSU (62%)

@Kentucky (88%)

@Auburn (85%)

Kansas State (71%)

@TCU (79%)

@Iowa State (83%)

@USC (50%)

Utah (73%)

@Oregon State (55%)

@Maryland (83%)

Michigan (50%)

Rutgers (94%)

@Utah (69%)

USC (74%)

Oregon State (74%)

@Alabama (38%)

Florida (88%)

Texas A&M (72%)

Texas A&M (63%)

@Georgia (31%)

@Mississippi State (79%)

@Arizona (62%)

Washington (45%)

@Oregon (26%)

Oregon (31%)

@Washington (27%)

@Arizona (58%)

Does {selected-team} win its conference title game?

The College Football Playoff committee greatly values conference championships (27 of 32 CFP selections have been conference champs), but it’s not a requirement.

Yes
No
Didn’t Make It

{selected-team}’s Chances

If the season plays out exactly as you’ve selected, the Allstate Playoff Predictor says this is your postseason outlook.

Sorry, this scenario either isn’t possible or did not play out in enough of the 200,000 simulations run by the Allstate Playoff Predictor to be analyzed.

Pick Another Scenario

These are your team’s chances to win every game left on its schedule, according to the Allstate Playoff Predictor.

View Full List

Week 9 games that matter to the CFP race

The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party between Georgia and Florida tops the list.

Edited by Chris Grandstaff.

Produced by ESPN Creative Studio: Dominique DeMoe, Heather Donahue, Jarret Gabel and Rachel Weiss.

Data managed by ESPN Analytics: Matt Morris, Lauren Poe and Mitchell Wesson.

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State”,”i”:2,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:56,”d”:”Sat, Nov 04″,”o”:”Kentucky”,”e”:401520371,”t”:”Mississippi State”,”i”:96,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:18,”d”:”Sat, Nov 11″,”o”:”@Texas A&M”,”e”:401520397,”t”:”Mississippi State”,”i”:245,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:94,”d”:”Sat, Nov 18″,”o”:”Southern Miss”,”e”:401520412,”t”:”Mississippi State”,”i”:2572,”y”:”NONCONF”},{“p”:21,”d”:”Thu, Nov 23″,”o”:”Ole Miss”,”e”:401520424,”t”:”Mississippi State”,”i”:145,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:71,”d”:”Sat, Nov 04″,”o”:”@Temple”,”e”:401531392,”t”:”Navy”,”i”:218,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:52,”d”:”Sat, Nov 11″,”o”:”UAB”,”e”:401531384,”t”:”Navy”,”i”:5,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:46,”d”:”Sat, Nov 18″,”o”:”East Carolina”,”e”:401531417,”t”:”Navy”,”i”:151,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:5,”d”:”Sat, Nov 25″,”o”:”@SMU”,”e”:401531435,”t”:”Navy”,”i”:2567,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:42,”d”:”Sat, Dec 09″,”o”:”Army”,”e”:401520445,”t”:”Navy”,”i”:349,”y”:”NONCONF”},{“p”:24,”d”:”Sat, Oct 28″,”o”:”Clemson”,”e”:401525534,”t”:”NC State”,”i”:228,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:26,”d”:”Sat, Nov 04″,”o”:”Miami”,”e”:401525544,”t”:”NC State”,”i”:2390,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:49,”d”:”Sat, Nov 11″,”o”:”@Wake Forest”,”e”:401525551,”t”:”NC State”,”i”:154,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:48,”d”:”Sat, Nov 18″,”o”:”@Virginia Tech”,”e”:401525559,”t”:”NC State”,”i”:259,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:24,”d”:”Sat, Nov 25″,”o”:”North Carolina”,”e”:401525562,”t”:”NC State”,”i”:153,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:52,”d”:”Sat, Oct 28″,”o”:”Purdue”,”e”:401520355,”t”:”Nebraska”,”i”:2509,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:48,”d”:”Sat, Nov 04″,”o”:”@Michigan State”,”e”:401520369,”t”:”Nebraska”,”i”:127,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:32,”d”:”Sat, Nov 11″,”o”:”Maryland”,”e”:401520392,”t”:”Nebraska”,”i”:120,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:22,”d”:”Sat, Nov 18″,”o”:”@Wisconsin”,”e”:401520422,”t”:”Nebraska”,”i”:275,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:36,”d”:”Fri, Nov 24″,”o”:”Iowa”,”e”:401520425,”t”:”Nebraska”,”i”:2294,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:49,”d”:”Sat, Oct 28″,”o”:”New Mexico”,”e”:401532604,”t”:”Nevada”,”i”:167,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:61,”d”:”Sat, Nov 04″,”o”:”Hawaii”,”e”:401532610,”t”:”Nevada”,”i”:62,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:16,”d”:”Sat, Nov 11″,”o”:”@Utah State”,”e”:401532615,”t”:”Nevada”,”i”:328,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:30,”d”:”Sat, Nov 18″,”o”:”@Colorado State”,”e”:401532621,”t”:”Nevada”,”i”:36,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:20,”d”:”Sat, Nov 25″,”o”:”Wyoming”,”e”:401532630,”t”:”Nevada”,”i”:2751,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:51,”d”:”Sat, Oct 28″,”o”:”@Nevada”,”e”:401532604,”t”:”New Mexico”,”i”:2440,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:31,”d”:”Sat, Nov 04″,”o”:”UNLV”,”e”:401532611,”t”:”New Mexico”,”i”:2439,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:14,”d”:”Sat, Nov 11″,”o”:”@Boise State”,”e”:401532616,”t”:”New Mexico”,”i”:68,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:10,”d”:”Sat, Nov 18″,”o”:”@Fresno State”,”e”:401532622,”t”:”New Mexico”,”i”:278,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:33,”d”:”Fri, Nov 24″,”o”:”Utah State”,”e”:401532629,”t”:”New Mexico”,”i”:328,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:44,”d”:”Tue, Oct 24″,”o”:”@Louisiana Tech”,”e”:401520345,”t”:”New Mexico State”,”i”:2348,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:62,”d”:”Sat, Nov 04″,”o”:”Middle Tennessee”,”e”:401520372,”t”:”New Mexico State”,”i”:2393,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:26,”d”:”Sat, Nov 11″,”o”:”@Western Kentucky”,”e”:401520399,”t”:”New Mexico State”,”i”:98,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:9,”d”:”Sat, Nov 18″,”o”:”@Auburn”,”e”:401520404,”t”:”New Mexico State”,”i”:2,”y”:”NONCONF”},{“p”:52,”d”:”Sat, Nov 25″,”o”:”Jacksonville State”,”e”:401520437,”t”:”New Mexico State”,”i”:55,”y”:”CONF”},{“p”:”

• NFL Nation, ESPNOct 22, 2023, 11:44 PM ET

Week 7 of the NFL season started Thursday night with Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars holding off a fourth-quarter comeback by the New Orleans Saints.

On Sunday, Lamar Jackson led the Baltimore Ravens in a stellar effort against the Detroit Lions, while the New England Patriots took on the visiting Buffalo Bills and came out victorious, earning Bill Belichick the 300th win of his career. And in the highest-scoring affair of the day so far, the Cleveland Browns and Indianapolis Colts went back and forth trading scores in the fourth quarter until the Browns prevailed.

The Pittsburgh Steelers picked up a victory on the road over the Los Angeles Rams, and Travis Kelce helped lift the Kansas City Chiefs to a 6-1 record with a win over the Los Angeles Chargers.

The night game featured the Philadelphia Eagles handling the top-ranked offense in beating the Miami Dolphins.

Our NFL Nation reporters reacted to all the action, answering lingering questions coming out of each game and picking out who — or what — is rising and falling for every team. Let’s get to it.

Jump to a matchup:
JAX-NO | DET-BAL | CLE-IND | BUF-NE
WSH-NYG | ATL-TB | LV-CHI
SEA-ARI | PIT-LAR | DEN-GB | LAC-KC | MIA-PHI

Eagles

What have the first seven games revealed about QB Jalen Hurts? It’s a tough evaluation. On the one hand, he has helped his team to a 6-1 record. As he’ll regularly point out, the only thing that matters is winning. But he’s turning the ball over at a high clip. He had a pair of giveaways Sunday, including a pick-six in the third quarter that tied the game. He now has 10 turnovers this season, second in the NFL to only Falcons QB Desmond Ridder (11). Bottom line: He has been good enough to get the job done, but he needs to protect the ball better before it costs them.

Stock up after the win: CB Darius Slay. His interception of Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa early in the fourth quarter changed the game. He had good recognition to come off his man and grab the ball intended for Raheem Mostert. “Big Play” Slay did it again, helping the Eagles’ defense keep the league’s No. 1 offense in check.

Stock down after the win: WR Olamide Zaccheaus. He had zero catches on one target. With Julio Jones now in the fold, Zaccheaus’ playing time could be limited. — Tim McManus

Next game: at Commanders (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

Dolphins

How much has the Dolphins’ schedule had to do with their success? The Dolphins are a good team, and their offense is for real with playmakers at every position and quarterback Tua Tagovailoa playing at an MVP level. But it is impossible to ignore the fact that their five wins have come against bad teams. Both of Miami’s games against top-tier opponents have resulted in multiple-score losses. It’s frustrating for players and coaches to hear it but, until they beat a good team, there will be an element of skepticism hanging over the Dolphins.

Stock up after the loss: Miami’s front seven. The Dolphins pressured Jalen Hurts 16 times Sunday night, sacking him three times and forcing two turnovers.

Stock down after the loss: The Dolphins’ offensive line. It entered the game without two injured starters and lost left guard Isaiah Wynn early in the game. The results against an elite Eagles front seven were predictably poor with 14 pressures, three sacks allowed and 45 rushing yards. — Marcel Louis-Jacques

Next game: vs. Patriots (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

Broncos

How did the defense go from a 70-20 loss to the Dolphins to allowing two touchdowns to the Packers? The Broncos’ defense gave up two touchdowns Sunday and has shown more progress in many ways than the team’s offense. Defensive coordinator Vance Joseph has tweaked the lineup with Fabian Moreau starting at corner opposite of Pat Surtain II to go with rookie linebacker Drew Sanders being added into the nickel package. They’ve also done better with their run fits and have played with far more passion and far more assignment sound football.

Stock up after the win: RB Javonte Williams. Further recovered from last season’s knee injury, he is running with decisiveness and power, averaging 5.5 yards on 15 rushes Sunday, showing a little more what he could mean to an offense that desperately needs some reliable options on early downs.

Stock down after the win: CB Damarri Mathis. The second-year cornerback started the Thursday night loss to the Chiefs, and despite the Broncos’ defense surrendering just one touchdown in the game, it was Moreau in as a starter against the Packers — and judging by the results, it is expected the veteran will be the pick moving forward. — Jeff Legwold

Next game: vs. Chiefs (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)

Packers

If the Packers can’t beat this team, who can they beat? Before Sunday, the Broncos were allowing 33.3 points and 440.3 yards per game — both most in the NFL. Yet the Packers couldn’t muster any offense (100 meaningless yards in the first half) until the third quarter, and they needed some trickery (see below) to finally do it. Sure, they have the Vikings and Rams at home in the next two weeks, but that’s coming off losses to the Raiders and Broncos.

Stock up after the loss: WR Dontayvion Wicks. The rookie got involved — and not just catching the ball. Shortly after he caught a 17-yard pass from QB Jordan Love, he threw one for 14 to RB Aaron Jones that helped set up the Packers’ first points of the game, a field goal with 10:24 left in the third quarter.

Stock down after the loss: Love. Sunday was his fourth straight game with an interception, the longest streak by a Packers starting quarterback in a season since Matt Flynn in 2013 (four straight). — Rob Demovsky

Next game: vs. Vikings (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

play

0:28

Steelers convert controversial fourth down to seal win over Rams

The referees rule that Steelers QB Kenny Pickett earns a first down, but replays show he may have been short, with the Rams unable to challenge the call.

Chiefs

Is tight end Travis Kelce getting better with age? It’s difficult to argue that the 34-year-old version of Kelce isn’t the best. Kelce, whose birthday was Oct. 5, caught 12 passes for 179 yards and a touchdown Sunday. In the three games since his birthday, he has 31 catches for 370 yards and two touchdowns.

Editor’s Picks

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Stock up after the win: Pass rush. The Chiefs had five sacks, none from DT Chris Jones. One of the biggest plays of the game came from DE Charles Omenihu, who tipped a pass from QB Justin Herbert in the red zone in the third quarter, resulting in an interception.

Stock down after the win: Running game. It took no pressure off QB Patrick Mahomes and the passing game. Not counting Mahomes’ scrambles, the Chiefs rushed for 39 yards and an average of fewer than three yards. — Adam Teicher

Next game: at Broncos (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)

Chargers

Will Brandon Staley finish the season as Chargers head coach? The Chargers have several players who are considered among the best at their position, from Herbert to Khalil Mack. But the Chargers have underperformed under Staley, and Sunday was the latest instance. They couldn’t stop Mahomes (424 yards, four touchdowns) and Kelce (179 yards, one touchdown). The defense forced two turnovers, but the offense did not capitalize. Now at 2-4, this team’s chance at the postseason is slipping away.

Stock up after the loss: RB Joshua Kelley. The Chargers’ rushing has been the team’s biggest issue on offense nearly all season. But it didn’t look that way Sunday when Kelley burst for a 49-yard score in the first quarter. Kelley finished as the team’s leading rusher with seven carries for 75 yards.

Stock down after the loss: Pass defense. The Chiefs scored 24 points in the first half, the second most the Chargers have allowed in the opening half since Staley became coach. Mahomes’ 321 passing yards were the second most in any half of his career. Mahomes got it done however he wanted. It was a breakdown at every level for this unit. — Kris Rhim

Next game: vs. Bears (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

Steelers

Can the Steelers’ offense play two complete halves? It’s fitting that there was a suite full of fans dressed and face-painted as zombies at SoFi Stadium because the Pittsburgh Steelers’ offense looked like the walking dead for the first three quarters of Sunday’s 24-17 win against the Los Angeles Rams. At halftime the Steelers had just three points and 91 yards. But in the second half, the Steelers scored touchdowns on three of their first four drives — all on the ground for their first rushing touchdowns of the season. Coming alive in the second half isn’t new for the Steelers’ offense. Entering Sunday, they gained 791 yards in the second half to 550 in the second. They also averaged 5.0 yards per play in the second to 4.0 in the first. Sunday, they dug out of a six-point halftime deficit with 210 yards of offense in the second half — including 191 yards in the fourth quarter.

Stock up after the win: LB T.J. Watt. Not sure if Watt’s stock can go any higher, but perennial Defensive Player of the Year candidate got his first interception of the season on the first play of the second half, setting up the Steelers’ first touchdown three plays later.

Stock down after the win: WR George Pickens. Yes, he recorded back-to-back 100-yard games for the first time in his career, but he also had two costly penalties — including a fourth-quarter taunting call that turned his 18-yard gain into a 3-yard pick up. WR Diontae Johnson got dinged for a late taunting call, too. — Brooke Pryor

Next game: vs. Jaguars (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

Rams

Will Brett Maher be the Rams’ kicker next week? You’d think this will at least be a discussion for the Rams after the kicker missed two field goals and an extra point Sunday, leaving seven points on the board in a seven-point loss. The Rams’ next game is against the Dallas Cowboys, the team Maher played for last season when he missed a record-four extra points in a playoff game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Stock up after the loss: WR Puka Nacua. Even with Cooper Kupp on the field, the fifth-round rookie has shown he is an important part of this Rams offense. He is the second player in NFL history with 700 or more receiving yards in his first seven career games. Nacua had eight receptions for 154 yards Sunday.

Stock down after the loss: RB Zach Evans. The rookie was the only healthy running back on the active roster Monday morning after injuries to Kyren Williams and Ronnie Rivers before Los Angeles added two running backs and promoted Royce Freeman from the practice squad to the active roster. Evans did not have a carry on Sunday. — Sarah Barshop

Next game: at Cowboys (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

play

1:26

Lamar Jackson picks up 4 TDs in dominant win

Lamar Jackson shines with three passing touchdowns and a rushing touchdown, leading the Ravens to a huge win over the Lions at home.

Seahawks

Is quarterback Geno Smith pressing? That might be the best explanation for why he has thrown an ugly red zone interception in each of the past two games. Before last week, he hadn’t been picked off inside the 20 since he became Seattle’s starter in 2022. Smith has now thrown three interceptions over the last two games and isn’t exhibiting the sound decision-making that highlighted the first half of his 2022 Pro Bowl season. He did throw two touchdown passes Sunday, but Smith also got away with what was nearly a second interception — one reason why Seattle couldn’t put the game away until late.

Stock up after the win: OLB Boye Mafe. Of all the players from the Seahawks’ stellar 2022 draft class, no one is taking a bigger second-year jump than Mafe. Last year’s second-round pick has a sack in each of the past four games as well as a pass defended against Arizona.

Stock down after the win: Run defense. The Seahawks entered Week 7 allowing an NFL-best 3.2 yards per carry over their first five games, marking a massive turnaround from last season. But the league’s best run defense sprung a few leaks against Arizona, which finished with 127 rushing yards on 25 attempts for a 5.1-yard average. — Brady Henderson

Next game: vs. Browns (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET)

Cardinals

Why can’t the Cardinals convert turnovers into touchdowns? Arizona recovered two fumbles, intercepted Smith once and turned them into just three points. After both fumble recoveries, the Cardinals took over at Seattle’s 30- and 34-yard line, respectively, but each drive was derailed by self-inflicted mistakes. On one, the Cardinals fed running back Emari Demercado for a total of 8 yards. On the other, a bad snap pushed Arizona back 14 yards after getting to the Seattle 15.

Stock up after the loss: CB Garrett Williams. The rookie had an interception in his NFL debut Sunday, picking off Smith late in the third quarter.

Stock down after the loss: Passing game. It cleared 100 yards midway through the fourth quarter and did not have a completion longer than 21 yards. Quarterback Joshua Dobbs’ 114 yards were his second fewest of the season. — Josh Weinfuss

Next game: vs. Ravens (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)

Browns

What is up with Deshaun Watson? Watson exited the game in the first quarter after taking a shot from Colts DE Dayo Odeyingbo. The team announced that Watson had cleared the concussion protocol, but it didn’t say why he didn’t return. Watson had missed Cleveland’s previous two games with a rotator cuff strain in his right (throwing) shoulder. It’s unclear whether he reinjured the shoulder. It’s also unclear when the $230 million passer will be back on the field again. “I just did not want to put him back out there,” Browns coach Kevin Stefanski said. “I wanted to protect our franchise quarterback. That was my decision.”

Stock up after the win: DE Myles Garrett. Garrett delivered one of the best performances of his All-Pro career, becoming the first player since at least 2000 to have two sacks, force two fumbles and block a field goal — all of which led to 17 of Cleveland’s points.

Stock down after the win: The passing game. With the quarterback uncertainty, the Cleveland passing attack remains a shell of what the Browns were hoping it could be going into the season. Watson and PJ Walker were a combined 16 of 37 for 166 yards, two interceptions and no touchdowns. — Jake Trotter

Next game: at Seahawks (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET)

Colts

How far can the Colts go with Gardner Minshew at QB? The Colts got an uneven performance from Minshew as he committed four turnovers (one interception, three fumbles) a week after he turned it over three times in a loss to the Jaguars. But Minshew also took advantage of opportunities as he threw two TD passes and rushed for two more. If the Colts want to remain competitive with Anthony Richardson on injured reserve, then Minshew is going to have to play a bit cleaner, so the Colts aren’t having to overcome his giveaways.

Stock up after the loss: CB Kenny Moore II. He finished with 10 tackles and 1.5 sacks, providing a huge presence as a pass-defender, pass-rusher and in run support. It was the kind of all-around performance that earned Moore the reputation of being one of the better nickel cornerbacks in the game.

Stock down after the loss: Coach Shane Steichen. The Colts had a good game plan but also had to overcome some curious decisions, including a 60-yard field goal attempt early in a tight game that was blocked by Myles Garrett, and using a deep pass drop in the end zone with Minshew in the final moments of the second quarter — leading to a defensive touchdown. — Stephen Holder

Next game: vs. Saints (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

play

0:14

How on Earth did Puka Nacua catch this?

Puka Nacua makes a leaping catch and somehow manages to stay in bounds for a 32-yard reception for the Rams.

Falcons

Why is Atlanta having red zone turnover problems? It might be because the offense’s best option, Bijan Robinson, was primarily used as a decoy for reasons unclear. But either way, quarterback Desmond Ridder, following a 2-yard touchdown run on the Falcons’ first drive, proceeded to lose three red zone fumbles — marking the first time that has happened in 45 years. It also marks the first time a team had three red zone turnovers of any kind in a game since quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick threw three interceptions for the New York Jets in 2016. It’s beyond Ridder, though. Critical errors have plagued the offense. But a game-winning drive, once again punctuated by a Younghoe Koo field goal, saved the day.

Stock up after the win: RB Tyler Allgeier. With Robinson barely used, Allgeier became the featured back and had 20 carries for 59 yards and 53 receiving yards, highlighted by a career-long 46-yard reception.

Stock down after the win: CB A.J. Terrell. Terrell didn’t necessarily have a bad game, but he had three big penalties called on him, which is a rarity for Atlanta’s top cornerback. — Michael Rothstein

Next game: at Titans (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

Buccaneers

Can the Bucs remain afloat if they have to rely on the defense? The defense was able to recover three fumbles in the red zone, but pre-snap penalties, a paltry 41 rushing yards from the running backs and more struggles on third down were certainly not what quarterback Baker Mayfield envisioned when he called for the offense to get “pissed off” and “put more points on the board” last week. Running back Rachaad White’s production in the passing game was encouraging, but they need more from the offense.

Stock up after the loss: The defensive rookies. Defensive tackle Calijah Kancey had a half sack (to go with his first career sack last week) and linebacker Yaya Diaby recovered a botched snap at the Tampa Bay 3-yard line.

Stock down after the loss: QB Baker Mayfield. Mayfield led a drive late in the fourth quarter that set up a game-tying field goal with less than a minute left, but he also overthrew tight end Cade Otton and was intercepted with the Bucs trailing by three and in field goal range on the previous drive. — Jenna Laine

Next game: at Bills (Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET)

play

0:22

Kareem Hunt powers in late go-ahead TD for Browns

Kareem Hunt fights through tackles to give the Browns a lead with 15 seconds left in the fourth quarter.

Giants

Can this spark some sort of run? The four-game losing streak is over. The Giants finally scored a touchdown after almost four games of offensive impotence. Wink Martindale’s defensive unit had six sacks after recording five over the first six games. They allowed just one touchdown, which came on a short field after a muffed punt. The Giants now have a chance to string together some wins with upcoming games against the Jets and Raiders. It’ll help that quarterback Daniel Jones and left tackle Andrew Thomas have a realistic chance of returning next week.

Stock up after the win: TE Darren Waller. It was only a matter of time given the talent and target share, but Waller finally had a breakout game as New York’s No. 1 receiver with seven catches on eight targets for 98 yards and his first touchdown as a Giant.

Stock down after the win: The punt returners. The Giants muffed two punts Sunday, including one by Sterling Shepard that changed the shape of the game. Shepard was in for rookie Eric Gray, who muffed one earlier in the contest as his struggles continued. — Jordan Raanan

Next game: vs. Jets (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

Commanders

Where do they go from here? Washington has now lost to the previously 0-4 Chicago Bears and the previously 1-5 New York Giants in the past three weeks. The Commanders have looked woeful at times on offense, and their defense has not lived up to expectations. They are now 3-4 with an upcoming home game versus Philadelphia and then hit the road for two weeks. This was a measuring-stick season for the football staff, and they have yet to make a case for their 2024 return.

Stock up after the loss: WR Terry McLaurin. The wideout finished with 90 yards on six catches — all coming in the second half and providing the only real energy on offense.

Stock down after the loss: The offensive line. It generated no push in the run game, allowed six sacks (to be fair, the game plan didn’t help them at all) and were called for seven penalties. — John Keim

Next game: vs. Eagles (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

play

1:26

Desmond Ridder fumbles 3 times vs. Bucs

Desmond Ridder turns the ball over three times against the Buccaneers.

Patriots

Can this performance be the catalyst for the Patriots to turn their season around? The Patriots are still 2-5, but this is something players needed to experience — a clutch win in the final minutes in a back-and-forth game against one of the NFL’s better teams. QB Mac Jones hadn’t led a comeback win like it in his career. It looked like the Patriots were going to blow it in the fourth quarter, only to show impressive resolve on the game-winning drive that ended with tight end Mike Gesicki’s touchdown catch with 12 seconds remaining. They started faster and outside of a late fumble by receiver Kendrick Bourne, took care of the football (+1 turnover differential), which is a winning formula.

Stock up after the win: WR Demario Douglas. The 2023 sixth-round pick out of Liberty is the team’s most dynamic playmaker, as he provided the type of spark the offense badly needed after returning from missing last week due to a concussion (4 catches for 54 yards; 1 rush for 20 yards; 1 punt return for 25 yards).

Stock down after the win: The defensive backs. Jabrill Peppers missed a tackle on James Cook’s 8-yard TD catch in the third quarter, fellow starting safety Kyle Dugger whiffed on third-and-15 on the ensuing drive, and CB J.C. Jackson couldn’t bring down Stefon Diggs on his 25-yard TD pass in the fourth quarter. — Mike Reiss

Next game: at Dolphins (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

Bills

Can the Bills’ offense reverse the trend of slow starts? The Bills’ offense has a problem. Over the past three games, the team has averaged 5.7 points in the first three quarters of each game (second lowest in the league) and was forced to attempt late comebacks, only one of which was successful. It’s a stunning reversal from the three straight games of 37-plus points that preceded this stretch. Quarterback Josh Allen was pressured on a season-high 42.9% of dropbacks Sunday, one of several things that needs to be corrected.

Stock up after the loss: TE Dalton Kincaid. After missing last week’s game while in concussion protocol, the rookie got more involved in the offense, finishing as the Bills’ leading receiver and setting career highs in targets (eight), receptions (eight) and receiving yards (75).

Stock down after the loss: The defensive tackles. The Bills will be without DaQuan Jones (pectoral) for significant time, but with Ed Oliver (toe) out of this game, the depth problems at defensive tackle were on full display. The Patriots averaged 4 yards per carry, up from their season average of 3.4, and quarterback Mac Jones was pressured on just 20% of his dropbacks. — Alaina Getzenberg

Next game: vs. Buccaneers (Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET)

Ravens

Does this win stamp the Ravens as a Super Bowl contender? An emphatic yes. Baltimore destroyed an upstart Lions team that entered tied for the best record in the NFL and on a streak of four straight wins by double digits. The Ravens ran the Lions out of M&T Bank Stadium from the start, becoming only the second team in the NFL this season to hold a 28-point lead in the first half. Lamar Jackson looked like an NFL MVP again, leading Baltimore to touchdowns on its first four drives. After disappointing losses to the Colts and Steelers, several Ravens players talked this week about how this team should be undefeated. This was Baltimore’s statement game — one with an exclamation point. This was the third-largest margin of victory against a team with the NFL’s best record entering Week 7 or later, according to research from the Elias Sports Bureau.

Stock up after the win: Jackson. This was among Jackson’s best passing games of his career. He finished with his second-most passing yards (357) and threw three touchdowns for the first time since Week 3 of last season.

Stock down after the win: RB Justice Hill. He was part of a botched exchange with Jackson that led to Baltimore’s eighth lost fumble, which is tied for second most in the NFL. Jackson had words with Hill after the play and threw his helmet at the bench on the sideline. Hill finished with four carries for 46 yards and one 2-yard target. — Jamison Hensley

Next game: at Cardinals (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET)

Lions

Did Lamar Jackson expose the Lions’ defense? The Lions allowed the Ravens to score a touchdown on each of their first four possessions, led by dual playmaker Lamar Jackson. Detroit, which has struggled against mobile quarterbacks dating back to last year, allowed Jackson to set the tone early with 156 passing yards in the opening quarter alone. After the Lions held Tampa Bay to six points last week, they let the Ravens put up 503 total yards of offense with 38 points.

Stock up after the loss: RB Jahmyr Gibbs. There weren’t many positives to take away from Sunday, but Gibbs returned from a two-game absence with a hamstring injury to score the Lions’ first touchdown of the game in the fourth quarter — also the first of his NFL career. Without David Montgomery, Detroit’s ground attack got off to a slow start, but the No. 12 overall pick was one of the few bright spots in the Lions’ first road loss of the season as he ended with 68 rushing yards and 58 receiving yards while getting the majority of the rushing workload.

Stock down after the loss: QB Jared Goff. The Ravens’ defense has given the veteran fits throughout his career as they’re one of two teams he never has thrown a touchdown against, including the Pittsburgh Steelers. Goff struggled again while under constant pressure, completing just 33 of 53 passes for 284 yards. Detroit had 337 total net yards. Goff is now 0-3 versus Baltimore in his career. — Eric Woodyard

Next game: vs. Raiders (Monday, Oct. 30, 8:15 p.m. ET)

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Saquon shakes off multiple Commanders for a 32-yard TD

Tyrod Taylor throws short to Saquon Barkley, who weaves through tackles and scores a 32-yard touchdown.

Bears

How did Tyson Bagent unlock the Bears’ offense? The rookie quarterback was efficient (21-of-29, 162 yards, TD), calm and in control during his first career start in place of an injured Justin Fields. He threw with anticipation and connected with seven different receivers in the passing game. The elements of this offense that had struggled in recent weeks seemed to find solutions with Bagent at QB, like the screen game (5-for-5 for 30 yards) and third-down conversions (8-of-13). Bagent’s poise helped the Bears earn their first home win since Sept. 25, 2022, and gives the offense something to build on entering Week 8.

Stock up after the win: RB D’Onta Foreman. The Bears running back had a team-high 89 rushing yards (5.6 yards per carry) and put himself among a list of Chicago greats when he rushed for two touchdowns and caught a TD pass, becoming the fifth Bear to do so in the same game in the past 60 seasons, joining Matt Forte, Neal Anderson, Walter Payton and Gale Sayers.

Stock down after the win: The offense’s clock management. Chicago botched an opportunity to lead a two-minute drive at the end of the first half after burning 27 seconds between a 6-yard reception by Darnell Mooney and third-down catch by DJ Moore that got the offense to the Vegas 47-yard line. The Bears used only one of their three timeouts, and not until after Bagent was sacked and created a third-and-17 from the Bears’ 46-yard line. — Courtney Cronin

Next game: at Chargers (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)

Raiders

Can Jimmy Garoppolo ‘fix’ the offense next week? He better, after the offense looked so listless under Brian Hoyer against the Bears. Hoyer, in his 15th NFL season, got the start in place of Garoppolo, out with an injured back, because he ostensibly gave the Raiders a better chance of success than rookie Aidan O’Connell. The plan backfired as Hoyer was just 17-of-32 for 129 yards and two interceptions, including a pick-six, with several more off-target throws before being benched in the fourth quarter. The defeat extended his personal losing streak to 13 games, dating to 2016.

Stock up after the loss: WR Davante Adams. After voicing his frustrations on not having a bigger role on the offense, the All-Pro receiver had three catches for 29 yards on the Raiders’ first drive, bettering and equaling his numbers from last week’s game (two catches for 29 yards). In fact, through three drives, Hoyer was 5-of-7 for 48 yards targeting Adams and 0-for-3 with an INT targeting all others, as Adams finished with seven catches for 57 yards on 11 targets.

Stock down after the loss: The rush defense. Sure, the Bears entered the game with the NFL’s No. 7-ranked rushing offense, but the way Chicago ran over and around the Raiders could provide a chilling blueprint for future opponents. The Bears rumbled for 173 yards, averaging 4.6 yards per carry, as Foreman had two rushing TDs and another through the air. — Paul Gutierrez

Next game: at Lions (Monday, Oct. 30, 8:15 p.m. ET)

Thursday

Jaguars

What will it take for the Jaguars to put teams away? The past three weeks have been the same story: build a lead early, stagnate on offense, allow the opponent to come back and make a play late to win. It’s not a sustainable way to win in the NFL. The defense is doing its part — a league-high 16 forced turnovers — but the offense has yet to put together a complete game. Getting injured players back should help, but so would playing better in the third quarter. The Jaguars average 210 yards (62 rushing) in the first half, but just 59 and 27 in the third quarter.

Stock up after the win: QB Trevor Lawrence. He wasn’t sure he’d be able to play Thursday because of a sprained left knee, but all he did was rush for a career-high 63 yards and beat out Saints RB Alvin Kamara by a yard to be the game’s leading rusher. It certainly wasn’t planned for him to run five times, but he wasn’t going to limit himself.

Stock down after the win: WR Calvin Ridley. He was targeted only four times — and the first didn’t come until the third quarter — and had just one catch for 5 yards. That was mainly because the Saints put CB Marshon Lattimore on him. — Mike DiRocco

Next game: at Steelers (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

Saints

How do the Saints get on the same page offensively? The Saints have 10 long days to figure out how to fix their problems that have plagued them since the opener. The Saints continue to mention inconsistency and miscommunication issues, but as the midpoint of the season draws close, they need to figure out ways to work as a unit on offense.

Stock up after the loss: RB Alvin Kamara. The offense hasn’t come close to putting it together, but Kamara was the only one consistently making plays — catching 12 passes for 91 yards, his fourth-highest total for receptions in a game.

Stock down after the loss: QB Derek Carr. Coach Dennis Allen said that “somehow, some way” Carr and the receivers need to get on the same page after another game in which he passed for 300 yards but couldn’t find a way to score when it counted. — Katherine Terrell

Next game: at Colts (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)