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Science

“No Want To Fear About Drought” in Germany…Sufficient Water In The Floor • Watts Up With That?

From the NoTricksZone

By P Gosselin

German meteorologist Kau Zorn says plants in Germany have enough water, drought charts designed to produce artificial panic”…heavy rains and cool weather forecast for Central Europe the next 10 days. 

By early summer this year, much of the the German media and authorities were outright giddy about a summer of extreme heat waves and drought, as forecast by the NOAA. And indeed June and the first 20 days of July came in much warmer and drier than normal, and the talk of a climate crisis ramped up even more. Everywhere in the media Germans could hear dramatic drought reports accompanied by alarming bright red drought charts, like the following for a soil depth of 1.8 meters (ca. 6 ft.).

The red colors denote areas with “extreme” to “extraordinary drought” conditions. Source: UFZ Helmholtz. 

But, that has changed over the past week, as cooler and rainier weather has swept over the country and is forecast to intensify over the next 2 weeks. Rainfall across Germany is even expected to be heavy at times.

But, it ‘s not going to be enough, the climate alarmists insist. The drought crisis continues!

Enough water for the plants

Today, at his Youtube weather report, German meteorologist Kai Zorn dumped a bucket of cold water on the alarmist doomsayers’ fantasies, pointing out that this year’s summer will very likely end up being close to normal in terms of temperature and rainfall, and that  Germans don’t have to worry at all about severe drought:

We don’t need to worry at all that drought and dryness are coming in the foreseeable future. That issue we can completely forgotten about this summer, the way things look now. It is completely irrelevant how this 1.8 meter depth appears.”

Zorn explains the 1.8 meter ground depth drought chart is designed to promote “artificial panic”, for 2 reasons:

“Firstly, these are values that have been calculated and not measured. And secondly, it takes weeks and months before it gets refilled again. But in the depth range where plants draw their water from, there’s enough there, and it’s going to stay that way.”

So what does it mean? It means the German media and alarmist authorities will now have to look elsewhere for extreme weather to fret about. This year Germany’s summer will end up being a bit warmer and with near normal rainfall.

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Health

J&J effort to resolve talc most cancers lawsuits fails a second time

In this photo illustration, a container of Johnson and Johnson baby powder is displayed on April 05, 2023 in San Anselmo, California. 

Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

A federal bankruptcy judge on Friday rejected Johnson & Johnson‘s second attempt to resolve tens of thousands of lawsuits alleging the company’s talc baby powder and other talc-based products caused cancer. 

J&J in 2021 offloaded those talc liabilities into a new subsidiary, LTL Management, and immediately filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protections. 

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Judge Michael Kaplan in Trenton, New Jersey, said in an opinion that LTL Management’s second bankruptcy must be dismissed because the subsidiary was not in “imminent” or “immediate financial distress.” A U.S. appeals court in April dismissed the first bankruptcy attempt over the same reason. 

The decision jeopardizes J&J’s proposed $8.9 billion settlement that would stop new lawsuits from being filed. The company previously said more than 60,000 claimants have already committed to voting in favor of the plan.

J&J said LTL Management intends to appeal the decision.

“LTL commenced its bankruptcy case in good faith and in strict compliance with the Bankruptcy Code,” the company said in a statement. 

“The Bankruptcy Code does not require a business to be engulfed in ‘flames’ to seek a reorganization supported by the vast majority of claimants,” added Erik Haas, J&J’s worldwide vice president of litigation.

J&J contends that research and clinical evidence demonstrates that its talc products remain safe.

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Entertainment

Kendall Jenner and Unhealthy Bunny Are on a Roll Throughout Sushi Date Night time

Kendall Jenner and Bad Bunny are spending un verano with each other.

The pair were recently seen at a dinner date at Sushi Park in West Hollywood.

For the occasion, the model wore a black, figure-hugging dress. Meanwhile, the “Dakiti” color-coordinated in all black attire, wearing a jack with silver buttons over a dark top and pants. He completed his look with a backwards hat and minimal jewelry.

At one point in the night, Bad Bunny was seen carrying a bottle of wine in hand, which he then gave to Kendall.

The outing is just the latest of several date nights the pair, who first sparked dating rumors back in February, have been spotted on. Neither Kendall nor Bad Bunny have spoken out about their relationship status just yet, instead enjoying their time together on beachy vacations and nights out with pals Justin and Hailey Bieber.

In fact, Bad Bunny, 29, previously shared that he was adamant about protecting his private life.

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Technology

Generative AI may undermine elections in US and India, research finds

AI image generators could undermine upcoming elections in the world’s biggest democracies, according to new research

Logically, a British fact-checking startup, investigated AI’s capacity to produce fake images about elections in India, the US, and the UK. Each of these countries will soon go to the ballot box.

The company tested three popular generative AI systems: Midjourney, DALL-E 2, and Stable Diffusion. All of them have content moderation of some form, but the parameters are unclear.

Logically explored how these platforms could support disinformation campaigns. This included testing narratives around a “stolen election” in the US, migrants “flooding” into the UK, and parties hacking voting machines in India.

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Across the three systems, more than 85% of the prompts were accepted. The research found that Midjourney had the strongest content moderation and produced the highest-quality images. DALL-E 2 and Stable Diffusion had more limited moderation and generated inferior images.

Using the Prompt: hyper-realistic security camera footage of a man carrying ballots in a facility in NevadaFor the prompt “hyper-realistic security camera footage of a man carrying ballots in a facility in Nevada,” Midjourney and DALL-E 2 created the highest quality evidence.

Of 22 US election narratives tested, 91% were accepted by all three platforms on the first prompt attempt. Midjourney and DALL-E 2 rejected prompts attempting to create images of George Soros, Nancy Pelosi, and a new pandemic announcement. Stable Diffusion accepted all the prompts.

Most of the images were far from photo-realistic. But Logically says even crude pictures can be used in malicious capacities.

 images of Muslimwomen wearing saffron scarves in support of the ruling BJP, although the quality variedEach platform generated images of women wearing saffron scarves in support of India’s ruling BJP, although the quality varied.

Logically has called for further content moderation on the platforms. It also wants social media companies to be more proactive in tackling AI-generated disinformation. Finally, the company recommends developing tools that identify malicious and coordinated behaviour.

Cynics may note that Logically could benefit from these measures. The startup has previously conducted fact-checking for the UK government, US federal agencies, the Indian electoral commission, Facebook, and TikTok. Nonetheless, the research shows generative AI could amplify false election narratives.

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Sport

From Kimbo Slice to Ronda Rousey — Who’re the true BMFs in MMA historical past?

Jul 28, 2023, 07:56 AM ET

Nate Diaz had just had his hand raised after ending a three-year absence from the Octagon with a rugged victory over Anthony Pettis in summer 2019. It was a crowd-pleasing performance, as Diaz’s fights typically are, and when he stepped to the microphone for an interview inside the cage, he had a message for someone in that crowd.

“Jorge Masvidal had a good last fight,” Diaz said, much to the delight of “Gamebred,” who was sitting cageside in Anaheim, California. “All respect to the man. There ain’t no gangsters in this game anymore. There ain’t nobody who does it right but me and him.”

Was this an homage? A callout? Diaz didn’t specify — until a few minutes later backstage, when another microphone was put in front of him and he was asked if he wanted to fight Masvidal.

“I’m going to defend the baddest motherf—er belt, the baddest motherf—er in the game belt, against who I believe is the other baddest motherf—er in the game,” Diaz said.

Lightweights Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje fight for the UFC’s BMF title.

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To that point, the UFC brass had not envisioned booking such a matchup. But the blunt Diazian logic, combined with the loud pop from the UFC 241 crowd after hearing the feisty name drop, made it a no-brainer. So the fight was made.

And by the time Diaz and Masvidal stepped toward each other to fight that November at Madison Square Garden in New York, the UFC had fully gotten into the spirit by putting up for grabs a silver BMF belt, created just for the occasion. Masvidal won by third-round doctor’s stoppage, and the shimmering strap was wrapped around him by one of the baddest men in Hollywood, Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson.

An off-the-wall concept had turned into an off-the-charts success, never to be repeated. Then again …

Surprise, surprise, the BMF belt will be on the line once again this Saturday in the main event of UFC 291 (10 p.m. on ESPN+ PPV), a rematch between Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje. It could very well turn out to be the fight of the year. These two showed in their first meeting in 2018 that they’re among the sport’s most heart-thumping action fighters.

Is that what makes someone a BMF? Or does it have more to do with how a fighter acts outside the cage? No one really knows, except Diaz, who dreamed up the concept, and Masvidal, who embraced it. Everyone else has an opinion, though, and those opinions vary greatly.

Our ESPN combat sports team bravely took a stab at ranking the truest BMFs in the history of MMA.

Men’s BMF results: Liddell and Lawler take top spot

Rank Fighter Points
T-1. Chuck Liddell 13
T-1. Robbie Lawler 13
3. Jon Jones 11
T-4. Jorge Masvidal 10
T-4. Kimbo Slice 10
6. Nate Diaz 6
T-7. Nick Diaz 5
T-7. Royce Gracie 5
T-9. BJ Penn 4
T-9. Kazushi Sakuraba 4

It’s not surprising Chuck “The Iceman” Liddell occupies the No. 1 spot. There have been a lot of fighters in the UFC who have embodied that “anytime, anywhere” approach to the sport, but at the end of the day, Liddell was the poster boy of that mentality. Anyone who was fortunate enough to watch Liddell compete, or has gone back to watch his career after the fact, knows this man didn’t care about fame or titles. He didn’t even care about money. All he wanted to do was fight.

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Relive the wins by Hughes and Liddell at UFC 52

On April 16, 2005, Matt Hughes retained his welterweight title vs. Frank Trigg and Chuck Liddell won the light heavyweight belt for the first time by knocking out Randy Couture. For more UFC, sign up here for ESPN+ http://plus.espn.com/ufc.

He is the original face of the UFC, and a massive reason for its long-term success. The fact that Robbie Lawler received as many votes as Liddell is a testament to how highly regarded he is by our panel. Even though he’s a legend of the sport, his profile is not nearly as high as Liddell’s. Nevertheless, he tied Liddell in overall votes thanks to his body of work, which began in the UFC all the way back in 2002. There are many ways to assess a BMF. For Lawler, it’s the longevity and the no-nonsense, no-frills approach. It’s also simply how comfortable Lawler looked in the midst of some of the most epic fights this sport has ever seen. Nothing fazed this man. He is the epitome of someone you’d want watching your back in a dark alley. — Brett Okamoto

Women’s BMF results: Rousey stands alone

Rank Fighter Points
1. Ronda Rousey 25
2. Joanna Jedrzejczyk 21
3. Amanda Nunes 20
4. Cris Cyborg 18
5. Valentina Shevchenko 8
T-6. Jessica Andrade 4
T-6. Rose Namajunas 4
8. Angela Hill 2
T-9. Julianna Peña 1
T-9. Maycee Barber 1

The top five of this list might as well be a ranking of the best women’s fighters of all time, though perhaps they are out of order. This is different from the men’s list, which has some fighters who have durability and an exciting, all-action style but who maybe did not achieve the highest reaches of MMA greatness. Kimbo Slice is ranked, after all, and for as entertaining as he was to watch, no one would mistake him for being an elite MMA fighter.

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Rousey’s road to the UFC Hall of Fame

Ronda Rousey’s dominance in the UFC made her one of the most popular fighters in history. Now with WWE, Rousey joins the UFC Hall of Fame.

The women’s list, however, is made up mostly of the elite of the elite. That probably speaks to how new women’s MMA still is at the highest level. Women were brought into the UFC in 2013, long after the runs of several of the men’s competitors above. And the stars of the early days of women’s MMA in the UFC got there with a marked ruthlessness. Ronda Rousey took the world by storm, armbarring her way to become the first UFC women’s bantamweight champion.

After Rousey’s ground dominance, Joanna Jedrzejczyk brought striking to the forefront in the UFC’s women’s divisions, piecing up everyone who got in her way during her run as strawweight champion. She’d routinely leave opponents bloodied and bruised from a steady barrage of punches, elbows, knees and kicks. Jedrzejczyk’s 2020 fight with Zhang Weili was the best in women’s MMA history. Some fans have even dubbed her “Joanna Violence.” Amanda Nunes and Cris Cyborg both got to the top by physically dominating opponents, usually leading to brutal knockouts unseen before in women’s MMA. Meanwhile, Valentina Shevchenko’s brand of BMF has always been more of the cold, calculated and surgical variety. — Marc Raimondi

Historical acknowledgment of former BMFs

Royce Gracie, left, competed in the first-ever UFC event at UFC 1 in November 1993. Photo by Holly Stein/Getty Images

The early days of MMA sometimes pitted one martial art against another, but often the action inside the cage looked more like a toughman contest. Back then, the sport was littered with brawny brawlers whose personas evoked not a dojo but a dark alley.

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None of them could rattle Royce Gracie, who for the first four UFC one-night tournaments in 1993 and ’94 was the one doing the intimidating, despite being barely 170 pounds with a baby face. He would march to the Octagon as part of a Gracie train, a grim procession of brothers and cousins and uncles, all wearing white gis and stoic scowls, their hands resting on the shoulders of the Gracie in front of them.

Then there was Kimbo Slice, who built a reputation for violence in Miami backyards in the early 2000s, fighting bare-knuckle bouts that made him a YouTube sensation. Kimbo eventually made his mark in MMA, both as a fighter and as the street-fight promoter who helped make the world aware of a BMF hall of famer, Masvidal. (There’s not really a BMF hall of fame, of course, but the BMF belt itself has no concrete meaning either, right?)

If you’re talking about old-time BMFs, you have to include BJ Penn — who else would lick an opponent’s blood off of his glove? And Cris Cyborg is the women’s BMF GOAT. She has been intimidating opponents for 18 years, with her icy stare and her rock-hard fists. And at age 38, she’s still an active fighter. So watch out. — Jeff Wagenheim

Who should be the next men’s BMF fight?

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Max Holloway, Arnold Allen put on classic in main event

Max Holloway and Arnold Allen put on a show in front of UFC fans in Kansas City.

The belt needs some continuity. If the UFC is going to bring back what was supposed to be a one-off novelty title, let’s do it the right way. Either Poirier or Gaethje will win the belt Saturday, and then it should be defended. The stipulation should be that there is no weight class attached, which would make it completely unique compared to other championships and also stay within the spirit of the name. Bouts could even be at agreed-upon catchweights. This fight is at lightweight, but if the winner wants to defend it at welterweight — perhaps against someone like a returning Diaz — he should be able to do that.

My pick for the winner at UFC 291 would be a fight against Max Holloway, if he beats “The Korean Zombie” Chan Sung Jung next month. Poirier and Holloway have fought before, and it was a war completely befitting the BMF title. Gaethje vs. Holloway would be phenomenal. The BMF belt has a great brand and could be another marketing tool for the UFC that can headline pay-per-view events. It would also be an opportunity to highlight elite, exciting fighters like Holloway who might not necessarily be in a title conversation at this point. — Raimondi

Who should be in the first women’s BMF fight?

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Rose Namajunas grinds out hard-fought title defense in rematch vs. Zhang Weili

Rose Namajunas defends her title successfully at Madison Square Garden with a hard-fought split-decision victory at UFC 268.

Unfortunately, many of the top female BMFs have already hung up their gloves. If there was a way to somehow book Rousey vs. Cyborg, that would probably be your answer, for pure nostalgia alone. That potential matchup tantalized women’s MMA for years before it became clear it would never happen.

As things stand today, the most appropriate women’s BMF fight would likely be Shevchenko vs. Rose Namajunas. It’s not a perfect matchup by any stretch, and it’s worth noting the two are very friendly toward each other. They are also both coming off losses. But Shevchenko’s lifestyle screams BMF. Not only is she good at MMA, she seems like someone you’d want to team up with in an actual world apocalypse. And Namajunas has had countless BMF moments over the course of her career — including her 2017 upset knockout of Jedrzejczyk, the original strawweight boogeywoman.

What’s nice about the women’s side is that even though the UFC has never formally promoted a women’s BMF fight, many of the options that would qualify we have already seen, including Rousey vs. Nunes, Nunes vs. Shevchenko, Nunes vs. Cyborg and Jedrzejczyk vs. Shevchenko. — Okamoto

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Science

ClimateTV Reside at 1PM ET – Local weather Change Causes All the things’ • Watts Up With That?

Today’s episode of Climate Change Roundtable, titled “Climate Change Causes Everything,” critically addresses the pervasive narrative that climate change is the root cause of every weather event. Host Anthony Watts, joined by acclaimed panelists Linnea Lueken and H. Sterling Burnett, delves into the world of media representations of climate change, highlighting the contradictions and inconsistencies prevalent in many reports.

This live YouTube show tackles the meteorological paranoia stoked by corporate media outlets, scrutinizing the avalanche of climate scare stories dominating today’s headlines. The panel dissects the climate discourse, evaluating the validity of the causal links proposed between climate change and diverse weather events. Is climate change truly a universal culprit, or is it a convenient scapegoat? Are we genuinely observing an increase in extreme weather events due to global warming, or are we falling prey to sensationalist reporting?

This episode endeavors to untangle the complex webs of information, misinformation, and hyperbole surrounding climate change. So, join us for an enlightening and potentially paradigm-shifting discussion on Climate Change Roundtable. Be part of this robust conversation and engage with us during the live chat. Together, let’s explore the climate dialogue with discernment and objectivity.

Climate Change Roundtable airs every Friday at 12pm CT. Subscribe to the channel to never miss an episode!

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Health

New invoice goals to assist low-income folks with disabilities lower your expenses

Halfpoint Images | Moment | Getty Images

The Americans with Disabilities Act was signed into law 33 years ago to protect people with disabilities from discrimination.

But disabled people still face major hurdles when it comes to building wealth.

To help make it easier for disabled individuals with lower incomes to save, Sen. Bob Casey, D-Pa., who serves as chairman of the Senate Special Committee on Aging, is introducing a new proposal, called the ABLE MATCH Act. The legislation would create a federal dollar-for-dollar match of up to $2,000 for new and existing ABLE accounts for individuals who earn $28,000 or less per year.

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ABLE accounts, which were established with federal legislation in 2014, allow qualifying individuals to set money aside for disability-related expenses without losing eligibility for federal programs such as Medicaid or Supplemental Security Income. The tax-advantaged accounts allow for tax-free withdrawals for qualifying expenses, while investment gains may grow on a tax-deferred basis.

The ABLE program has been a “lifeline for thousands of people with disabilities across the nation,” Casey said in a statement.

“However, there are still too many people whose lives would be made easier by the program, but don’t have sufficient funds to open an account,” Casey added.

Proposal would add a federal match

The ABLE MATCH Act would create a federal dollar-for-dollar match of up to $2,000 for individuals who make $28,000 or less, which would taper off for each dollar earned over that threshold.

That threshold would be adjusted for inflation and for heads of household and married couples.

The bill’s goal is to help boost enrollment in ABLE accounts for people with lower incomes who have disabilities.

The introduction of the proposal is a “really exciting development,” said Thomas Foley, executive director at the National Disability Institute.

There are still too many people whose lives would be made easier by the program, but don’t have sufficient funds to open an account.

Sen. Bob Casey

Democratic senator from Pennsylvania

“This is providing an incentive to a group of people who haven’t been incentivized, and in fact have been dis-incentivized to save for decades,” Foley said.

People with disabilities are twice as likely to live in poverty compared with people without disabilities, Foley said.

The National Disability Institute’s research has found that people with disabilities need to spend about $28,000 more per year to live lifestyles equivalent to those of people without disabilities, he said.

Those extra costs come from needs such as accessible transportation, living closer to work, or the maintenance of a service dog, for example.

Disabled individuals, particularly those who are younger, may find it difficult to save in an ABLE account due to a lack of disposable income, Foley said.

New legislation passed last year raised the age limit from 26 to 46 for the onset of a disability in order to participate in an ABLE account starting in 2026.

With that change, as many as 14 million people may be eligible to participate in ABLE accounts, Foley said.

Categories
Science

Why the Gee-Whizz Issue Prices so A lot • Watts Up With That?

Feature image: By Macskelek – Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=94469485

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

Predatory science has refined, honed and polished its techniques for extracting nation-bankrupting sums of money from innumerate and scientifically-illiterate politicians and from the similarly-ignorant and likewise-effete civil servants who control them.

Nowhere is this unprincipled and unaffordable leeching upon the long-suffering taxpayer more evident than in climate “science”, where the gentle and demonstrably net-beneficial warming that has occurred and can be expected to continue at a rate below half the predicted midrange is presented as an actual or potential planet-destroying cataclysm that must be forestalled however disproportionate the cost and however small the resultant benefit.

The profiteers of doom in science, in academe and in the once-learned journals are joined in their folly, fraud and theft at taxpayers’ expense by the gee-whizz merchants, who hand-wavingly put forward preposterous proposed woo-woo “solutions” to the imagined (and imaginary) problem of mildly warmer weather worldwide.

A typical gee-whizz proposal is as blatantly anti-scientific as the supposed problem that its proponents purport to address; it sounds thrillingly techy and Boys’-Own-Paper golly-gosh exciting; it is cripplingly expensive; it is commercially unviable to a spectacular degree; the scamsters who propose it accordingly demand unlimited access to taxpayers’ money; the innumerate classe politique duly hands over boat-loads of other people’s cash; the proposed “solution” does not work and fails completely; and not one of the fraudsters is in any way held to account.

There are plenty of gee-whiz schemes to abate greenhouse-gas emissions. Windmills are a good example. They are anti-scientific in that continuous electrical power is required but they supply it only a quarter of the time, their energy density is low and their unit environmental cost is correspondingly high; they have given Western nations electricity prices six or eight times those of China or India; new wind projects are increasingly being abandoned because the cost exceeds the benefit even after the scamsters have trousered massive, multiple direct and indirect subsidies; they have made no difference whatsoever to the near-linear rate at which anthropogenic greenhouse-gas forcing has increased since IPCC’s first report in 1990; and the perpetrators of this disaster are laughing all the way to the bank.

Solar power ditto. Think Ivanpah, the solar collector array that fell apart because the panels and their complex heliostats were not weatherproofed, and would not have worked anyway; or Scottsbluff, Nebraska, where a vast solar array was smashed to smithereens within minutes by a single passing hailstorm, and the junked panels – which cannot be recycled – will have to go to landfill.

Electric buggies ditto. The batteries add between 30% and 100% to the weight of a typical vehicle, so that a buggy uses 30-100% more energy than a real auto; the capital cost of buying the thing and the electricity cost of running it are both well above the costs of buying and running a real auto; the three-phase charging network to replace real autos with buggies will cost even more than the buggies themselves; even a small crash tends to destroy the entire battery pack, so that insurance rates not only for buggies but for all autos are rising well above the already savage rate of inflation, making buggies still more unaffordable; the CO2 emissions from the manufacture of the battery packs, the installation of the charging network and the electricity needed to power the buggies mean that net-zero emissions for an individual buggy occur only after a decade of road use; but most buggies do not last that long because the batteries degrade or, worse, catch fire.

All of these nonsensical gee-whiz scams are nothing compared to the outright fraud that is taxpayer-funded nuclear fusion, as a recent piece here at WUWT reminded me. When I worked at 10 Downing Street, Margaret Thatcher sent me to have a look at the tax-gobbling Joint European Torus, a prototype gee-whizz tokamak fusion reactor at Culham, a few miles south of Oxford.

The top brass turned out in force to welcome me and show me round. The tokamak was half-constructed, and Professor Rebut, the director of the project, told me that the vast magnetic coils around the torus would contain ionized plasma as hot as the Sun, which would generate steam for electricity via a heat-exchanger.

I put on my most amiable and innocent face, and mildly asked: “I can understand that the plasma is ionized and the magnetic field can thus contain it, but, since the reaction is nuclear, large quantities of neutrons will be emitted, so how is it that they will not at once fatally and permanently irradiate the plasma-facing components, so that from the first moment of operation it will be impossible to make repairs?”

The faces of the boffins, in response to this killer question, were a picture. They had hoped that, like the rest of the classe politique, I knew no science. And their faces told me that I had asked a question they had not wished me to ask. They mumbled about lining the interior of the torus with a specially-devised cinder-block that would absorb the radiation, and even showed me a sample. But they were not convincing. I recommended that no further funding should be made available to that or any tokamak project unless a) a proper answer to the irradiation question were available and b) the downstream power delivered to the final consumer, after allowing not only for the considerable internal inefficiencies inherent in fusion reactors but also for transformer and transmission losses, exceeded the input power required to run the tokamak by an order of magnitude.

Trouble is, the convention in British politics is that the papers of one administration are withheld from all subsequent administrations. This gives very great power to the civil service, but makes it impossible for politicians to learn from their predecessors. When the ITER project began in the south of France in 2007, several British governments had come and gone. Sure enough, ITER was simply a grander and still costlier iteration of the fatally defective JET design, and the defects I had noticed two decades previously had simply not been addressed.

The recent WUWT article on ITER quoted Scientific American – normally a wholesale swallower of gee-whizz projects – as saying that ITER “looks less and less like a cathedral and more like a mausoleum”.

Scientific American had managed to obtain internal documents from ITER, but only after a freedom-of-information lawsuit had compelled that vast and self-serving bureaucracy to hand them over.

The ITER Council: bureaucracy at “work”

ITER’s spinmeister, Laban Coblentz, blamed the delays revealed in the documents (coyly described as “schedule slips”) and cost overruns on supply-chain delays, faulty thermal shields and off-spec manufacturing defects, as well as an order by the French Nuclear Safety Authority to cease assembly of the reactor in January 2022 on the ground that radiation shielding was inadequate.

So let me tell you what is really going on. It is far, far worse than we are being told. ITER’s lavish website burbles vapidly about “a thrilling human adventure” in a “truly multi-cultural environment” with “every conceivable sporting, leisure and cultural opportunity” in an atmosphere of “diversity and inclusiveness” and “team spirit” in a “supportive and efficient workplace”. Not a word about what is really going on.

Work began on the militantly ugly and disgracefully messy ITER site among the once-beautiful forests of the South of France a few dozen miles to the north-east of Aix-en-Provence as far back as 2007. I have had charge of several substantial construction projects, and neither I nor my clerk of works would ever have permitted such scandalous untidiness as is evident onsite.

By January of this year, more than 15 years after work began, just one of the 18 giant orange-pig-shaped segments of the plasma-containing torus had been put in place in the tokamak pit at the heart of what is supposed – one day – to be the reactor.

After a decade and a half of construction, just one of ITER’s 18 toroidal segments is in place

Why only one segment, after all this time? I did some digging. The reason is that the ITER people have only recently woken up to the fact, gently pointed out by me to the JET boffins back in 1985, that though the giant magnet around the walls of the tokamak can contain the primary plasma, which is ionized, it cannot contain the neutrons that are the intended reaction products, because neutrons possess no electrical charge ex definitione.

Likewise, photons are emitted at such an energetic rate that they, too, can cause considerable damage, not by nuclear radiation but by melting the walls of the chamber.

How, then, can one answer the containment question? The cinder-block nonsense was never going to be sufficient. A fundamental redesign of the tokamak was needed, not only to cope with bombardment of the plasma-facing components  (the interior walls of the tokamak) by neutrons and photons but also to handle abnormalities in the primary plasma that might fatally disrupt it, leading to an inadvertent failure of containment and a consequently instantaneous, substantial and destructive release of energy – in plain English, a meltdown.

One difficulty faced by ITER is that it is so much larger than all previous tokamaks. As the late Professor R.V. Jones of Aberdeen University used to say, “In physics, scale matters.” As the reactor ramps up from the warm-up or low-confinement regime to the operational or high-confinement regime, oscillations at the edges of the plasma occur. During these edge-localized transient events, which result from the increased confinement time, the fiercely hot plasma of hydrogen isotopes loses some of its energy as energized particles escape containment and meet and melt the plasma-facing components.

To try to divert these outbursts of high-energy particles away from the walls, it is necessary to install a divertor plate at the bottom of the torus. This plate is intended to tolerate far greater heat and particle loadings than the walls themselves. Various substances have been tried over the decades. Carbon was the earliest, because it does not melt. However, it is degraded by neutron bombardment; it becomes rapidly irradiated by tritium, one of the by-products of the fusion reaction; and it suffers from both chemical and sputtering erosion.

Position of the divertor system at the foot of the torus (Hassanein & Sizyuk 2021)

Next, tungsten was proposed, for it is tougher than carbon. However, it is unstable when interacting with the plasma, and also when highly irradiated. It gives off a secondary plasma of its own, which causes the divertor plate to disintegrate, releasing vapor which can contaminate the primary plasma, and requiring the divertor plate to be replaced. Downtime will, therefore, be considerable.

When power is increased compared with existing low-power tokamaks, and especially during edge-localized transient events, the behaviour of the dense secondary plasma generated from the divertor plate will affect the durability of the plasma-facing interior walls of the torus. At the strike points where the plasma interacts with the divertor plate, even during normal operation the ITER torus will be subjected to plasma fluxes sufficient to vaporize the divertor plate at the strike point, where the initial flux incident upon the divertor plate is focused. Secondly, the ITER divertor plates (when installed) will be too close to the primary plasma. Thirdly, the divertor area as currently designed is too small to handle the highly radiative secondary-plasma generation, evolution and vaporization:

Looking down a segment of the torus towards the too-small area for the missing divertor

One cannot simply replace the damaged divertor plate, since the deposition of a large amount of energy at the strike point as currently designed would generate such intense radiation and scattering of plasma-particle fluxes from the dense secondary-plasma cloud that internal components in the confined divertor area would be damaged. More downtime, and a lot of it.

A temporary fix might revert to the use of carbon rather than tungsten, because carbon is not as radiative as tungsten. However, as noted earlier, carbon has its own problems. Hassanein & Sizyuk (2021), whose paper in Nature on the problems with the existing ITER design may well have influenced the French nuclear regulatory agency in its decision to halt construction of the reactor until the problems have been rectified, suggest that completely different tokamak designs – such as the snowflake or super-X magnetic containment configurations – might offer better protection by distributing the core-plasma particles over a wider area on the surface of the divertor, decreasing the heat loads on the divertor plate.

Left: Princeton’s nowflake tokamak. Right: Magnetic field lines in the snowflake divertor (image by Vladimir Soukhanovskyy).

In the divertor of a Super-X tokamak, the plasma exhaust is spread over a wider area than in the conventional divertor hitherto adopted by ITER (image by UK Atomic Energy Authority)

Or the divertor plates and strike points could be moved further from the core plasma, and a special divertor chamber could limit penetration of the secondary plasma into the operating chamber, contaminating the primary plasma.

Given these fundamental problems with the existing ITER design, it is no surprise that the regulators have ordered a halt to further construction of the reactor, leaving the lone segment of the inadequately-thought-through torus mournfully in place. A further problem is that the entire building around the reactor is tailored very specifically to the existing design. To accommodate the changes suggested by Hassanein & Sizyuk, and particularly if a radically different reactor design turns out to be necessary, pretty much the whole thing will have to be torn down and rebuilt, but only after a new design has been finalized and tested.

While they are at it, they had better make sure that they surround the entire building with a secondary containment structure. At present, the reactor is directly under the exterior roof. Chernobyl ought to have taught the world the necessity of a secondary containment building.

ITER, therefore, is now likely to be decades late and tens of billions over budget. If there were even one sufficiently curious policy wonk working in the government of any of the 35 nations foolishly embroiled in this doomed project, the governments in question would be pulling out their funding at once. Like all gee-whiz moonbeams-to-cucumbers notions, this granddaddy of them all is irremediably failing, at prodigious cost to us all.

Feature image: By Macskelek – Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=94469485

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Kylie Says She Regrets Boob Job & ‘Would not Contact Something’

Kylie Jenner is acknowledging her breast augmentation and letting it be known that she wouldn’t have gone under the knife if she could turn back time.

Kylie Jenner Recommends People “Wait” To Get Plastic Surgery “Until After Children”

During the season 3 finale of The Kardashians, the 25-year-old beauty mogul spoke on the matter during a sit-down with a friend.

While chatting, Kylie Jenner commented on getting her breasts augmented before she became pregnant with Stormi. She even remarked, “They were still healing.”

“I got my breasts done before Stormi. Within six months of [becoming pregnant with] Stormi—not thinking I would, like, have a child when I was 20. Like, they were still healing.”

After sharing this commentary, Kylie declared that—despite getting them augmented—her natural breasts are “gorgeous.”

“I have beautiful breasts. Like, natural t*ts. Just gorgeous.”

As a result, she outright said she wishes she “never got them done, to begin with.” She also suggested that people wait to have such procedures until after they welcome children.

“I just wish, obviously, I never got them done to begin with. I would recommend anyone who is thinking about it to wait until after children.”

She also stated that she would be “heartbroken” if her daughter “wanted to get her body done at 19.”

Kylie Jenner wrapped up by declaring, “I wish I could, like, be her and do it all differently. Because I wouldn’t touch anything.”

Blac Chyna Has Also Opened Up About Past Procedures

While on the subject of Kylie’s breast augmentation, we should add that Blac Chyna—who was previously in a legal battle against some members of the Kar-Jenner family—has also opened up about her own procedures.

As The Shade Room reported, Blac Chyna acknowledged undergoing a breast and butt reduction earlier this year. She notably declared, “I’m changing my life and changing my ways.”

After also removing her face fillers and embracing her birth name of Angela White, Blac Chyna said she underwent her surgeries due to “insecurities” she acquired while working at a strip club when she was “super young.”

RELATED: Kylie Jenner & Jordyn Woods Spotted Having Dinner Together 4 Years After Tristan Thompson Scandal
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Sport

2023 MLB commerce deadline tracker: Rumors, information, newest updates

Jul 26, 2023, 09:55 PM ET

The 2023 MLB trade deadline is just around the corner, with contending teams deciding what they need to add before 6 p.m. ET on Tuesday.

What does Shohei Ohtani’s future look like with the Los Angeles Angels? Could Marcus Stroman, Cody Bellinger and Lucas Giolito be dealt to contenders? And which of the Los Angeles Dodgers, Atlanta Braves, Texas Rangers and San Francisco Giants will go all-in to boost their 2023 World Series hopes?

Whether your favorite club is looking to add or deal away — or stands somewhere in between — here’s the freshest intel we’re hearing, reaction to completed deals and what to know for every team as trade season unfolds.

Trade grades: Report card for every major deal | Passan’s deadline preview

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Buzz | Trade tracker | Analysis

MLB trade deadline buzz

July 26 updates

Angels making moves: Word spread late Wednesday that the Angels had essentially pulled Shohei Ohtani off the trade market, largely because they want to contend for the playoffs. And then the Angels proved it almost immediately — by acquiring starting pitcher Lucas Giolito and relief pitcher Reynaldo Lopez for Edgar Quero and Ky Bush, two premium prospects. The Angels have put everything into winning this season. That continues.–Alden Gonzalez

Marlins looking to reel in Tim Anderson? Yankees casting wider net beyond Cody Bellinger? The Marlins are looking at White Sox shortstop Tim Anderson, who has finally gotten hot. He still ranks last in OPS among all qualified hitters, but his approach at the plate after the All-Star break has been much better. Anderson is hitting balls to right field again; that’s when he is at his best. Miami ranks 25th in OPS at shortstop — still ahead of the White Sox — but Anderson is a more proven commodity than anyone the Marlins employ. A change of scenery and a smaller market could do him some good, as well.

If Cody Bellinger is off the market, the Yankees might turn to Cardinals outfielder Dylan Carlson or Nationals third baseman Jeimer Candelario as they attempt to fill a void from the left side of the batter’s box. Candelario would be a solid defensive addition at third base. — Jesse Rogers

Too many starters available? This deadline favors teams with players to deal, in general. But one executive noted the volume of teams searching for starting pitchers who are under team control beyond 2023 — and he wonders whether all of the teams looking to move rental starting pitchers (impending free agents) will find trade partners. Among the available starting pitchers who could be free agents this fall: Lucas Giolito, Lance Lynn, Rich Hill, Marcus Stroman, Eduardo Rodriguez, Carlos Carrasco, Jose Quintana, Jack Flaherty, Jordan Montgomery, Michael Lorenzen and Brad Keller. — Buster Olney

Don’t expect a McCutchen trade: Andrew McCutchen is a free agent at season’s end and might normally be considered a possible trade target. But in this case, there seems to be an understanding between the player and team that he’ll remain with the Pirates through the 2023 season, in a continuation of what has been a strong reunion. — Olney

July 25 updates

Dodgers bring back Hernandez in deal with Red Sox. The Los Angeles Dodgers, in search of depth throughout their infield, reached a deal to reacquire Enrique Hernandez from the Boston Red Sox on Tuesday, sources told ESPN. Grades

The Dodgers have more work to do: The Dodgers’ acquisition of super-utilityman Enrique Hernandez “doesn’t preclude us from exploring other right-handed bats,” general manager Brandon Gomes said Tuesday.

A right-handed hitter is still a main target for the Dodgers, along with help for both their rotation and their bullpen. The versatility throughout their roster — Hernandez, Chris Taylor and Mookie Betts can all play the infield and the outfield — allows them to not be beholden to specific positions while pursuing offensive help.

Adding Hernandez could free the Dodgers up to use current major leaguers in a trade — but they might have to wait on that. Trade talks, Gomes said, have been slow-moving with so many teams undecided on being adders or subtractors. Most of the action might wait until the final day or two. — Alden Gonzalez

Will Yankees go after Bellinger … or another outfielder? Scouts who have watched the Yankees over the past couple of weeks believe this team is more than a piece or two away — even if one of those pieces is Aaron Judge. But if there is one need the front office would like to address before the trade deadline, it’s in the outfield, a notably thin area even with Judge on the verge of returning from his foot injury.

Cody Bellinger, the left-handed-hitting past MVP whose father wore pinstripes, has long been seen as an ideal fit. But what if the Cubs, with by far the highest run differential in their division, decide to hold onto him? Or, more likely, what if another suitor is ultimately more aggressive?

The Yankees would prefer a left-handed, middle-of-the-order-type hitter to include in an outfield mix highlighted by the right-handed-hitting Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Harrison Bader. But they’d be open to a right-handed-hitting option if he stands as a clear upgrade, a source familiar with the team’s thinking said. The next tier of available outfielders seems to be made up mostly of right-handed-hitters, including Mark Canha, Tommy Pham, Randal Grichuk, Tyler O’Neill, Lane Thomas and Dylan Carlson (Carlson is a switch-hitter, but he has been far better from the right side this season).

First, though, the Yankees have to decide how they feel about their current team, specifically whether they want to augment it or shed some pieces in hopes of freeing up payroll. They’re among the many who still seem to be undecided. — Gonzalez

Chicago is buzzing ahead of the deadline: There were half a dozen scouts in the stands at Guaranteed Rate Field for the beginning of the Cubs/White Sox crosstown series on Tuesday. Both Chicago teams could subtract at the deadline and there’s no shortage of talent between them. Most interesting: The top scouts from the Yankees, in attendance to watch Cubs center fielder Cody Bellinger, were the same personnel who scouted Anthony Rizzo before the Yankees traded for him in 2021.

Tuesday’s Cubs starter, Kyle Hendricks, is not expected to be moved at the deadline, according to sources. He has a team option for next year and will likely be a Cub in 2024.

Lance Lynn, scheduled to pitch for Sox on Wednesday, wants another shot at the playoffs. His splits suggest he pitches against the righty dominant Blue Jays or Yankees rather than for them, one scout opined. Lefties have a 1.055 OPS off him while righties have compiled just a .644 mark. A reunion in Texas is not out of the question. Los Angeles or San Francisco are possible as well. — Rogers

July 24 updates

The uncertainty surrounding Ohtani: The contingent of English- and Japanese-speaking media members who cover the Los Angeles Angels posed for a photo Sunday. It was the team’s last home game before a 10-day road trip that will spill past the trade deadline, and thus, it was potentially the last time that group — most of whom are dedicated to covering Shohei Ohtani wherever he goes — will be together.

Such is the state of things.

Nine days remain until the Aug. 1 trade deadline, and there is still a lot of uncertainty as to whether Ohtani, the Angels’ transformative two-way star, will be dealt before then. Front-office sources throughout the industry said things were quiet on the trade front over the weekend, and many of them have a hard time believing Angels owner Arte Moreno will trade Ohtani in the first place — especially since the team has found a way to remain in contention without Mike Trout and Anthony Rendon.

But the Angels have not publicly declared that Ohtani will stay, so teams throughout the sport are preparing for the possibility that he can be had. They have to be ready to act; acquiring a player of that magnitude takes a lot of legwork. — Gonzalez

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Who is a sleeper team to trade for Shohei Ohtani?

Buster Olney maintains that Shohei Ohtani is unavailable for trades, but identifies the Rays as a team that could put together an appealing package if the Angels change their position.

How valuable is Bellinger on the market? The Chicago Cubs can only hope Ohtani isn’t moved, as Cody Bellinger is having a resurgent year and an even better month of July. The price should be high, though, with or without Ohtani on the market. There can’t be many teams more in need of Bellinger than the New York Yankees, but the Toronto Blue Jays need left-handed hitting help as well. The noise about the Astros’ interest is just that: noise.

If any candidate was eligible for a trade and re-sign with his old team, it’s Bellinger. The moment the Cubs move him, they need to replace him. Reliever Mark Leiter Jr. is also garnering interest as the Cubs have done a decent job of developing and flipping relievers in recent years. Marcus Stroman also has interest from the obvious contenders. — Rogers

Will the Padres be adding or dealing? It might be hard to believe, given his nature, that San Diego Padres general manager A.J. Preller won’t be aggressive one way or another, either selling off veteran players or acquiring them. As of now, though, the expectation is that starter Blake Snell and closer Josh Hader will remain with the team, according to a person familiar with the team’s thinking.

If available, Snell would probably be the best starting pitcher available, and Hader would probably be the best relief pitcher available. Both are free agents at season’s end, and if the Padres don’t believe they can truly contend in 2023, they could use both to get younger, cheaper players that balance out both the roster and the payroll, better positioning the club for 2024.

At the moment, though, the Padres don’t seem ready to punt on 2023. But a lot can change this week during their six-game homestand against the Pirates and Rangers. A lack of significant traction could prompt Preller to pivot in the other direction. And if he does, perhaps superstar outfielder Juan Soto, a free agent after 2024, will be available, too. If there’s one thing Preller has proved in his Padres tenure, it’s that he doesn’t take half-measures. — Gonzalez

The Cards’ stance at the deadline: The St. Louis Cardinals will start sifting through offers this week. Jack Flaherty and Jordan Montgomery are as good as gone. Unless Snell is moved, Montgomery is going to be the best lefty starter on the market. Most contenders have some interest, including the Los Angeles Dodgers and Houston Astros. St. Louis wants controllable pitching in return and could attach an outfielder in a package. From the position players side, Paul DeJong could make sense, since he has team options over the next two seasons. What happens with Jordan Hicks is still a question mark. — Rogers

Could Dodgers add All-Star third baseman? The Los Angeles Dodgers might be in first place in the National League West, but they’re also one of the most needy teams heading into the trade deadline. They need starting and relief pitching, and they’d also like to add a right-handed bat to their lineup, with position not being much of a factor.

One name to watch here is Nolan Arenado, the Cardinals third baseman who is owed a very reasonable $94 million over the next three years. The Dodgers have long been enamored of Arenado, 32, and they see third base as a need they’ll have to address in the offseason given their present construction.

The Cardinals aren’t expected to trade Arenado at the moment, but the Dodgers have the type of young talent — particularly pitching — to sway teams in a situation like this. Arenado has a full no-trade clause, but he grew up in Southern California and the expectation is that he would waive it for a team like the Dodgers. — Gonzalez

Candelario on the move? The Washington Nationals will subtract at the deadline, with third baseman Jeimer Candelario their best trade chip right now. With Josh Donaldson out, the switch-hitting Candelario could be a perfect fit for the Yankees. — Rogers

White Sox dealing pitchers: Lucas Giolito will be moved as he has no chance of re-signing in Chicago. He’d be a good addition for the pitching-needy Cincinnati Reds. There has been no indication Dylan Cease will get traded — not with two years remaining of team control and few good Chicago White Sox starters under contract after this season. If Joe Kelly is healthy, he and Kendall Graveman are options for any of the contenders. Tim Anderson’s future in Chicago is also murky. — Rogers

Trade tracker

Giolito heads to the Angels

The Los Angeles Angels acquired RHP Lucas Giolito and RHP Reynaldo López from the Chicago White Sox in exchange for minor league LHP Ky Bush and C Edgar Quero, the teams announced Wednesday.

Rosario to the Dodgers

The Los Angeles Dodgers have acquired shortstop Amed Rosario from the Cleveland Guardians. Noah Syndergaard is headed to the Guardians in return. Story » | Grades »

Twins and Marlins swap relievers

The Minnesota Twins acquired Dylan Floro from the Miami Marlins in exchange for Jorge Lopez on Wednesday in a swap of struggling right-handed relievers. Story »

Mariners adding arm to pen

Reliever Trent Thornton, who was DFA’d last week by Blue Jays, is being traded to the Mariners, sources tell ESPN’s Jeff Passan. Toronto will receive Triple-A infielder Mason McCoy. Story»

Dodgers reunite with former utility player

Enrique Hernandez is headed back to Los Angeles after the Dodgers traded RHP Nick Robertson and RHP Justin Hagenman for him. Story » | Grades »

Mets add to bullpen in early deal

Bullpen help is on its way to New York, with the Mets trading LHP Zach Muckenhirn to the Mariners for RHP Trevor Gott RHP Chris Flexen. Story »

Texas lands resurgent reliever

Breakout Rangers acquire Aroldis Chapman from Royals for LHP Cole Ragans and OF Roni Cabrera. Story »

MLB trade deadline analysis

Olney: High tension as Arte Moreno, Angels mull Ohtani trade

What an MLB exec says eight bubble teams should do

Let’s make a deal! Proposing nine potential Ohtani blockbusters

One player all 30 MLB teams should trade for (or away)

The X factors that will shape the deadline