Charles Oliveira and Michael Chandler will fight for the UFC lightweight title at the Toyota Center in Houston on Saturday, which the recently retired Khabib Nurmagomedov cleared at the UFC 262 main event.
Oliveira and Chandler took completely different journeys to get to this point. Oliveira is one of the longest-serving UFC fighters who, with a decade in promotion, never had a chance for a title, while Chandler has only been in the UFC for eight months – but the former Bellator champion is in a prime position, which he can complement his legacy.
Oliveira holds the all-time UFC record for most submissions (14), Performance of the Night Awards (10) and is tied with Donald Cerrone (16) for the most placements in UFC history. But it wasn’t until 2018 that Oliveira began a hot streak of eight straight wins, all but one of which ended within the distance.
But Oliveira will face one of the greatest fighters in Bellator history as former three-time champ Michael Chandler looks to add UFC hardware to his resume. The 35-year-old made his UFC debut in January with a dazzling first-round stop from Dan Hooker. That win earned him a chance at the UFC title and Chandler is well aware that in a talented division he may not get another shot.
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Here are the betting odds to help you make your selection.
All odds courtesy of FanDuel.
UFC 262 odds for Charles Oliveira versus Michael Chandler
- Charles Oliveira: -142
- Michael Chandler: +116
- Tie: +5000
Despite being a three-time Bellator champion, Chandler will enter the fray as the underdog of an adversary who, with the promotion, will receive his first shot at UFC gold in over a decade. Oliveira is a favorite of -142, which means it would take $ 142 to wager to make a $ 100 profit if the Brazilian emerges victorious. Chandler is the slight underdog at +116 which means a bet of $ 100 would produce a profit of $ 116 if Chandler wins.
Charles Oliveira versus Michael Chandler Prop Betting
- Oliveira from (T) KO: +460
- Oliveira after submission: +220
- Oliveira by decision: +600
- Chandler from (T) KO: +200
- Chandler after submission: +1 700
- Chandler by decision: +600
Some fighters find out later than others, and Charles Oliveira comes up with just that. After a relatively high up and down during the first seven years at the UFC when he went 10-8 with a no contest, Oliveira’s game came together in a way that saw the Brazilian win eight straight wins with five entries and two on dominant Wise, it was able to post knockouts along the way. Rather than just being a submission specialist, Oliveira rounded out his strike to become a threat almost everywhere in the Octagon. And when a fighter like Oliveira finds out, it’s really difficult to stop her.
Some may think Chandler’s shot at UFC Gold is a little premature considering he only has one fight in the organization. However, given his history as a three-time Bellator champion and the UFC that needs new faces in the cover picture, this makes sense. Apart from a loss to Patricio Pitbull and an injury that shortened his night against Brett Primus, Chandler had been arguably one of the best lightweights in the world for half a decade. He is a heavy-handed pressure fighter and excellent wrestling.
The first thing that you should eliminate is that the judges are involved in the outcome. Chandler and Oliveira teamed up for 66 fights and only 11 of them made a decision. Given your particular fighting style, it is highly unlikely that it will last the full 25 minutes.
But how will it end? There are two options: Chandler by knockout (+200) or Oliveira by submission (+220). Chandler has never been submitted in his MMA career while Oliveira has been eliminated four times. However, a fighter like Chandler is one who plays Oliveira straight into the hand. Chandler has never fought an opponent who comes close to the Oliveira caliber in the Jiujitsu department. All it takes is a failed shutdown attempt for Chandler to find himself in a guillotine or chain of attempts at submission. He has to avoid Chandler’s power and that’s a big job. But considering that Oliveira likes to fight opponents who are putting pressure on like he did against Tony Ferguson, we like his chances of quitting the job.
Sports news selection: Charles Oliveira on presentation
Chances of winning: (+220)