By NOT MANY PEOPLE KNOW THAT
By Paul Homewood
Roger Pielke Jr. has long opposed the fraudulent disinformation campaign about the “billion dollar” disaster.
Now he has gone a step further with this peer-reviewed article:
Abstract
For more than two decades, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has published a census of weather-related disasters in the United States estimated to have exceeded $1 billion (adjusted for inflation) in damages in any calendar year since 1980. The dataset is widely cited and used in research and evaluation, and has been used to justify policy actions in federal agencies, Congress, and by the U.S. President. This document evaluates the dataset against procedural and content criteria defined in NOAA's Information Quality and Scientific Integrity Guidelines. The evaluation concludes that the “Billion Dollar Disasters” dataset does not meet these criteria. Therefore, public claims made by NOAA regarding the dataset and its significance are flawed and sometimes misleading. In particular, NOAA falsely claims that the dataset demonstrates detection and attribution of changes in climate timescales for some types of extreme weather. Equally flawed are NOAA's claims that the rising annual number of billion-dollar disasters is partly a result of human-caused climate change. NOAA's claims of having achieved detection and attribution are not supported by any scientific analysis it has conducted. Given the dataset's importance and influence in science and policy, NOAA should act quickly to address this lack of scientific integrity.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s44304-024-00011-0
Roger also wrote an explanatory post here.
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