In a recently published editorial, the researchers claim that climate change is driving more powerful and more common hurricanes, which in turn causes a widespread school closure, which it describes as a “overlooked consequence” of our supposedly deteriorating climate. This story is wrong. The available data show no trend to increase the hurricane frequency or intensity due to the climate change induced by humans. If the storms do not deteriorate themselves, the claim that they cause more missed school days due to climate change under its own weight.
The central claim that hurricanes become more destructive and more common due to climate change is refuted by long -term observation data and the official position of the most important scientific institutions.
According to the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), there is no strong indication of an increase in the number or intensity of hurricanes worldwide due to the climate change caused by humans. In fact, Noaa writes:
“It is premature to conclude that the increasing atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations had a demonstrable influence on the hurricane activity of the Atlantic basin.”
Although NOAA ascribes a “possible” increase in the storm intensity in some pelvis, it is consistent that natural variability plays a dominant role in hurricane behavior, especially in the Atlantic, where multidecadal oscillations – like the Atlantic Multidal -Oscillation (AMO) – are primary drivers of activity of activities.
In addition, the historic Hurricane Tracks database from NOAA shows that the frequency of the US hurricanes has not increased in the last century. What is more meaningful is that the landing of the great hurricane (category 3 and higher) has remained steady or even slightly decreased if they have been viewed in long -term recordings. (See illustration below)
Figure 1. This figure shows that the global activity of the hurricane and the tropical cyclone does not increase. Even with the slight increase in the number of tropical storms in 2021, it is still below the peak recorded in 1971. Source: Ryan N. Maue, “Global Tropical Cyclone Activity”, Climate Atlas, accessed May 4, 2025.
In fact, the climate was at a glance: 2005 to 2016 Hurricanes marked the longest route in US history without a great hurricane who landed, a record-breaking 11-year break. When climate change refueling more serious hurricanes into the United States, where did you hide over a decade?
Even the often quoted intergovernmental body for climate change (IPCC) is correct. Your AR6 working group I reports that there are “Low trust” in long -term (hundred years) increase in the frequency or intensity of hurricanes. This is not a skeptical website that speaks – it is the IPCC itself that admits that the data does not justify alarmism.
The authors of the Phys.org piece make the speculative jump of “climate-related hurricanes” “missed school days”. But their logic runs from the rails here. There is no credible evidence that combine climate change with educational disorders. Even if stormy school closings increase in some areas, the cause is due to changes in the administrative guideline, liability concerns and improved emergency protocols than to more intensive weather.
Schools today have better warning systems for bad weather and can be closed faster as a precaution than 20 or 30 years ago. In the past decades, a hurricane of Category 1, which is approaching the coast, might lead to weather warning. Today it often leads to several days of switching, even in regions that escape the main load of the storm. This change reflects institutional behavior – no climatological changes.
Hurricanes have always bothered the coastal life, but since it has not increased hurricane or intensity in the recent times of the slight warming, it is impossible to attribute hurrican to increase school closures.
This article is a textbook example for poor research as an urgent political insight. By stretching an already weak climate claim about the deteriorating cyclone-in an even more difficult social consequence-related school days obliged to draw with the cardinal sin of science: influencing conclusions from dark, cherry-sophisticated evidence. There is no measurable increase in hurricane strength or frequency. Therefore, there is no crisis of climate change that the school disorder has driven. The authors of this editorial should receive an âfâ in climate competence – to pass the scientific odor test. Readers earn better than this type of non -supported alarmism.
Anthony Watts
Anthony Watts is a senior fellow for the environment and climate at the Heartland Institute. Watts has been working as an on-air TV in the weather business and behind the camera as an on-air television meteorologist. He has created weather graphics presentation systems for television, specialized weather instruments and papers prepared together with specialist problems. He operates the most viewed website of the world in the climate, the award -winning website wattsupwiththat.com.
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