Categories
Sport

Max Scherzer thrilled to have one other ‘nice probability to win’ as he settles in with Los Angeles Dodgers

For a few hours on Thursday, it seemed as if Max Scherzer was headed to the San Diego Padres.

Reports began to circulate at around 1 p.m. PT that the Padres were on the verge of acquiring the three-time Cy Young Award winner with a little less than 24 hours remaining before the trade deadline.

Scherzer, who had accepted the fact that his time with the Washington Nationals was coming to an abrupt end, heard rumblings from teammates. But he hadn’t yet received a call from Mike Rizzo, the Nationals’ general manager.

“Rumors are rumors until you actually get the phone call,” Scherzer said. “The fact that Twitter was going off and I hadn’t gotten a phone call, I knew something else was probably in the weeds. That’s what it is. You can’t always fall for Twitter, but Twitter usually is pretty good.”

Roughly four hours later, the Los Angeles Dodgers emerged as frontrunners to acquire Scherzer and his teammate, shortstop Trea Turner. By the end of the night, the deal was agreed to. On Friday, it was finalized. On Saturday, Scherzer joined the Dodgers in Phoenix. And on Wednesday, in the second of a highly anticipated two-game series against the Houston Astros, he’ll make his Dodgers debut.

“It’s fun to join these guys because we have a great chance to win,” Scherzer said, “but it’s gonna take a lot of work to get there. Nothing’s assured yet.”

Scherzer had the ability to veto any trade because of his 10-and-5 rights (10 years of major league service time, five consecutive years with the same organization). The Nationals’ 5-17 start to July gave Rizzo clarity that he needed to, in Scherzer’s words, “give a facelift to the organization to provide resources.”

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Scherzer, 37, said he was driving himself “crazy” trying to decide his next course of action. Rather than selecting a team he wanted to be traded to, he provided a list of teams he would accept. Given that he would only be joining that team for two to three months, he wanted to ensure that he remained in the National League and that he pitched in a city with a warm climate. His last start for the Nationals came on Thursday afternoon, when he pitched six innings, largely to alleviate industry concerns over the triceps issue that had forced him to skip a prior turn through the rotation.

On a bus ride back from Philadelphia later that afternoon, he received word he was heading to the Dodgers, the reigning World Series champions who lead the majors in run-differential but trail the first-place San Francisco Giants. Albert Pujols greeted Scherzer with a hug when he arrived in the clubhouse.

“Crazy,” Scherzer, speaking via videoconference from Dodger Stadium on Tuesday, said of what the last week has been like. “Crazy’s the understatement, too. It was a lot easier before kids and dogs and everything, but now with three kids and four dogs, life’s a lot more hectic. We’re picking the circus up from D.C. and trying to get it to L.A. as soon as possible.”

Scherzer — whose acquisition became almost a necessity because of the uncertainty that surrounds Trevor Bauer and his alleged sexual assault — joins a clubhouse that includes Clayton Kershaw, Mookie Betts, Cody Bellinger, David Price and Pujols, a sextet that has combined for six MVPs and seven Cy Young Awards.

From 2013 to 2021, Scherzer has accumulated 131 wins, eight invitations to the All-Star Game and a 2.86 ERA. Scherzer leads the majors in FanGraphs wins above replacement during that nine-year stretch with 48.4. Right behind him is Kershaw, who’s rehabilitation from a strained forearm has hit something of a lull, with 45.4.

“Obviously what he’s done in his career, it’s remarkable,” Scherzer said of Kershaw. “We came from the same draft class [in 2006], and everything he’s accomplished — it’s been great to compete against him. You push yourself to try and match what he can do. The fact that we’re now gonna be on the same team and get to compete for the same prize — I’m sure, as this keeps going along, we’ll be able to share more tips and tricks and just recognize different situations about how we both have evolved over the years of how we see the game now and how we can pitch around things.”

Scherzer comes to the Dodgers at the tail end of a seven-year, $210 million contract he signed with the Nationals in January of 2015. Scherzer’s performance somehow exceeded the expectations that came with that contract. The culmination came in 2019, when the Nationals defeated the Astros for the franchise’s first and only World Series championship. Scherzer’s departure now signals a drastic transition for the Nationals.

“The flags fly forever,” Scherzer said. “Everybody’s time in D.C., everybody’s hard work is to have the banner there. That’s something we’ll always remember. Happy I was a part of it, to be on those teams that were in the postseason but finally be on the team to punch it all the way through. At the end of the day, that’s why we play the game — to win the World Series.”

Categories
Science

Boston connects “inexperienced” jobs with the pandemic and future “local weather shocks” – with that?

Guest “Let them pass wind” by Gordon Evans

“The Boston Department of the Environment invites you to respond to this information request with your ideas for training and hiring green jobs in Boston.

Further information at: https://www.boston.gov/news/city-boston-launches-rfi-feedback-future-green-jobs

The city of Boston is launching a new green jobs initiative to support an equitable recovery as we continue to respond to the COVID-19 pandemic. The pandemic has exacerbated existing inequalities in our society. While we recover, we aim to focus on the needs of the most vulnerable residents and the most economically vulnerable industries. An equitable recovery also means taking steps now to reduce the likelihood and impact of future climate shocks and public health crises through wealth accumulation and economic mobility of residents.

Mayor Janey’s operating budget for fiscal 2022 includes $ 1 million in green jobs and $ 3 million in federal recovery funds. We are committed to educating and developing career paths for residents in the green jobs of the future to support an equitable recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.

As we accelerate green job initiatives in the coming years, we invite you to respond to this information request with your ideas for training and hiring green jobs in Boston. A request for information enables the city to research new ideas without tying up resources for a specific concept. The responses will inform conversations and programs on how the city can help accelerate the green economy in service of the mayor’s climate justice goals. The request for information can be found at bit.ly/boston-green-jobs-rfi.

The deadline for submitting a response is August 18, 2021. If you have any questions or concerns, please contact Katherine Eshel, Assistant Director of Climate and Environmental Planning, at katherine.eshel@boston.gov. “

Boston’s city officials have managed to cram just three paragraphs with a variety of lively words, phrases, and social justice struggles. In doing so, they show that they are helplessly hoping (hats off to Crosby, Stills, Nash & Young, https://youtu.be/gosRHLxbXZw) to find out what a “green job” really is.

Your request for information is in a nutshell: “Someone, please tell us what is a green job?” has studied correct “subjects (https://www.boston.gov/departments/environment/ kat-eshel).

I have been an environmental expert for over 40 years and have yet to figure out what a “green” job is, unless it’s guaranteed to lose money and fail, or if it’s kept afloat by other people’s money. Jobs are jobs. They have no color. Either they are productive or they are a burden. If you have any ideas, you can help the poor, bright Bostonians through the RFI link shown above.

Boston connects “green” jobs with the pandemic and future “climate shocks”

Guest “Let them pass wind” by Gordon Evans

“The Boston Department of the Environment invites you to respond to this information request with your ideas for training and hiring green jobs in Boston.

Further information at: https://www.boston.gov/news/city-boston-launches-rfi-feedback-future-green-jobs

The city of Boston is launching a new green jobs initiative to support an equitable recovery as we continue to respond to the COVID-19 pandemic. The pandemic has exacerbated existing inequalities in our society. While we recover, we aim to focus on the needs of the most vulnerable residents and the most economically vulnerable industries. An equitable recovery also means taking steps now to reduce the likelihood and impact of future climate shocks and public health crises through wealth accumulation and economic mobility of residents.

Mayor Janey’s operating budget for fiscal 2022 includes $ 1 million in green jobs and $ 3 million in federal recovery funds. We are committed to educating and developing career paths for residents in the green jobs of the future to support an equitable recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.

As we accelerate green job initiatives in the coming years, we invite you to respond to this information request with your ideas for training and hiring green jobs in Boston. A request for information enables the city to research new ideas without tying up resources for a specific concept. The responses will inform conversations and programs on how the city can help accelerate the green economy in service of the mayor’s climate justice goals. The request for information can be found at bit.ly/boston-green-jobs-rfi.

The deadline for submitting a response is August 18, 2021. If you have any questions or concerns, please contact Katherine Eshel, Assistant Director of Climate and Environmental Planning, at katherine.eshel@boston.gov. “

Boston’s city officials have managed to cram just three paragraphs with a variety of lively words, phrases, and social justice struggles. In doing so, they show that they are helplessly hoping (hats off to Crosby, Stills, Nash & Young, https://youtu.be/gosRHLxbXZw) to find out what a “green job” really is.

Your request for information is in a nutshell: “Someone, please tell us what is a green job?” has studied correct “subjects (https://www.boston.gov/departments/environment/ kat-eshel).

I have been an environmental expert for over 40 years and have yet to figure out what a “green” job is, unless it’s guaranteed to lose money and fail, or if it’s kept afloat by other people’s money. Jobs are jobs. They have no color. Either they are productive or they are a burden. If you have any ideas, you can help the poor, bright Bostonians through the RFI link shown above.

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Categories
Entertainment

Here is proof that Angelina Jolie lived her finest life whereas on trip in Italy

Angelina Jolie made a splash while enjoying an Italian getaway.

The 46-year-old The Eternals star recently accompanied her children on a vacation in Italy, where they stayed at the glamorous Cipriani Hotel in Venice. During the visit, Angelina spent time with married artists JR and Nourry plumwho posted photos of the actress on Instagram during the trip.

Pictures shared on social media include Angelina wearing a gray caftan while gesturing gleefully on an Italian rooftop, as well as a shot of the A-listener enjoying a meal on board a luxury train. Another photo showed Angelina holding a camera as she leaned out of a train window.

Angelina is certainly not the only superstar enjoying a European vacation this summer. Two other celebs who have been on jet setting hiatus recently have been Jennifer Lopez and Ben Affleckwho celebrated her 52nd birthday on July 24th with a yacht excursion in St. Tropez, France, and later set off for Italy.

Categories
Science

NASA goes forward with a hopping lander to discover the lunar floor

The movement methods for robotic explorers of other worlds were as varied as the worlds themselves. Some missions were simple landers, some rovers, and now there was even a helicopter ride on Mars. But there is one unexplored hybrid type of motion that will soon come to a moon near you – hopping. NASA has just approved an additional $ 41.6 million to help develop a hopping lunar lander that will explore the interior of craters that are permanently in shadow.

The mission, known as the Micro-Nova, was awarded under NASA’s $ 370 million tipping point technology contract for the development of milestone-based new technologies. The $ 41.6 million went to Intuitive Machines, a Texas-based company that specializes in developing autonomous systems for drones and other exploration technologies. To be clear – the “hopping” of the Micro-Nova is actually a control flight with engines and not the more biological form of hopping that insects perform on earth. The company won’t be working on the project alone – it recruited scientists from Arizona State University’s School of Earth and Space Exploration.

Intuitive Machines video about the Micro-Nova Hopper
Credit – Intuitive Machines YouTube Channel

These specialists will help define what Micro-Nova will carry as part of its 1kg payload. Most likely, cameras will be used to look into areas that no one has ever seen before. The reason Micro-Nova uses its unique mobility technology is to look into “permanently shaded regions” (PSRs) of the moon. Rovers would not be able to descend into the craters, and helicopters would not work with the moon’s lack of atmosphere. Hence, a hopper is the best choice for reaching these difficult environments.

Not only are they difficult because they’re hard to get to – they’re hard to watch and exceptionally cold. Even if the micro-nova is in the crater, it will only be able to take full color spectrum images of its immediate surroundings, but it should be able to take black and white images of a wider swath of the entire crater. All of the information it can gather is at least better than the complete lack that is currently available.

Conceptual representation of permanently shadowed, flat ice craters near the southern lunar pole.
Photo credit: UCLA / NASA

Cold is a completely different problem, with temperatures dropping to 40 to 80 Kelvin (-388 ° to -316 ° F) in these permanently dark areas. Most electronic devices don’t work at these temperatures, and even the materials themselves would fail if they weren’t specifically designed to withstand these temperatures.

That’s a lot to be expected from a funnel that measures only 76.2 inches on one side. But with the moon’s tiny gravity and the hopper’s impressive jumping ability, it should be able to complete its mission when it is dropped off by a Nova-C lander near the South Pole in December 2022.

Learn more:
ASU – NASA funds Hopper to explore polar craters on the moon
The Science Times – NASA gives over $ 41 million in funds to lunar hoppers to orbit the lunar surface, takes first pictures in craters
Intuitive Machines – Intuitive Machines and NASA sign contract for spacecraft with extreme lunar mobility
NASA – 2020 NASA tipping point selection

Mission statement:
Artist’s impression of the Micro-Nova funnel and its Nova-C landing craft deployed on the moon.
Credit – Intuitive Machines

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Categories
Sport

2021 Fantasy Soccer QB Consistency Scores: Discover potential sleepers, busts within the quarterback leaderboard

Consistency is vital in head-to-head fantasy football leagues, but very few fantasy owners attempt to include it in their rankings or in decision-making on draft day. If you’ve been playing fantasy for a long time, you know how frustrating it can be for your quarterback to score over 30 one week and 10 the next. How many times have you been one of the top scoring teams in the league only to miss the playoffs by a game or two?

Many will call it “bad luck,” and that’s partly true. Key player injuries, bad weather, and tough matches are all variables that can negatively affect fantasy teams. There is only a limited amount you can do to control or combat them is one aspect of fantasy football that you have some control over – the consistency of your team.

The Tools section of BigGuyFantasySports.com has a “Clutch Report” which calculates the “Clutch Factor” (CF) that a player must exceed each week to earn a “Clutch Game”. The CF is based on the number of teams in your league and the scoring method. For example, in a 12-team PPR format, a running back would have to collect over 11 Fantasy Points each week to be eligible for a “clutch game”.

2021 STANDARD FANTASY RANKING:
Quarterback | Run back | Wide-angle receiver | Narrow end | D / ST | Kicker | Highest 200

The more constant a player is, the more valuable he is to his fantasy team. You can find out how consistent a player is on my website (BigGuyFantasySports.com). The consistency rate of a player is known as the “clutch rating” (CR). A highly consistent fantasy player has a CR greater than 70 percent. The elite studs of the fantasy world will typically make up over 80-90 percent.

2021 PPR FANTASY RANKING:
Quarterback | Run back | Wide-angle receiver | Narrow end | D / ST | Kicker | Highest 200

Every year I try to identify underrated players who may not rank high in the total fantasy score, but have been very consistent and critical to the success of a fantasy team. I also identify overrated players due to their lack of consistency. Here’s a sneak peek of my consistency-based leaderboards for QBs heading into the 2021 season.

FANTASY AUCTION VALUES 2021 (Standard & PPR):
Quarterback | Run back | Wide-angle receiver | Narrow end | D / ST | Kicker | total

2021 Fantasy QB consistency reviews, rankings

rank level Lower level player team
1 QB1 ON Patrick Mahomes KC
2 QB1 B. Josh Allen BUF
3 QB1 B. Kyler Murray ARI
4th QB1 B. Dak Prescott THE END
5 QB1 B. Aaron Rodgers GB
6th QB1 B. Lamar Jackson BALL
7th QB1 B. Justin Herbert LAC
8th QB1 B. Russell Wilson SEA
9 QB1 B. Tom Brady TB
10 QB1 B. Matthew Stafford LAR
11 QB1 B. Ryan Tannehill TEN
12th QB1 B. Joe Burrow GIN

A ranking from QB1A means that I expect this player to achieve a CR of 80 percent or more in 2021. Currently only Patrick Mahomes is classified at this level. The remaining 11 quarterbacks are all classified as QB1B. That means I expect them to exceed a CR of 70 percent or more. Josh Allen, Kyler Murray, Dak Prescott, and Aaron Rodgers all have the potential to exceed 80 percent in 2021, but I believe they will be closer to 75 percent this year. The key is where they fall in your design. If you can get any of these four after round 5, then go for it! If they leave before that, wait and grab one of the other seven quarterbacks.

Let’s take a look at some of these quarterbacks and see which of them are undervalued or overvalued based on their current ADPs.

2021 FANTASY SLEEPER:
Quarterback | Run back | Wide-angle receiver | Narrow end | D / ST | Every team

Underrated: Tom Brady, Buccaneers

Once again, the alien life form Brady doesn’t get as much love as it should from the fantasy world. All he achieved last season was seventh place in the total number of points and tenth place in Konstanz. Now take the injuries out and see his consistency when both Mike Evans and Chris Godwin were on the field together and he’s at 75 percent which would have put him third overall. He’s going on round 7 right now, so charge backs and receivers early and grab Brady on round 7 or 8 and get a QB that you don’t have to worry about.

Overrated: Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins

Tua didn’t exactly come on stage with fireworks and glitter last season. It was more like glitter and finger paint. The Dolphins ran Ryan Fitzpatrick and gave Tua reign for 2021. However, they also flirted with trading for Deshaun Watson and signed Jacoby Brissett in the off-season. So how long is the leash? The Dolphins signed Will Fuller V and drafted Jaylen Waddle so the receiving corps will improve, but I’m not overly optimistic on this. Many view Tua as a high-trend backup, but its consistency numbers suggest it will look more like the QB30.

FANTASY TIERS 2021 & STRATEGY DESIGN:
Quarterback | Run back | Wide-angle receiver | Narrow end | D / ST

In summary, consistency should be an important part of your fantasy design prep every year. It’s great to draft players who are earning a ton of total points, but if they don’t do it consistently, you can still land under .500. You can’t win a championship if you can’t even make it through the postseason.

For more consistency reports from your draft prep, go to Amazon and get the award-winning Fantasy Football Consistency Guide 2021. You can also follow me on Twitter @bob_lung.

Don’t miss the Fantasy Football Expo 2021 on Sunday, August 15, 2021 in Canton, Ohio! Visit the Fantasy Football Expo for tickets!

Categories
Health

NYC Mayor Invoice de Blasio mandates Covid vaccines for sure indoor actions

A person walks in front of Aladdin at the New Amsterdam Theater in Times Square on June 8, 2021 in New York City.

Noam Galai | Getty Images

New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio ordered vaccinations for a number of indoor facilities at a press conference Tuesday morning and requested evidence of Covid vaccinations from employees and customers of indoor restaurants, gyms and entertainment centers.

The order comes into effect on August 16 and will be fully enforced from September 13. De Blasio said the mandate, known as the Key to NYC Pass, would encourage increased vaccinations to combat the spread of the delta coronavirus variant.

“When you hear these words, I want you to imagine that someone who is vaccinated can do all the amazing things that are available in this city,” said de Blasio of the Key to NYC Pass.

De Blasio added that the city will start screening companies for compliance in mid-September. All affected customers and employees can either present their vaccination cards or upload their vaccination certificate to the Excelsior Pass application.

New York City is believed to be the first in the nation to implement such a mandate. President Joe Biden replied in the affirmative when asked at a press conference Tuesday afternoon if he thought other cities should follow suit, but stakeholders across the food industry have raised concerns about how the program will work.

Shortly after de Blasio’s press conference, the National Restaurant Association spoke out in favor of increased vaccinations. However, the organization, which claims to represent nearly 500,000 restaurants and bars, said that enforcing the mandate would be arduous and would lead to “significant changes” for future restaurants.

“Checking vaccination status is not like identifying a customer before serving them a drink – employees are trained on it,” said Larry Lynch, the group’s senior vice president of science and industry, in a statement. “Now our employees are expected to check the vaccination status of every customer who wants to eat at the facility without any training.”

Tilman Fertitta, billionaire chairman and CEO of Landry’s, which operates several restaurants in New York City, reiterated Lynch’s testimony in a Tuesday interview with CNBC’s Power Lunch. The Houston Rockets owner and supporter of former President Trump advocated the use of vaccines but said he wanted to prevent his restaurants from being the “vaccination police” for customers.

“They shouldn’t have told us what we were doing until they laid out how we were going to do it,” said Fertitta.

The New York City Hospitality Alliance also raised concerns about the mandate in a statement released Tuesday. The alliance admitted that the new measure would be a “difficult and controversial move,” but added that it could help “prevent new occupancy restrictions and close orders that small businesses and workers who are not yet up for grabs.” recovered from the pandemic will be devastating again ”.

The mayor’s order comes just a day after de Blasio mandated vaccinations for all new employees in the city, requiring them to provide proof of vaccination by their first day of work without being regularly tested instead. De Blasio issued similar mandates for city and health workers in July, asking them to either review their vaccination status by August 2 or submit weekly negative coronavirus tests.

New York City also began offering $ 100 on July 30th to anyone who receives their vaccinations from a city vaccination site. So far, de Blasio said 11,000 people have earned the $ 100 grant, with a total of 5 million city dwellers vaccinated with at least one dose.

“The only reason for this recovery is the vaccination,” said de Blasio. “So the time has come. And this will send that message clearly.”

CNBC’s Pia Singh contributed to this coverage.

Correction: A previous headline misrepresented the scope of the vaccine mandate for indoor activities. It covers certain indoor activities.

Categories
Entertainment

DaBaby apologizes for the second time after a number of cancellations of competition appearances

A vortex of social media users, fans, celebrity artists and festival organizers, to name a few, has not let up in DaBaby after his controversial comments on Rolling Loud and thereafter. For the past week, the rapper has stood the test of time, apologized, responded directly to Quest Love’s criticism and released a music video for “Giving What It’s Supposed To Give”. Shortly after two cancellations of the festival set on Monday, DaBaby apologized a second, formal apology for his “hurtful and offensive comments” about the LGBTQ + community and “misinformed comments” about HIV / AIDS.

“I would like to apologize to the LGBTQ + community for the hurtful and offensive comments I made,” DaBaby reportedly wrote. “I apologize again for my misinformed comments about HIV / AIDS, and I know it is important to be educated about it. Greetings to all. God bless.”

DaBaby released the statement on Monday through its official Instagram page. No caption was posted with the post and comments have been disabled. By the evening, the post had received over 371,000 likes. He began his apology by saying, “Social media is moving so fast that people want to destroy you before you have a chance to grow, educate yourself, and learn from your mistakes.” with kindness ”and privately tried to raise him.

“As a man who had to go his own way out of very difficult circumstances, it was a challenge to have people I know publicly work against me – knowing that I needed education and guidance on these issues.”

The rapper started his Monday with the news that he would no longer perform at the Governor’s Ball in New York City in September. Just hours later, another festival called Day N Vegas announced that the rapper would no longer be part of his November line-up. Instead, Roddy Ricch was tapped to attend the festival on the site of DaBaby.

This is the fourth festival DaBaby has released, including last weekend’s Lollapalooza, the aforementioned Governor’s Ball and Day N Vegas, and Manchester’s Parklife Festival. As previously reported, boohooMAN also announced that it would no longer work with the artist just a month after jointly releasing an exclusive clothing line.

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Categories
Science

Are local weather feedbacks strongly non-linear? – Watts with that?

By Bob Irvine

Is it possible that the Earth system is heavily buffered, with strong positive ice and dust feedbacks prevailing at colder temperatures and strong negative convection / evaporation feedbacks prevailing at warmer times?

The feedback factor (FF) is defined as the total equilibrium temperature change for a given drive divided by the calculated no feedback temperature from that drive.

The term CO2 is used here to represent all non-compressing greenhouse gases. (CO2, MH4, N2O, CFC, HCF etc.)

THE ALARMIST POSITION

It is certainly possible that in a world where H2O is present as vapor in the atmosphere, as well as water and ice, strong positive feedbacks can occur.

Here it is important that we take the alarmist position precisely and honestly. Gavin Schmidt, director of GISS, and his predecessor James Hansen drove the alarmist narrative regarding climate feedback.

Lacis, Schmidtet al. (2010) represents the alarmist narrative.

Pubs.GISS: Lacis et al. 2010: Atmospheric CO2: Main controller for the temperature of the earth (nasa.gov)

They base their work on the following assumption, which I accept.

The difference between the nominal global mean surface temperature (TS = 288 K) and the global mean effective temperature (TE = 255 K) is a common measure for the terrestrial greenhouse effect (GT = TS – TE = 33 K). Assuming a global energy balance, TE is also the Planck radiation equivalent of the 240 W / m2 of global mean solar radiation that is absorbed by the earth.

They then attribute almost the entire GH effect (33 ° C) to CO2, with the water vapor component only serving as feedback.

non-condensing greenhouse gases, which make up 25% of the total terrestrial greenhouse effect … provide the stable temperature structure that maintains the current levels of atmospheric water vapor and clouds via feedback processes that make up the remaining 75% of the greenhouse effect. “

A feedback factor of around 4 is implied by this 25% figure. Then they take the next logical step and attribute almost all climate change to CO2, with insignificant solar input and internal variability being the only other factors.

These studies determined a long time ago that water vapor and CO2 are indeed the major terrestrial greenhouse gases. Now, a further consideration shows that CO2 is the one controlling climate change.

To the political mind, the evidence for all of this is quite simple.

This misunderstanding is resolved by a simple study of the terrestrial greenhouse.

The idea of ​​“CO2 as a climate controller” is then reinforced by removing all of the CO2 from the 1980 atmosphere using the GISS Model E climate model [G. A. Schmidt et al., J. Clim. 19, 153 (2006)]. The resulting enormous temperature drop after feedback is described below in Lacis, Schmidt et al. 2010.

The extent of the climate impact will be visible in just 10 years. In the first year alone, the global mean surface temperature drops by 4.6 ° C. After 50 years the global temperature will be –21 ° C, a decrease of 34.8 ° C. The atmospheric water vapor is ~ 10% of the control climate value (22.6 to 2.2 mm). The global cloud cover increases from its control value of 58% to more than 75%, and the global sea ice percentage increases from 4.6% to 46.7%, which also increases the planetary albedo of the earth from ~ 29% to 41.8%. This has the effect of reducing the absorbed solar energy to further exacerbate global cooling.

Some of the water vapor is then attributed to the sun (10%), you can believe, which leaves an approximate CO2 forcing feedback factor of 3.3. The official number has not changed to this day.

Schmidt then implies that feedbacks on incremental temperature changes during the maxima of the last Ice Age also apply to the warmer interglacial period that we inhabit today.

The CO2 problem in 6 easy steps

“… the last ice age is a good example of a large drive (~ 7 W / m2 through ice sheets, greenhouse gases, dust and vegetation), which results in a large temperature reaction (~ 5 ° C) and implies a sensitivity of around 3 ° C ( with significant error bars). Formally, you can combine this estimate with others from the 20th century, volcano reaction, last millennium, remote sensing, etc. to get pretty good limits on the number. That was done by Annan and Hargreaves (2006), and they come on, you guessed it, 3 ° C. “

This is how a narrative is created. CO2 is promoted as a control button of the climate, gradually reducing changes in solar activity to an insignificant one.

THE SKEPTIC POSITION

The alarmist narrative is too simple and all climate models are running hot. This means that all predictions based on these models have failed (see Appendix “A”). There are some areas where the Lacis, Schmidt 2010 approach is of immediate concern.

In their modeled experiment, the proportion of sea ice increases from 4.6% to 46.7% “Which leads to the fact that the planetary albedo of the earth also increases from ~ 29% to 41.8%.” 12.8% (41.8 – 29) of 340 W / m2 is massive ice feedback of 43.5 W / m2, which dwarfs the 25 W / m2 for all non-condensing greenhouse gases.

In the modern world, the ice has retreated to the colder poles where the angle of the sun is crooked. Ice feedback is now an order of magnitude weaker than found in model experiments. Taking this into account, the feedback factor must be reduced significantly in a warmer world.

On the other hand, a warmer world will lead to more convection, a huge negative feedback. Convection is taken into account in the models, but it is extremely complex. If the models are wrong in any way, the feedback factor could be significantly affected. Surely that big negative feedback will be stronger in a warmer world.

Lacis, Schmidt 2010, expressly exclude any feedback that can only be traced back to solar activity. This can include cosmic ray effects, jet stream changes, and any number of others. The temperature profile of the oceans is mainly determined by solar propulsion. Is it possible that a warmer ocean is more responsive to the sun’s change than a colder ocean?

To illustrate this, Figure 1 shows a possible relationship between CO2 and the feedback factor (FF). There are of course enormous error bars here, so this should only be treated as “Discussion Only”.

Figure 1. A possible comparison between CO2 concentration and feedback factor (FF). The low modern feedback factor reflects my own prejudices. The other two control points are at zero CO2 ppm (Lacis 2010, found an FF of 4 at -21 ° C global temperatures for zero CO2 from an atmosphere from 1980) and at 100 ppm (Annan 2006, found an FF of 2.7 at 9 ° C global) Temperatures that could apply with 100 ppm CO2).

APPENDIX A “.

CLIMATE MODEL FAILURE

This overly positive feedback may not apply to a warmer interglacial period and may have caused all IPCC predictions to fail within 10 years of their announcement. Their predictions have consistently failed since James Hansen’s first attempt in 1988. See Figure 2 below. The most recent of these is the projected temperature rise in the Fourth Assessment Report 2007. See Figure 9 below.

Figure 2. Hansen’s failed predictions from 1988. CO2 concentrations have actually increased faster than in scenario “A”. The black and red lines are the heavily adjusted surface record (always adding extra warming on average).

Current CO2 concentrations are rising at a rate similar to the A1T and B2 scenarios in the 4AR IPCC report copied here. I used them for this reason.

https://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/spmsspm-projections-of.html

These scenarios lead to a CO2 concentration between 750 ppm and 800 ppm in the year 2100. Read the link above for a glimpse of the IPCC processes and their position on future warming.

Figure 3, The IPCC 2007 forecast compared to actual temperatures. The red line is the Hadcrut4 temperature series. It is similar to the NASA GISS series and has been adapted several times. The blue line is the more accurate data of the satellite temperature in the middle troposphere. The yellow line is NAS data from 1975. NAS was the forerunner of NASA and was considered state of the art in 1975. The model predictions from 2007 (gray line) are already 0.7C warmer than the measurement data from 2021.

Five-year mean values ​​of the annual mean (1979-2015) of the global mass temperature (referred to as “midtropospheric” or “MT”) as determined by the average of 102 IPCC CMIP5 climate models (red), the average of 3 satellite data sets (green – UAH, RSS , NOAA) and 4 balloon data sets (blue, NOAA, UKMet, RICH, RAOBCORE).

Figure 4. The graphic presented by John Christy to the US House of Representatives Science, Space and Technology Committee in 2016. According to the GHG theory, the temperature rise in the middle troposphere is the fingerprint of GHG warming. It is obvious that the models, with their high levels of feedback, generate more heating in this area than our most accurate temperature measurement, the satellites. The balloon data also agree well with the satellites and are well below the models.

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Sport

From Corridor of Fame expertise to Corridor of Fame manufacturing to NFL legend

7:00 AM ET

  • Paul Gutierrez

    CloseESPN Staff Writer

    • Covered Oakland Raiders for CSNBayArea.com and Sacramento Bee for eight years
    • Member of Pro Football Writers Association
    • Previously worked at Los Angeles Times, Las Vegas Review-Journal and Sports Illustrated
  • Rob Demovsky

    CloseESPN Staff Writer

    • Covered Packers for Green Bay Press-Gazette from 1997-2013
    • Two-time Wisconsin Sportswriter of the Year as selected by the National Sportscasters and Sportswriters Association

The football story of Charles Woodson is, at its heart, a three-part yarn. In Oakland, he had Hall of Fame talent. In Green Bay, he became a Hall of Fame player. In his return to the Raiders, Woodson became a legend. To best encapsulate these distinct chapters, ESPN Raiders reporter Paul Gutierrez and ESPN Packers reporter Rob Demovsky combined to chronicle Woodson’s road to Canton.

HENDERSON, Nev. — Charles Woodson was a young player doing young player things when he first entered the NFL, a Heisman Trophy-winning No. 4 overall pick of the 1998 draft by the Raiders.

Some days after practice, he’d hop in a car with wide receiver Andre Rison. On others, Woodson would take off with running back Charlie Garner. Jon Gruden, then a young first-time head coach himself, would look on longingly as the cars pulled out of Raiders headquarters for parts unknown and mutter to himself, “Oh, no, there he goes.”

Two decades later, Gruden laughs at the memory.

“He was broken in by some wild guys, I’ll say that,” Gruden, whose first-ever draft pick as a head coach was Woodson, chuckled recently. “We were a team full of characters. Characters with football character. And Charles was in the middle of it all.

“We were elated when he was there for us [in the draft]. It went Peyton Manning, then Ryan Leaf, then Andre Wadsworth, then us. Charles could play dime linebacker. Nickel. Corner. Safety. And all in the same series. He was one of the most decorated defensive players in the history of the draft. Yeah, we were excited. And he was a magnet, just attracting everybody to him. He enjoyed it. There were times we had to reel him in.”

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Woodson rewarded Gruden and the Raiders by being named the NFL’s Defensive Rookie of the year. But if it seemed like he was distracted, or allergic to practicing, it never showed up on game day.

“Out of college, high draft pick, you’re just kind of ready for life,” Woodson reminisced. “Yeah, you’re there to play football, but you also want to live as well, you know what I mean? I was that guy. I went hard in both areas — football and then off the field, as well.”

Enter the likes of Rison and Garner. Woodson is howling now.

“Those were my boys, man,” Woodson said. “We went hard. That was the old school in me. We went hard some nights, but when it was time to get up and do that thing on Sunday, man, we were ready to roll.”

Old school?

On the football side of things, Hall of Fame cornerback Willie Brown, the godfather of the Bump and Run, gave his blessing for Woodson to wear his old No. 24.

Charles Woodson was known for living hard in his first stint in Oakland, but he also made the Pro Bowl in his first four NFL seasons. Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

“Willie Brown was a guy who made sure you understood what it meant to be a Raider,” Woodson said. “The first thing he would tell us, ‘There are 31 teams in the NFL, and there’s the Raiders.’ That’s the kind of mentality you picked up when you got there. George Atkinson, Cliff Branch. Those guys made me know early on what I had to bring to the table — be a tough, physical, fast football player.”

Woodson went to four Pro Bowls and was twice named first-team All-Pro in his first four seasons with the Raiders.

Woodson’s final game with Gruden as his coach? The “Tuck Rule Game.” With Woodson coming on a corner blitz, he dislodged the ball from Michigan college teammate Tom Brady in the New England snow to send the Raiders to the AFC title game in January 2002.

Except …

History books show no sack by Woodson, the fumble overturned into an incomplete pass by Brady, who would lead the Patriots to an overtime victory and hasten Gruden’s departure and the Raiders’ descent.

Sure, the Raiders went to the Super Bowl the next year (where they faced Gruden and his new team in Tampa Bay) and Woodson, playing with a broken bone in his right leg, had an interception on the third play of the game. But Gruden’s Buccaneers thumped Oakland 48-21, and the Raiders have had only one winning season and one playoff appearance since.

Injuries and issues with Gruden’s replacement, Bill Callahan, portended a frosty end to Woodson’s tenure with the Raiders. In Game 6 of the 2005 season, Woodson broke his right leg. His season was done, as was his time with the Raiders, with his contract expiring after playing the previous two years on franchise tags. And as at peace as he was with moving on, he was more excited for the coming bidding war.

“My thought was, ‘I’m going to have people crawling over each other trying to get to me,'” he said. “I thought I was that type of player.”

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Except … the offers did not roll in. Not even from Gruden, who had taken Woodson to Fleming’s Prime Steakhouse in Tampa to get a feel for him.

“Probably the worst mistake of my career [not signing him],” Gruden said. “He was at a low point in his career. There were questions about fit.”

People crawling over each other to get to him? Teams were running the other way, with his recent injury history keeping him from playing in a full 16-game schedule since 2001.

“That stung a little bit,” Woodson said. “You hear players that have been through Green Bay, especially Black players, say, ‘Hey, man, that ain’t where you want to be.’

“That’s not the team I want calling me. … I couldn’t believe it. I thought there’d be multiple teams and a bidding war. It made me combative.”

‘It doesn’t happen without Green Bay’

Woodson needed the Green Bay Packers more than he cared to admit at the time.

By 2006, he had two options: the Buccaneers or Packers.

Tampa Bay wanted Woodson, but only as a safety. Woodson, then 29 years old, still believed he was a cornerback. The Packers were the only team to give him that chance.

It didn’t begin well.

It was 2006, Mike McCarthy’s first season as a head coach, and he wanted players who wanted to be there.

“Initially when I got there, things were kind of rocky at the start,” Woodson recalled recently. “I think that Coach McCarthy and everyone else around there was just trying to make my transition as easy as they could, but I was just very reluctant to allow myself to just be a Packer. We had kind of gone through some things there my first few weeks in the training camp. We had some issues that we had to iron out, but Coach Mike McCarthy assured me, ‘Hey man, we want you here. You’re going to be a big part of this team.’ He was just trying to basically comfort me as a coach and let me know I’m a big part of the plans there in Green Bay.

“Those conversations like that, we were able to have throughout my career, my seven years there in Green Bay, to the point there that Coach McCarthy and my relationship became very solid over the years I was there. I certainly appreciate him for making me feel welcome when I didn’t want to be welcome, actually.”

By Woodson’s second season, the Packers were back in the NFC Championship Game.

By his fourth season, he was the NFL’s Defensive Player of the Year.

But it was Year 5 when Woodson got what he really wanted: A Super Bowl ring.

Despite breaking his collarbone during the game, Charles Woodson was all smiles when the Packers won Super Bowl XLV after the 2010 season. John Biever/Sports Illustrated via Getty Images

In fact, he became a driving force behind their run to Super Bowl XLV as the NFC’s sixth seed.

In the moments after winning the NFC Championship Game over the rival Chicago Bears at Soldier Field, Woodson held court with the team huddled in the center of the locker room. He told them: “For two weeks, think about one. Let’s be one mind. Let’s be one heartbeat. One purpose. One goal. One more game. One. Let’s get it.”

The Super Bowl itself was bittersweet for Woodson; he left the game in the second quarter because of a broken collarbone. But his impact on the team was immortalized on its Super Bowl rings, which were inscribed with the No. “1” along with Woodson’s words of “mind,” “goal,” “purpose” and “heart.”

“You see that ‘1’ and the words, and it was like, ‘Wow,’ you’re floored,” Woodson told ESPN years later. “When you talk to the team in any capacity, you never know what’s going to stick. You try to say something that guys can kind of grab on to. For that to be inscribed on the ring told me that it meant something, not only to the players but to the coaches. Now, there’s something that we can actually hold on to forever.”

To say Woodson needed his time in Green Bay to solidify his Hall of Fame stats might be a stretch because, as Woodson said recently, “I would’ve been somewhere else, I would’ve made my mark somewhere else. It just so happened that during that transition from Oakland I was able to make my stop in Green Bay and go there and do some great things.”

Upon further reflection, however, Woodson conceded: “In that respect, it doesn’t happen without Green Bay, but my career was going to continue somewhere, I don’t know where it would’ve been, but I would’ve made that mark somewhere else.”

In all, Woodson spent seven years with the Packers. Aaron Rodgers has repeatedly called Woodson the best teammate he’s ever had. And when Woodson’s Hall of Fame election became official, Rodgers responded with a three-word Tweet: “The best ever.”

McCarthy, who coached Woodson during his entire tenure with the Packers, called him “a generational player,” upon his retirement.

Woodson had 38 of his 65 career interceptions in the green and gold — including a league-leading nine picks during his defensive MVP season of 2009 — and was selected to four straight Pro Bowls (2008 to 2011) while in Green Bay.

All in a place he struggled to warm up to at first.

“It was kind of rough at the beginning, because I really didn’t quite want to be there, and I just couldn’t wrap my mind around the fact that I didn’t have anybody who wanted me on their team,” Woodson said. “I was really sour about that, so it kind of dictated the way I interacted with a lot of people around there, really standoffish, got into some verbal arguments and things like that. When I look back on it I kind of feel like it was my way of trying to get out of the situation. But I’m really glad I didn’t get out of it because it turned out the way it turned out.”

‘A beautiful transition’

Charles Woodson returned to Oakland as a conquering hero and a mentor to the Raiders’ young players. Marcio Jose Sanchez/AP

Looking for a new team after his contract with Green Bay expired, Woodson visited the San Francisco 49ers and Denver Broncos. Then he took a flier on the Raiders.

On May 21, 2013, Woodson visited his old stomping grounds at Raiders’ headquarters. With more than 200 fans having mobilized on social media, they, too, showed up in force to sway Woodson, some in their game-day attire of makeup, costumes and, yes, Woodson jerseys.

“I tell you, man, it was overwhelming,” Woodson said at the time. “I think that if, at any time, I had ever forgotten what the love was like in Oakland, I was definitely reminded…I think [the fan turnout] played a big part [in my return].

“I was actually afraid of leaving the facility and not having a deal done. I don’t know if I would have made it out of there. But that was a big deal and seeing that kind of welcome, it definitely put me in the mindset [where] it would be a good decision to make it happen.”

Woodson, at 37, returned to the Raiders a changed, more mature man. Beat writers who had covered C-Wood 1.0 could not believe the scene — old man Woodson, who had gone just as hard off the field as he had on, showing up for training camp toting baby car seats and strollers.

Gruden thinks the slower-paced lifestyle of Green Bay helped Woodson slow down and get centered.

“And he met and married the right woman and had kids,” Gruden said.

“It was,” Woodson said, “a beautiful transition, if you will.”

He also transitioned into a full-time free safety and did not miss a game in his three seasons back with the Raiders (he suffered a dislocated shoulder in the season opener of his 18th and final season and played through the pain), going to the Pro Bowl following his final season of 2015. It was his eighth career selection.

Player Heisman HOF
O.J. Simpson 1968 1985
Roger Staubach 1963 1985
Paul Hornung 1956 1986
Doak Walker 1948 1986
Earl Campbell 1977 1991
Tony Dorsett 1976 1994
Marcus Allen 1981 2003
Barry Sanders 1989 2004
Tim Brown 1988 2015
Charles Woodson 1997 2021

And yes, those were flecks of gray in his beard, epitomizing the reversed roll. Now he was playing the part of Brown, Atkinson and Branch for the younglings, which included quarterback Derek Carr, who was in the first grade when Woodson won the Heisman.

“He gets mad when I say this [but] when I was 6 years old, I was pretending to be him,” Carr said.

“C-Wood, I can’t limit his leadership to just when I played with him. He still is a leader to me. He still texts me. He still calls me. He’ll call me out and say, ‘Hey, do this.’ … He knew on his way out that Khalil [Mack] and I were coming up as the leaders of the organization … I’ll always be thankful to him.”

The Raiders struggled on the field in Woodson’s final three seasons, going 4-12 in 2013 (he recently admitted he thought he would be returning to Green Bay after that season), 3-13 in 2014 and 7-9 in 2015.

“No matter the circumstance — whether we started 0-9, which we did one year, it didn’t matter — you’ve got to go out there and work and show your teammates and coaches and fans that you care,” Woodson said. “Coming back, the second time around, everything is totally different. I’ve got two kids now. I’m married. It’s like going from driving in a 75-mph zone to driving in a 35, you know what I mean?”

Woodson, who has become an entrepreneur with his wine and bourbon labels, was such an integral part of Raiders culture team owner Mark Davis chose him to light the Al Davis Torch for the final game in Oakland.

And Sunday night, he will close out the latest chapter of his football story with the final speech of the Pro Football Hall of Fame induction ceremonies, becoming just the 10th player in history (and third Raider) to have won a Heisman and to receive a Gold Jacket.

#PFHOF21 Enshrinee @CharlesWoodson got the first look at his @HaggarCo Gold Jacket in advance of his enshrinement next week.@Raiders | @packers pic.twitter.com/jMBoi6vVlX

— Pro Football Hall of Fame (@ProFootballHOF) July 29, 2021

“It’s not one night,” Woodson said. “It’s not like I go in on the 8th and then it’s over, I’m no longer saying I’m a Hall of Famer. I’m going to say I’m a Hall of Famer on that Monday, that Tuesday, that next week, the following year.

“I’m a Hall of Famer man, so I get to celebrate that for eternity.”

Categories
Science

Blue Origin is providing a $ 2 billion low cost to get again into the Lunar Lander recreation

Blue Origin has been busy lately. They sent their founder Jeff Bezos into space and offered themselves for NASA’s new Lunar Lander project. While SpaceX won that contract back in April, Blue Origin continued to fight for its right to supply the space agency with an alternate lander. And recently, their not exactly astronaut boss had added another fuel to the fire by offering to take $ 2 billion off the price of a Blue Origin lander.

Being the richest person in the world certainly helps offer discounts to the federal government. But Blue Origin’s frustration with NASA’s bidding process extends well beyond money. Ordinarily, the agency would have selected two companies to supply a lander to ensure that backup would be in place in the event of a project failure and to encourage competition between the two competing companies.

Blue Origin video showcasing the company’s Blue Moon lunar lander.
Credit – Blue Origin YouTube Channel

In fact, three companies were originally selected through an evaluation program – SpaceX, Blue Origin and Dynetics, another aerospace contractor. NASA has not publicly justified why it only selected SpaceX to continue development of the lander, which sparked outrage at both Dynetics and Blue Origin.

Bezos tried in an open letter to NASA to remove a possible reason for multiple contractors not to support. According to the letter “[Blue Origin] was standing[s] ready to help NASA moderate its technical risks and resolve its budget constraints and get the Artemis program back on a more competitive, credible and sustainable path. “

Jeff Bezos stands in front of the Blue Moon – Blue Origin’s planned lunar lander
Credit – Blue Origin

So far it is unclear whether this open letter will have any impact on NASA’s final decision. Perhaps the latest evidence that the company is capable of nearly getting into space would increase confidence in its ability to achieve the Artemis mission goal. Or maybe it feels like it has almost nothing to lose by supporting a company that is willing to “permanently waive” a large portion of the project’s development costs. Or maybe it will be forced under pressure from the Senate, which recently passed a $ 10 billion bill for the Artemis human lander system.

Whatever the outcome, the best that the American people and the world can hope for is a successful completion of the mission. Whichever company fulfills the space agency’s dreams of a return to the moon will deserve well-deserved praise for it. There should also be enough praise if there happen to be two of them.

Screenshot from the Blue Origin webcast of the New Shepard rocket launch on July 20, 2021.
Credit – Blue Origin

Learn more:
Phys.org – Bezos is offering NASA a $ 2 billion discount on the Blue Origin Moon lander
The Verge – Jeff Bezos offers NASA $ 2 billion to pick Blue Origin’s lunar lander at the last minute
Ars Technica – Bezos says he’s ready to invest in a lunar lander now – here’s why
UT – The founder of Blue Origins wants to go to the moon by 2024

Mission statement:
The famous “Earthrise” picture taken by Apollo astronauts on the moon.
Credit – NASA

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